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United to order 50 Airbus A321XLR (for 2024) (TATL w/Polaris seats)

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Old Dec 3, 2019, 5:26 pm
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United Airlines Sets a Course for the Future With Order of 50 Airbus A321XLR Aircraft
New aircraft will improve operational efficiency, elevate the inflight travel experience and reduce environmental impact
Airline expects to operate new aircraft on transatlantic routes out of its East Coast hubs in 2024
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CHICAGO, Dec. 3, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- United Airlines today announced an order to purchase 50 new Airbus A321XLR aircraft, enabling the carrier to begin replacing and retiring its existing fleet of Boeing 757-200 aircraft and further meet the airline's operational needs by pairing the optimal aircraft with select transatlantic routes. The state-of-the-art aircraft, which United expects to introduce into international service in 2024, will also allow United to explore serving additional destinations in Europe from its East Coast hubs in Newark/New York and Washington.



"The new Airbus A321XLR aircraft is an ideal one-for-one replacement for the older, less-efficient aircraft currently operating between some of the most vital cities in our intercontinental network," said Andrew Nocella, United's executive vice president and chief commercial officer. "In addition to strengthening our ability to fly more efficiently, the A321XLR's range capabilities open potential new destinations to further develop our route network and provide customers with more options to travel the globe."

The next-generation A321XLR offers customers an elevated inflight experience and features modern amenities including LED lighting, larger overhead bin space and Wi-Fi connectivity. Additionally, the new aircraft lowers overall fuel burn per seat by about 30% when compared to previous generation aircraft, enabling United to further minimize its environmental impact as the carrier moves towards its ambitious goal of reducing its carbon footprint by 50% relative to 2005 levels by 2050.

United plans to begin taking delivery of the Airbus A321XLR in 2024. Additionally, the airline will defer the delivery of its order of Airbus A350s until 2027 to better align with the carrier's operational needs.



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United to order 50 Airbus A321XLR (for 2024) (TATL w/Polaris seats)

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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 10:29 am
  #76  
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While the MAX situation likely was a contributing factor in the decision fo UA to purchase the Airbus A321XLR, let's not open another in-depth discussion of the MAX details in this thread but rather use the MAX thread for that B737MAX [Grounded as of 13 March 2019]

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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 12:26 pm
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Originally Posted by spin88
It will be interesting how they equip the plane. They can't run a whole bunch of Y with 30" pitch and have the range. They can (1) equip it with PE and then 32" Y, or (2) I guess do three classes, say 8 J seats, 12 PE then 32" Y, would help with range, or (3) do what Aer Lingus and TAP are doing with 16 J staggered then some Y+.
I expect a premium-heavy config, because the skinny TATL routes are worth running to capture premium loads, not for some low margin Y traffic.

16J + 8-12PE is my guess. Possibly even more J based on the thinking represented in the B763 high-J config.
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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 1:03 pm
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Originally Posted by mduell
I expect a premium-heavy config, because the skinny TATL routes are worth running to capture premium loads, not for some low margin Y traffic.

16J + 8-12PE is my guess. Possibly even more J based on the thinking represented in the B763 high-J config.
They are getting 50 aircraft, and I can't come up with anywhere near that number of routes where a premium heavy narrow body would fly. While I think this is a great aircraft, and in Y it will be better than anything in the UA fleet other than the 763, UA can't go up against widebodies in J/PE (and would have a problem doing so in Y against a decent plane like an A333neo, B763, A359 that offers reasonably sized seats) with a norrow body.

I can see a few business routes that UA might want to do on this bird, ORD-EDI, ORD-AMS , some of the routes from EWR (or ORD) and Scandinavia (CPH, ARN, etc), perhaps ORD-Stutgart, or EWR-Berlin, EWR-Lyon, but much of the routes I would think UA would want to serve would be less premium business heavy, routes from ORD/EWR/IAD to spain/portugal, middle European places like Vienna, Prague, or destinations in Italy.

I would also expect these planes to be used on IAH/SFO flights to central/upper south America, none of which is that premium heavy.
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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 2:26 pm
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Originally Posted by spin88
They are getting 50 aircraft, and I can't come up with anywhere near that number of routes where a premium heavy narrow body would fly.
Most places the 16J 757s are going TATL. I think they'd have more J as a 2 class airplane if not for the 2L boarding. Since they now have PE and 1L boarding, I got to my config guess above.
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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 2:51 pm
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Sad for the US aircraft industry. The days of 90,000 cycles for products like the 747 are gone. 757's and 767's will probably make it to 90k, but their days are fast approaching. 737max is grounded. The rest of the 737's are seeing pickle fork issues at 25000 cycles.
There's only a single viable vendor for the immediate future now: Airbus.
...unless 787's can be put into non-hub routes like the 1970's and 1980's had, kind of like UA/CO's island hopping.
Has-beens Lockheed, McDonnell/Douglas, British Aerospace, Saab, Swearingen, De Havilland are all gone from the commercial aircraft market. Embraer got acquired by Boeing. Bombardier got acquired by Airbus.
China & Russia combined to try to bust into the market. They have an opening now, but their powerplants just don't have pedigrees or supply chains established.

Last edited by Long Zhiren; Dec 5, 2019 at 3:01 pm
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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 3:04 pm
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Originally Posted by geo979
Probably YT or SFG. Surely not WQ or TRO. The last time they went for GFG they learned their lesson and went for TYE after that.
???
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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 3:12 pm
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Originally Posted by thejaredhuang
???
I'm pretty sure the OP was taking the piss with that reply.
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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 3:47 pm
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Originally Posted by EWR764
Less range [than 752], even with all those aux tanks (really the only thing that makes the XLR any different)?
Do we know that for sure? B752 has 57t to work with (MTOW OEW), of which ~19t goes to pax/luggage in a TATL configuration, leaving 38t. But the tanks only hold ~34t, so that appears to be the limiting factor. A321XLR MTOW is forecast at 101t. At 101t it would have 50t to work with, of which ~18t goes to pax/luggage, so ~32t of fuel. I'm unclear on the tank size of the XLR. The A321neo holds ~24t, and the new rear center tank can hold almost 10t; if they're additive then it could hold a full 32t.

At any fuel load of 29t or more, the XLR will surely give the 752 a run for its money in range. At near-equivalent fuel loads I can't see how it could possibly have less range. Yes, it will take longer to get to FL360 or above, but that's going to be more than compensated for by the GTF/LEAP engines that have considerably lower SFC and lower max thrust than the PW2040.

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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 4:02 pm
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Originally Posted by mduell
Most places the 16J 757s are going TATL. I think they'd have more J as a 2 class airplane if not for the 2L boarding. Since they now have PE and 1L boarding, I got to my config guess above.
No doubt on some of the 757 routes, e.g. to LHR, EDI, I expect they could sell more J. However, we are talking 50 of these birds, not 16. I also think that having PE cuts into the demand for J on what are going to be max 7-8 hour flights. It will be interesting though as what UA announced will give us a good look into how PE sales are going vs J and how much cannibalism there is on shorter (i.e. not 12-15 hours) routes.
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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 4:04 pm
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Originally Posted by Long Zhiren
China & Russia combined to try to bust into the market. They have an opening now, but their powerplants just don't have pedigrees or supply chains established.
I think we are a long ways off from these being palatable to western buyers.
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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 4:06 pm
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Is it possible that once UA gets the XLR, they may decide to take on shorter-range A321neos as well? I would hope that they develop a high-J subfleet (like the sUA p.s. 752 birds with 28J) that could be used for premium TCON, but I would think the XLR is too much plane for TCON routes.
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Old Dec 5, 2019 | 6:04 pm
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There's no reason they can't use them like CO did with the 752 to add new thin routes or add supplemental capacity.
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Old Dec 6, 2019 | 12:12 am
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I knows A321XLR can fly nonstop flight from O'Hare to Basel, Geneva, Helsinki, Stockholm, Pisa, Vienna.

According of Great Circle Mapper:

Great Circle Mapper

They sure can fly nonstop flight from O'Hare hub instead of EWR or IAD.

All I want to fly nonstop flight ORD to Basel, Switzerland. It will be very easy for me. I don't have stop in London-Heathrow anymore.
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Old Dec 6, 2019 | 12:29 am
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Originally Posted by milypan
Do we know that for sure? B752 has 57t to work with (MTOW OEW), of which ~19t goes to pax/luggage in a TATL configuration, leaving 38t. But the tanks only hold ~34t, so that appears to be the limiting factor. A321XLR MTOW is forecast at 101t. At 101t it would have 50t to work with, of which ~18t goes to pax/luggage, so ~32t of fuel. I'm unclear on the tank size of the XLR. The A321neo holds ~24t, and the new rear center tank can hold almost 10t; if they're additive then it could hold a full 32t.

At any fuel load of 29t or more, the XLR will surely give the 752 a run for its money in range. At near-equivalent fuel loads I can't see how it could possibly have less range. Yes, it will take longer to get to FL360 or above, but that's going to be more than compensated for by the GTF/LEAP engines that have considerably lower SFC and lower max thrust than the PW2040.
Airbus has published (and promised) a range of 4700 nm for the A321xlr. The 752 has a published range of 3,900. Lots of reports that Airbus is hitting it's targets, but I guess we will not know until first deliveries in 2023. I don't know the loading conditions where it has a range of 4700 nm (probably could dig deeper and find them) but given the much lighter frame and engines that are about 30% more efficient per seat, as the math you did shows, there is no reason to think that the range will not exceed that of the 752 in a similar configuration by a reasonable amount.

I think the a321xlr will allow an airline to do routes (like EWR-Berlin) and even longer new routes e.g. from ORD or a route like IAD-Berlin, which were outside of the range of the 757 resulting in tech stops.
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Old Dec 6, 2019 | 1:19 am
  #90  
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Originally Posted by N830MH
I knows A321XLR can fly nonstop flight from O'Hare to Basel, Geneva, Helsinki, Stockholm, Pisa, Vienna.

According of Great Circle Mapper:

Great Circle Mapper
It is more complicated than simple distance -- one also need to take in account wind patterns and flight plan deviations to avoid headwinds
This was an issue with 752s had with some routes -- easy in the summer, not so easy in the winter due to the jetstream

Last edited by WineCountryUA; Dec 6, 2019 at 1:00 pm
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