Go Back  FlyerTalk Forums > Miles&Points > Discontinued Programs/Partners > American Airlines | AAdvantage (Pre-Consolidation with USAir)
Reload this Page >

OLCI purchased upgrade offer to non-elite before elite upgrades processed

Community
Wiki Posts
Search

OLCI purchased upgrade offer to non-elite before elite upgrades processed

 
Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Oct 8, 2012, 10:18 am
  #271  
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Bay Area
Programs: WN A-List, AA good-riddance, Safeway Club Card Extraordinaire
Posts: 3,851
Originally Posted by NYCQuaker
AA twitter responded that it was an AAirpass member, but the open seat is occupied by a girl no more than 25. Before you pounce me, FT, I'm not attempting to make any inferences from this, as seats change all the time, and her perceived age is in no way indicative of anything - just find it odd.

Would AAirpass members come through similarly to paid F?
25 is old enough to have earned an MBA or JD; while it can be unusual to see young people in F (judging from some of the incredulous looks I've gotten ), it's not beyond the realm of possibility. AAirpass can book into the equivalent of paid F.
Science Goy is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 10:31 am
  #272  
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: In the sky.
Programs: AA- EXP 3mm, Marriott Titanium(Lifetime), *wood Plat, Hertz Pres. Circle, *bucks Gold, Joan Ranger
Posts: 781
mmmm. now this thread has me thinking!

My upgrades in the last 2 weeks have all cleared a few hours prior. Also, I have had several flights not upgrade. (compared to a much more in advance clearing & several days in advance)


I'm EXP.
Wingtipflyer1 is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 10:59 am
  #273  
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: NYC
Posts: 6,434
Originally Posted by Science Goy
25 is old enough to have earned an MBA or JD; while it can be unusual to see young people in F (judging from some of the incredulous looks I've gotten ), it's not beyond the realm of possibility. AAirpass can book into the equivalent of paid F.
If it was an AAirpass booking into the equivalent of paid F, then the GA was wrong that it was an LBFU, just to state the obvious.

Someone looking 25 years old is old enough to have founded a successful startup, inherited serious money, etc.
richarddd is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 11:01 am
  #274  
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Bay Area
Programs: WN A-List, AA good-riddance, Safeway Club Card Extraordinaire
Posts: 3,851
Originally Posted by richarddd
If it was an AAirpass booking into the equivalent of paid F, then the GA was wrong that it was an LBFU, just to state the obvious.
Sure, and it wouldn't be the first (or last) time a GA invented something on the spot rather than just saying "I don't know" (or misinterpreted the data on his/her screen).
Science Goy is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 11:49 am
  #275  
brp
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: SJC
Programs: AA EXP, BA Silver, Hyatt Globalist, Hilton diamond, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 33,535
Originally Posted by richarddd

Someone looking 25 years old is old enough to have founded a successful startup, inherited serious money, etc.
While all of this is true, the odds are against it. If one were to compute the mean and standard deviation for the age of AAirpass holders, I would expect the mean to be closer to twice that, and someone 25 to be more than 2 sigma out. Doesn't mean it can't happen, of course. Still.

Also, if one were to compute the probability of an AAirpass member being male (simply based on the current membership), I would estimate higher than 75% chance. And that is likely low.

Cheers.
brp is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 11:54 am
  #276  
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Bay Area
Programs: WN A-List, AA good-riddance, Safeway Club Card Extraordinaire
Posts: 3,851
Originally Posted by brp
While all of this is true, the odds are against it. If one were to compute the mean and standard deviation for the age of AAirpass holders, I would expect the mean to be closer to twice that, and someone 25 to be more than 2 sigma out. Doesn't mean it can't happen, of course. Still.
At the same time, 2-sigma outliers have a much higher chance of being reported on FT; if the occupant was a balding 50-year-old male in a suit, he wouldn't have warranted a mention.
Science Goy is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 12:10 pm
  #277  
brp
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: SJC
Programs: AA EXP, BA Silver, Hyatt Globalist, Hilton diamond, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 33,535
Originally Posted by Science Goy
At the same time, 2-sigma outliers have a much higher chance of being reported on FT; if the occupant was a balding 50-year-old male in a suit, he wouldn't have warranted a mention.
Agreed. Just saying that, while it could be true, it is unlikely that the 25ish year old woman in that seat was an AAirpass member, for the reasons cited above.

At the very least, I would expect someone with the wherewithal to be able to afford that at such a young age to be cooler than to fly AA

Cheers.
brp is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 9:00 pm
  #278  
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: YVR SFO
Programs: UA G
Posts: 4,866
I'm sure this has already been noticed by the UA-refugees, but UA has been doing this since March with 1Ks losing out on upgrades to OLCI and check-in buyups.
unavaca is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 9:07 pm
  #279  
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Bay Area
Programs: WN A-List, AA good-riddance, Safeway Club Card Extraordinaire
Posts: 3,851
Originally Posted by unavaca
I'm sure this has already been noticed by the UA-refugees, but UA has been doing this since March with 1Ks losing out on upgrades to OLCI and check-in buyups.
Oh yes. It is frequently cited as a reason for jumping ship. For the record, most alleged cases of this here have been subsequently debunked by knowledgable sources with inside information.
Science Goy is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 9:47 pm
  #280  
Formerly known as CollegeFlyer
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: JRA
Programs: UA 1K MM, AA PLT, Hyatt Diamond, Marriott Gold, Hertz 5*
Posts: 6,716
Originally Posted by brp
While all of this is true, the odds are against it. If one were to compute the mean and standard deviation for the age of AAirpass holders, I would expect the mean to be closer to twice that, and someone 25 to be more than 2 sigma out. Doesn't mean it can't happen, of course. Still.

Also, if one were to compute the probability of an AAirpass member being male (simply based on the current membership), I would estimate higher than 75% chance. And that is likely low.

Cheers.
Meh. "looks 25" != "is 25."
Some people look younger than they are, and we have no idea whether this person was actually 25 or not.

Besides, someone with enough $$ to spend on either full F or AAirpass is also disproportionately more likely to have $$ to spend on cosmetics and/or plastic surgery, right?
EsquireFlyer is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 11:11 pm
  #281  
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 102
Why wouldn't a non-elite purchase the upgrade? If a non-elite checks in with 2 bags, he/she already knows they will pay $60? for those bags. For $30 more, they can sit in F.

This is a problem on flights where the upgrade price is close to the baggage fee.
lightbulb is offline  
Old Oct 8, 2012, 11:39 pm
  #282  
Moderator: Alaska Mileage Plan
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 12,319
Originally Posted by Science Goy
Sure, and it wouldn't be the first (or last) time a GA invented something on the spot rather than just saying "I don't know" (or misinterpreted the data on his/her screen).
Nor the first (or last) time a FTer invented something on the spot rather than just saying "I don't know" (or misinterpreted the data in this forum).
dayone is offline  
Old Oct 9, 2012, 3:33 am
  #283  
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 3,049
Originally Posted by lightbulb
Why wouldn't a non-elite purchase the upgrade? If a non-elite checks in with 2 bags, he/she already knows they will pay $60? for those bags. For $30 more, they can sit in F.

This is a problem on flights where the upgrade price is close to the baggage fee.
It is only a 'problem' when RM guess wrong and leave an Elite on the list without their upgrade.

When RM get it right (which they seem to do most of the time) then it is working just fine to extract a few more $$ from a non-elite and fill the otherwise empty seat.
Mark_T is offline  
Old Oct 9, 2012, 11:30 am
  #284  
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: PHL / NYC / PSA-BLQ
Programs: AA PPRO, Marriott/Hilton Gold, AMX-Plat, Global Entry
Posts: 3,111
Originally Posted by NYCQuaker
Thanks brp.

Was having a hell of a time getting search to work on my phone's browser.

AA twitter responded that it was an AAirpass member, but the open seat is occupied by a girl no more than 25. Before you pounce me, FT, I'm not attempting to make any inferences from this, as seats change all the time, and her perceived age is in no way indicative of anything - just find it odd.

Would AAirpass members come through similarly to paid F?
Admittedly a long-time ago but when I was 21 my job had me flying >100k miles per year all in F. It was around 1980 and there was no Airpass but I traveled with a stack of blank AA Airchecks. It's not the norm but it does happen.
JMN57 is offline  
Old Oct 9, 2012, 7:49 pm
  #285  
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: RBKC
Programs: AA EXP and Eurostar Carte Blanche
Posts: 3,851
Originally Posted by JMN57
…when I was 21 my job had me flying >100k miles per year all in F.
What kind of job did you have?!
ExpatExp is offline  


Contact Us - Manage Preferences - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.