[Speculation] Possibility of Lie-Flat Seats on Transcon Routes?
#91
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Most of your points are well taken, except the above, which is factually incorrect; there are almost twice as many millionaires living in Washington DC, for example, as opposed to NYC. And there are certainly enough jet-setting millionaires in the LA area if the idea is that this is the market that supports an airline like B6 (which is to me a silly contention). In fact, B6 thrives because for comparable Y fares, you get free WiFi, live TV, and more legroom than anyone else.
Looks like Delta is the only one offering their high end transcon service LAX-DCA, and that's it. United might have lie-flats, and they might not. They have enough equipment swaps that it can change 3 times between when you book and when you fly.
They also make the details for getting your firearms to Alaska and your game or fish home easy to find on their website and provide more useful detail than other airlines.
#92
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HA is expanding service... with narrowbodies. All of the airlines you mention fly narrowbodies on at least some of their Hawaii routes, as you put it.
But yes, AS is DOOOOMED. People have been saying this for decades about not having a premium transcon service, so it must be true. Just like how WN has been doomed for fifty years...
But yes, AS is DOOOOMED. People have been saying this for decades about not having a premium transcon service, so it must be true. Just like how WN has been doomed for fifty years...
#93
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that's a lot of routes -- HA from LAX, SFO, LAS, SEA, SAN, PHX; and UA as you mentioned from both SFO and LAX. also, i believe DL offers year round lie flat service from LAX and seasonal from SLC
#94
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So far the only clear thing that has been expressed to me is your personal seating preference. Which appears to be available on multiple airlines. So I’m not sure why it matters if Alaska doesn’t have current plans to chase your (very thin) slice of the market?
#95
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Maybe your point is diluted in the posts above, so that I’m not seeing it. What is this meant to be evidence of?
So far the only clear thing that has been expressed to me is your personal seating preference. Which appears to be available on multiple airlines. So I’m not sure why it matters if Alaska doesn’t have current plans to chase your (very thin) slice of the market?
So far the only clear thing that has been expressed to me is your personal seating preference. Which appears to be available on multiple airlines. So I’m not sure why it matters if Alaska doesn’t have current plans to chase your (very thin) slice of the market?
finally, i was clarifying that i've never proclaimed AS to be "doomed", and certainly there will always be a place in the market for the Southwests and Spirits of the world.
#96
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the point of that, specifically, was that AS is expanding to transcon-length flights, competing with airlines that have life-flat subfleets, with no lie flat/semi private seating option, which means that my (very thin) slice of the market would never fly AS if i had alternatives. (i'd point out here that everyone's slice of the market is "very thin"; it's all about how many of those "very thin" slices you can string together). more broadly, i was reckoning that with a similar route network as B6, and similar expansion aspirations, they could certainly afford to roll out some limited Mint-like seating option, that competes similarly on price. but i suppose if they so starkly expose the mediocrity of their current F product with something more relevant to the 21st century, they'd feel pressure to roll those upgrades out more widely.
finally, i was clarifying that i've never proclaimed AS to be "doomed", and certainly there will always be a place in the market for the Southwests and Spirits of the world.
finally, i was clarifying that i've never proclaimed AS to be "doomed", and certainly there will always be a place in the market for the Southwests and Spirits of the world.
#97
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the point of that, specifically, was that AS is expanding to transcon-length flights, competing with airlines that have life-flat subfleets, with no lie flat/semi private seating option, which means that my (very thin) slice of the market would never fly AS if i had alternatives.
They’ve given up some market share VX had in that space, but presumably because they’re more interested in other ways to make money than premium transcon.
And then like clockwork, someone comes in and says “but why no lie flats?”, and the cycle of FT starts all over again... nature is healing.
#98
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You really don't get it... For the overwhelming majority of routes that AS operates, their F product is far superior to anything offered by AA, UA or DL. As someone who is PDX based, I lump JetBlue in with Spirit, Southwest and Sun Country (airlines that don't offer premium seating on ANY ROUTE out of my airport). If I really want a lie flat on a transcon, I'll fly AA and credit my miles to AS...
#99
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#100
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Hawaii is a vacation market for the West Coast, not a “I’m a movie exec commuting between CA and NYC” market. Very different. AS has been in THOSE markets for a long time and didn’t need lie flats to go into them either.
#101
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In the case of PDX, it's ranked #2 for AS passenger movement, so I'd say it's of some importance to AS. As I stated, AS offers a far superior premium product on every route served from PDX.
As for Seattle, AA and UA offer nothing. DL and B6 only have lie flats on a few routes... The demand must not be too overwhelming, or else DL would have DeltaOne on every SEA-JFK flight instead of only a few, right?
#102
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But the majority of the lie-flat service to Hawaii is simply widebodies routed to Hawaii either because they're required for the distance (for any flights from the Eastern or Central time zones) or for capacity (from the west coast), especially since Hawaii peak time tends to be the opposite of Europe peak time, so there's some fleet flexibility. The widebodies all have lie flat seats because they're largely used for intercontinental flights. No airline dedicates lie flat seats to Hawaii like they do for the premium transcons. And when they do operate lie-flat seats, the services (AFAIK) is still standard domestic service; they don't market the lie-flat seats as a premium thing like they do on transcons, more evidence that the presence of lie-flat seats is largely an accident of how the planes are configured. And United has (AFAIK) a dedicated "beach" 777 configuration which, while it does have lie-flat seats, has only 28 on a 772, and they're not Polaris seats; they're in a much denser configuration that doesn't look very private at all. (I could be wrong; I know very little about United's widebody fleet except for a very quick check just now on the ever-reliable SeatGuru, and I don't think I've even stepped foot on a United widebody since 2001.)
So we come back to the main point: there is clearly some market for lie-flat seats on a small fraction of the routes AS flies, but AS clearly has little interest in that market. Things can always change, but I don't see a reason to expect it to with AS, especially not before the market rebounds and anyone has any idea what the aviation market looks like in 2022 and beyond. Fortunately, if you want lie-flat seats on AS routes, there are multiple options (as you have so carefully laid out); go for it! You can even earn AS miles on the AA flights when they return.
#103
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So we come back to the main point: there is clearly some market for lie-flat seats on a small fraction of the routes AS flies, but AS clearly has little interest in that market. Things can always change, but I don't see a reason to expect it to with AS, especially not before the market rebounds and anyone has any idea what the aviation market looks like in 2022 and beyond. Fortunately, if you want lie-flat seats on AS routes, there are multiple options (as you have so carefully laid out); go for it! You can even earn AS miles on the AA flights when they return.
#104
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you're right of course. mostly, i was prodded on by the thought that i'm flying B6 to position in SEA for a slew of AS flights, even though AS offers a JFK-SEA nonstop. it seemed like a waste. the idea of a revenue first class ticket on a 6.5 hour flight being a similar hard product (in my mind) to Y in B6 just struck me as so absurd, especially considering that Mint on those same dates was $20 cheaper than AS in F! so i was compelled to ask out loud (and on here) -- who, aside from people who just need to credit their flights to AA or vie for status, would choose that hard product willingly over Mint?
I’ll add that in my experience, AS F is often much cheaper, usually less than half the price, especially when booked several months in advance. I’m not sure how COVID has impacted this.
Last edited by RAD_PDX; Dec 20, 2020 at 9:24 am Reason: Fixing nasty grammar
#105
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Do any other carriers run lie-flats in 737-7/8/9? If so what is their seat layout?
It’s hard to imagine that being economical for AS given that it would reduce the number of available FC seats, unless they encroached on MC space.
If AS could retrofit 737s to fill a premium route I could envision it being discussed but if they needed a wide body plane such as A330 then I would think not.
It’s hard to imagine that being economical for AS given that it would reduce the number of available FC seats, unless they encroached on MC space.
If AS could retrofit 737s to fill a premium route I could envision it being discussed but if they needed a wide body plane such as A330 then I would think not.