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-   -   B737MAX Recertification - Archive (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/united-airlines-mileageplus/2031779-b737max-recertification-archive.html)

txaggiemiles Mar 12, 2019 2:46 pm


Originally Posted by JNelson113 (Post 30878910)
Oh man, you all will just love this. The CSR comes back on and says that she made the change, but "my supervisor said that there is nothing wrong with the plane and if there were the FAA would have grounded them. That crash happened because the pilots made mistakes and in those countries the pilots aren't well trained. So everyone here is perfectly safe flying the MAX." This made me VERY angry and I said that it was outrageous and unfair for them to blame the pilots while the investigation is ongoing and that she and her supervisor should not be saying this to people. She then just said "okay okay" to get me off the phone.

This is absolutely nuts! I am glad they made the change though, and I think it shows UA is being proactive and accommodating here for those who need it, regardless of this agent's unsolicited commentary.

JimInOhio Mar 12, 2019 2:51 pm


Originally Posted by txaggiemiles (Post 30878939)
This is absolutely nuts! I am glad they made the change though, and I think it shows UA is being proactive and accommodating here for those who need it, regardless of this agent's unsolicited commentary.

I don't think we should consider this to be a big deal. United doesn't want to say anything negative about the MAX series as it would then call into question why they haven't grounded their small fleet.

cerealmarketer Mar 12, 2019 2:56 pm


Originally Posted by AirbusFan2B (Post 30878629)


Yes, and now many of us are worried about the Boeing as there seems to be no proactivity from Boeing or UA following 2 nearly identical total disasters (unlike the single AF disaster with A330 where airline and manufacturer were on the case.)





Originally Posted by spin88 (Post 30878701)
(1) I seriously doubt that the CAAC would have said that they had reports when none existed. First of all, Boeing would immediately want to have the details on them, as would the FAA. Second, if they did not exist, it would destroy the CAAC's credibility. (2) I would have expected with one accident, not involving a Chinese plane, for the CAAC to keep its powder dry, and expect Boeing and the FAA to be investigating things quickly and professionally.

I am not saying that a trade war did/did not impact their decision to ground the planes (which has now been seconded the EU, so not out in left field...) but I find no reasonable situation where the CAAC would lie about having reports from Chinese pilots of similar issues.



Yes, and as AB Fan noted, Airbus swung into action, going so far as to spend Millions of $$$ to raise the plane off the south Atlantic sea floor. Boeing seems to have gone into a defensive crouch with the LionAir Crash - which I assumed from their statements was a one off, failure of Lion Air to train in a new system. Now that this turns out to be a suspect statement - with a new reflash of the system coming in a few weeks - Boeing has frankly substantially decreased my trust in them. I am getting a sneaking suspicion that having cut corners on the MAX (being beated out of the box by the neo, and lacking the will and engineering resources for a new aircraft) and with it being about 70% of sales, that Boeing is not exactly being forthcoming.

+1

AF447 happened June 1st, 2009

It took until September 2009 for European and US authorities to force pitot replacement

FAA orders airplane part replaced after Air France crash - CNN.com

With AF447 Airbus knew of the issue in advance - and had a replacement option in place - why didn't it raise the severity of it to force airlines or authorities to ground the aircraft and get it done? Could have saved those lives.

Neither Boeing nor Airbus are saints on these matters of trading profitability vs risk.

Airbus is still dealing with the criminal investigation into AF447

https://www.efe.com/efe/english/worl...000262-3772181

It was also held liable for a crash of an A320 in Strasbourg that killed over 80 people - with the design of a control implicated

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-fr...76691420061107

The political nature of these 'Airbus' vs 'Boeing' discussions is so predicable...fun to inject facts and history

jsloan Mar 12, 2019 3:01 pm


Originally Posted by AirbusFan2B (Post 30878854)
But ua should do the right thing.

You're presupposing what "the right thing" is. Perhaps the "right thing" is to resist the rush to judgement.

AirbusFan2B Mar 12, 2019 3:12 pm


Originally Posted by jsloan (Post 30878991)
You're presupposing what "the right thing" is. Perhaps the "right thing" is to resist the rush to judgement.

No, because one of the few things UA can tout is its safety record.

mozilla Mar 12, 2019 3:15 pm


Originally Posted by jsloan (Post 30878991)
You're presupposing what "the right thing" is. Perhaps the "right thing" is to resist the rush to judgement.

Absolutely agree. However, when you're getting cornered by the rest of the world, you better make sure that nothing happens with any of the B3XM that you keep flying. Because even the slightest unrelated incident involving this type of aircraft will cause a media and public opinion backlash that would make the Dao case look like a walk in the park, possibly severely tarnishing UA's safety reputation. UA won't get the credit that ET got.

We have statistics on our side, and I stand by our belief that the right thing is to keep flying the B38M. But then again, I'm not the most risk-averse person, and it's up to UA to decide if they can live with the risk outlined above.

EWR764 Mar 12, 2019 3:17 pm


Originally Posted by JimInOhio (Post 30878920)
I'm not in the "cutting corners" camp by any means. OTOH, it's well known Boeing didn't want to design an entirely new main landing gear to raise the airframe because it would have required a fully new certification process.

That's absolutely right, but cost decisions are made all the time in product development... the 787-10 would be a perfect 777-200ER replacement, but Boeing would have to redesign the MLG to support the increased gross weights for a closer match in range, and that was nixed for cost reasons.


Originally Posted by mozilla (Post 30879036)
Absolutely agree. However, when you're getting cornered by the rest of the world, you better make sure that nothing happens with any of the B3XM that you keep flying. Because even the slightest unrelated incident involving this type of aircraft will cause a media and public opinion backlash that would make the Dao case look like a walk in the park, possibly severely tarnishing UA's safety reputation. UA won't get the credit that ET got.

We have statistics on our side, and I stand by our belief that the right thing is to keep flying the B38M. But then again, I'm not the most risk-adverse person, and it's up to UA to decide if they can live with the risk outlined above.

United has systems, training and procedures in place it is confident will limit the likelihood of another Lion Air crash... I could go into greater detail but we've discussed it throughout the thread so for purposes of brevity I wont.

With regard to the ET crash, there are scant public facts available to suggest a causal theory, and so United is left to rely on its systems, training and procedures, which it believes to be safe, to ensure continued safe operation. Once actionable data is available, it may or may not change that belief. But any grounding, at this point, would be purely speculative and nothing more than acceding to the mob. For some airlines or regulatory authorities, the benefit to that approach outweighs the commercial and reputational risk.

IAH-OIL-TRASH Mar 12, 2019 3:21 pm


Originally Posted by JNelson113 (Post 30878799)
Just a data point here, I'm scheduled to fly the MAX 9 tomorrow from OGG to LAX. I'm on the phone with UA right now and being told that the pilots are well trained and the MAX 8 is not the same as the 9, and so on. Resistance to changing me to a different flight (on a 772) even though there's tons of room and it's listed as K9 (I have a K class ticket). Anyone else have a different experience?

Update: After the rep consulted with a supervisor the change was made.

Are you the first FTer to beg to get on a 10-across 772 from a 737 because you prefer that plane :) ?

I know - different issues...

JNelson113 Mar 12, 2019 3:23 pm


Originally Posted by IAH-OIL-TRASH (Post 30879061)
Are you the first FTer to beg to get on a 10-across 772 from a 737 because you prefer that plane :) ?

I know - different issues...

I confess that was part of it. :-). BUT I really do feel uncomfortable with the MAX now and plan to avoid it in travel for the foreseeable future.

cerealmarketer Mar 12, 2019 3:25 pm


Originally Posted by mozilla (Post 30879036)
Absolutely agree. However, when you're getting cornered by the rest of the world, you better make sure that nothing happens with any of the B3XM that you keep flying. Because even the slightest unrelated incident involving this type of aircraft will cause a media and public opinion backlash that would make the Dao case look like a walk in the park, possibly severely tarnishing UA's safety reputation. UA won't get the credit that ET got.

We have statistics on our side, and I stand by our belief that the right thing is to keep flying the B38M. But then again, I'm not the most risk-averse person, and it's up to UA to decide if they can live with the risk outlined above.

Indeed the risk to the airline as a whole is less than what we individually may value.

Remember Valujet didn't go out of business after its crash. It just acquired another airline, created the Airtran brand and kept the Valujet management team.

mozilla Mar 12, 2019 3:26 pm


Originally Posted by EWR764 (Post 30879043)
But any grounding, at this point, would be purely speculative and nothing more than acceding to the mob. For some airlines or regulatory authorities, the benefit to that approach outweighs the commercial and reputational risk.

It indeed boils down to this exact risk assessment which UA undoubtedly has made by now.

However, while you and I agree, the public opinion will not agree if an incident occurs.

EWR764 Mar 12, 2019 3:49 pm


Originally Posted by mozilla (Post 30879079)
However, while you and I agree, the public opinion will not agree if an incident occurs.

Of course it won't... but what makes an incident meaningfully more likely today, or tomorrow, versus Saturday, or any time before ET302?

If United is seeing a book-away factor, or people clamoring to reschedule their MAX flights, they might consider doing so for commercial purposes, but not until that point, or the FAA takes action.

txaggiemiles Mar 12, 2019 3:57 pm


Originally Posted by JimInOhio (Post 30878959)
I don't think we should consider this to be a big deal. United doesn't want to say anything negative about the MAX series as it would then call into question why they haven't grounded their small fleet.

From a customer service perspective I do consider it a big deal. If the policy UA is implementing is to allow the change, I don't need a phone agent coming back on the line to lecture me after I have specifically made and been granted the request.

Realunited Mar 12, 2019 3:58 pm

The Lion Air plane crashed due to a faulty sensor that they knew about previously and decided not to replace coupled with a crew without the skills and systems knowledge to handle the problem. Ethiopian happened a couple of days ago and the cause is _________??? Based on this, the entire worldwide Max fleet needs to be grounded based on really poor and typically sensationalistic and mostly incorrect media reporting and angry social media posts made by people who believe the inaccurate sensationalist reporting?

I will only reiterate that the Max is a safe airplane and I would step on one today and fly it with zero apprehension.

mozilla Mar 12, 2019 4:01 pm


Originally Posted by EWR764 (Post 30879166)
Of course it won't... but what makes an incident meaningfully more likely today, or tomorrow, versus Saturday, or any time before ET302?

For sane people, nothing. For the social media mob and the media, everything - if UA has an incident with a B39M while the majority of the worldwide fleet B3XM is grounded. Even a totally unrelated one, as the social media mob nor the media are known for avoiding a rush to judgment.

But again, I agree that it all boils down to the assessment(s) you mentioned. If UA is confident that the risk of an incident involving a B39M is so low that it outweighs the cost of grounding the plane to avert the worst PR disaster an airline could ever imagine, it should definitely keep flying the plane as long as they are regulatory allowed. And I hope they do, as I'm flying a UA B39M soon with no plans of changing my reservation.


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