OLCI purchased upgrade offer to non-elite before elite upgrades processed
#271
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Bay Area
Programs: WN A-List, AA good-riddance, Safeway Club Card Extraordinaire
Posts: 3,851
AA twitter responded that it was an AAirpass member, but the open seat is occupied by a girl no more than 25. Before you pounce me, FT, I'm not attempting to make any inferences from this, as seats change all the time, and her perceived age is in no way indicative of anything - just find it odd.
Would AAirpass members come through similarly to paid F?
Would AAirpass members come through similarly to paid F?
#272
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: In the sky.
Programs: AA- EXP 3mm, Marriott Titanium(Lifetime), *wood Plat, Hertz Pres. Circle, *bucks Gold, Joan Ranger
Posts: 781
mmmm. now this thread has me thinking!
My upgrades in the last 2 weeks have all cleared a few hours prior. Also, I have had several flights not upgrade. (compared to a much more in advance clearing & several days in advance)
I'm EXP.
My upgrades in the last 2 weeks have all cleared a few hours prior. Also, I have had several flights not upgrade. (compared to a much more in advance clearing & several days in advance)
I'm EXP.
#273
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: NYC
Posts: 6,434
Someone looking 25 years old is old enough to have founded a successful startup, inherited serious money, etc.
#274
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Bay Area
Programs: WN A-List, AA good-riddance, Safeway Club Card Extraordinaire
Posts: 3,851
Sure, and it wouldn't be the first (or last) time a GA invented something on the spot rather than just saying "I don't know" (or misinterpreted the data on his/her screen).
#275
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: SJC
Programs: AA EXP, BA Silver, Hyatt Globalist, Hilton diamond, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 33,535
Also, if one were to compute the probability of an AAirpass member being male (simply based on the current membership), I would estimate higher than 75% chance. And that is likely low.
Cheers.
#276
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Bay Area
Programs: WN A-List, AA good-riddance, Safeway Club Card Extraordinaire
Posts: 3,851
While all of this is true, the odds are against it. If one were to compute the mean and standard deviation for the age of AAirpass holders, I would expect the mean to be closer to twice that, and someone 25 to be more than 2 sigma out. Doesn't mean it can't happen, of course. Still.
#277
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: SJC
Programs: AA EXP, BA Silver, Hyatt Globalist, Hilton diamond, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 33,535
At the very least, I would expect someone with the wherewithal to be able to afford that at such a young age to be cooler than to fly AA
Cheers.
#278
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: YVR SFO
Programs: UA G
Posts: 4,866
I'm sure this has already been noticed by the UA-refugees, but UA has been doing this since March with 1Ks losing out on upgrades to OLCI and check-in buyups.
#279
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Bay Area
Programs: WN A-List, AA good-riddance, Safeway Club Card Extraordinaire
Posts: 3,851
Oh yes. It is frequently cited as a reason for jumping ship. For the record, most alleged cases of this here have been subsequently debunked by knowledgable sources with inside information.
#280
Formerly known as CollegeFlyer
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: JRA
Programs: UA 1K MM, AA PLT, Hyatt Diamond, Marriott Gold, Hertz 5*
Posts: 6,716
While all of this is true, the odds are against it. If one were to compute the mean and standard deviation for the age of AAirpass holders, I would expect the mean to be closer to twice that, and someone 25 to be more than 2 sigma out. Doesn't mean it can't happen, of course. Still.
Also, if one were to compute the probability of an AAirpass member being male (simply based on the current membership), I would estimate higher than 75% chance. And that is likely low.
Cheers.
Also, if one were to compute the probability of an AAirpass member being male (simply based on the current membership), I would estimate higher than 75% chance. And that is likely low.
Cheers.
Some people look younger than they are, and we have no idea whether this person was actually 25 or not.
Besides, someone with enough $$ to spend on either full F or AAirpass is also disproportionately more likely to have $$ to spend on cosmetics and/or plastic surgery, right?
#281
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 102
Why wouldn't a non-elite purchase the upgrade? If a non-elite checks in with 2 bags, he/she already knows they will pay $60? for those bags. For $30 more, they can sit in F.
This is a problem on flights where the upgrade price is close to the baggage fee.
This is a problem on flights where the upgrade price is close to the baggage fee.
#282
Moderator: Alaska Mileage Plan
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 12,319
Nor the first (or last) time a FTer invented something on the spot rather than just saying "I don't know" (or misinterpreted the data in this forum).
#283
Join Date: Feb 2008
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 3,049
When RM get it right (which they seem to do most of the time) then it is working just fine to extract a few more $$ from a non-elite and fill the otherwise empty seat.
#284
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: PHL / NYC / PSA-BLQ
Programs: AA PPRO, Marriott/Hilton Gold, AMX-Plat, Global Entry
Posts: 3,111
Thanks brp.
Was having a hell of a time getting search to work on my phone's browser.
AA twitter responded that it was an AAirpass member, but the open seat is occupied by a girl no more than 25. Before you pounce me, FT, I'm not attempting to make any inferences from this, as seats change all the time, and her perceived age is in no way indicative of anything - just find it odd.
Would AAirpass members come through similarly to paid F?
Was having a hell of a time getting search to work on my phone's browser.
AA twitter responded that it was an AAirpass member, but the open seat is occupied by a girl no more than 25. Before you pounce me, FT, I'm not attempting to make any inferences from this, as seats change all the time, and her perceived age is in no way indicative of anything - just find it odd.
Would AAirpass members come through similarly to paid F?