[Speculation] Possibility of Lie-Flat Seats on Transcon Routes?
#136
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: YYF/YLW
Programs: AA, DL, AS, VA, WS Silver
Posts: 5,951
Well, DL (with hubs and the ability to feed long haul flights on both ends in addition to the local traffic) has tried premium service on SEA-JFK, and it's come and gone a few times even with their advantages. (I wasn't paying close enough to know the status of it as of pre-COVID 2020.) The fact that that's AS's best (really, least bad) opportunity for a premium transcon product is a good indication of why AS management has shown very little interest in the idea.
Yeah. And beyond the (sensibly) cautious management, there is an enormous difference between AS and B6: B6's home base is the one city in the US which has consistently supported premium domestic products. AS's home base is not.
I think this horse is pretty thoroughly dead. Enjoy the holiday.
I think this horse is pretty thoroughly dead. Enjoy the holiday.
#137
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: SEA
Programs: Hilton/Marriott Gold, Accor Silver
Posts: 2,036
As I see it, the only way AS starts running lie-flats to JFK is if they decide to buy whatever 757 replacement Boeing cooks over the next couple of years; use it to launch routes like PDX-HND, SEA-HEL, and FT Armchair CEO favorite ANC-NRT now that's they're big boys in OneWorld; and decide to throw some transcons in for the sake of fleet utilization only.
...which is not a scenario I would put money on happening. Even just the first two parts.
...which is not a scenario I would put money on happening. Even just the first two parts.
#138
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 1999
Location: Over the Bay Bridge, CA
Programs: Jumbo mas
Posts: 38,631
... and the horse is being served, in some sort of fancy sauce on Air France, in a lie-flat seat. So you see, never going to be an issue on AS. In fact, AS is more likely to serve you reindeer in the main cabin then to serve you anything in a lie flat seat.
#139
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: British Columbia
Programs: AS MVPG100K, Marriott Marriott Titanium Elite, Hilton Gold
Posts: 7,263
James
#140
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Original Poster
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: SEA, but up and down the coast a lot
Programs: Oceanic Airlines Gold Elite
Posts: 20,391
On that note, B6 is doing such an amazing job on SEA-JFK they're suspending it over the winter doldrums, amazing, incredible, wonderful, blow AS's pants off Mint product and all.
It's almost like there aren't huge premium transcon markets outside of NYC-SFO/LAX to make a bjillion dollars on or something.
It's almost like there aren't huge premium transcon markets outside of NYC-SFO/LAX to make a bjillion dollars on or something.
#141
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: JFK / LGA.. EWR is not part of NYC!
Programs: Brand loyalty is for suckers
Posts: 1,047
On that note, B6 is doing such an amazing job on SEA-JFK they're suspending it over the winter doldrums, amazing, incredible, wonderful, blow AS's pants off Mint product and all.
It's almost like there aren't huge premium transcon markets outside of NYC-SFO/LAX to make a bjillion dollars on or something.
It's almost like there aren't huge premium transcon markets outside of NYC-SFO/LAX to make a bjillion dollars on or something.
#142
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 5,956
I'm just still surprised this thread is dragging on and on and on.... The horse is so dead. It's got so many lives it's practically a cat.
#144
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 12,597
Even when UA was at its peak in at LAX and there were practically LAX-IAD/IAD-LAX flights every hour, even if some aircraft had lie-flats, you couldn't count on there not being an equipment swap. The frequency was there so you could finish what you were doing at either end and get home fast, or get there at the time you needed, not spend a bunch of time on the ground waiting for a plane with a lie-flat.
#145
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 1999
Location: Over the Bay Bridge, CA
Programs: Jumbo mas
Posts: 38,631
LAX is the busiest O/D airport in the world, supporting a population larger than most states, and there's never been enough of a market for transcon LAX-(eastcoast-but-not-NYC) to support multiple competitive premium products to anywhere but NYC. Airlines toy with doing it to BOS, but the BOS market is too small for everybody to be doing it. There's mint, and DL is doing it, but UA has only danced around the edges of it on and off, even when adding BOS as a "focus city". If you can't get enough people to/from LAX to buy it, anyplace else is likely to be tougher.
Even when UA was at its peak in at LAX and there were practically LAX-IAD/IAD-LAX flights every hour, even if some aircraft had lie-flats, you couldn't count on there not being an equipment swap. The frequency was there so you could finish what you were doing at either end and get home fast, or get there at the time you needed, not spend a bunch of time on the ground waiting for a plane with a lie-flat.
Even when UA was at its peak in at LAX and there were practically LAX-IAD/IAD-LAX flights every hour, even if some aircraft had lie-flats, you couldn't count on there not being an equipment swap. The frequency was there so you could finish what you were doing at either end and get home fast, or get there at the time you needed, not spend a bunch of time on the ground waiting for a plane with a lie-flat.
But the economics of all this has changed. Fares were really high - SFO/BOS in Y, absent some great sale, could be $600+. Premium cabin fares were sky high, and upgrades weren't automatic. For most if not all airlines, you needed to use the complimentary coupon type of upgrade, and when you ran out, you had to buy more. When an airline now can run a flight with 2 in the cockpit, and 4 in the cabin for up to 200 people (the 739s, the 321s), and can't jam that many more on a 767 with a decent premium cabin, you do the math.
#147
Join Date: Apr 2003
Programs: B6 Mosaic, Bonvoy LT Titanium (x SPG LT), IHG Spire, UA Silver
Posts: 5,848
AS could also buy a hotel to offer lie flats on the ground--or perhaps sell mattresses giving Mileplan bonus miles for those that simply have to have a bed.
#148
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2017
Programs: AS 75K, DL Silver, UA Platinum, Hilton Gold, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Platinum + LT Gold
Posts: 10,502
UA, at its pre-CO peak, had multiple heavies flying to the hubs, and even some to non-hubs. Sure, the planes typically flew onward to an international destination, but I don't think these flights were money losing operations. Even BOS had 3 cabin 767 frequencies for quite some time.
#149
Join Date: May 2012
Location: HNL
Programs: AS MVPG, HA Plat
Posts: 1,268
Kidding aside, I find AS first to the west coast, sleeping in a bed, and then going on in the morning to be a perfectly decent way to get from Hawaii to the east coast. I leave a bit earlier but arrive in time for dinner and in shape to enjoy it.
#150
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: JFK / LGA.. EWR is not part of NYC!
Programs: Brand loyalty is for suckers
Posts: 1,047
that can work, but those extra ~12 hours are a luxury, particularly if your travel window is measured in a few days,