Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
#4021
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 11,462
I've got an LAX-ORD flight coming up next week and PZ space just opened. It's currently J9 - P9 with 15/24 seats unassigned. As a 1K, trying to determine if I should burn the RPU or just hope for the CPU. Is Friday evening a busy time for LAX-ORD (I usually travel in morning on this route and it always fills up)? I really want the upgrade because I'll be coming to the airport hungry and like the pesto chicken this month. But I really hate to "waste" a RPU on a non ps flight. Buy-up is $213 which also isn't bad, but there's no need to waste that for a 753 when I can just buy a hamburger onboard and stretch out in an exit row...
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Thoughts?
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Thoughts?
However, if 1AB are open on your flight, I'd consider it good use of the RPU.
#4022
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Los Angeles / Basel
Programs: UA 1K MM, AA EXP, Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 26,927
Why would you buy a hamburger on board when as a 1K you can get it for free? Although you have to be careful as one time when I was in Row 21 I did get the last one. So, I assume that there's the possibility that they might be gone by that row.
I also only travel that route in the morning (to be able to not miss the last flight home) and then First Class is packed with passengers transferring to flights to Europe.
I also only travel that route in the morning (to be able to not miss the last flight home) and then First Class is packed with passengers transferring to flights to Europe.
I got the CPU for 661 at this time of last year (May 2018), but it was Monday instead of Friday. I've also had pretty good luck the last few months with ORD/LAX. Not sure if summer is more or less difficult than winter and spring.
However, if 1AB are open on your flight, I'd consider it good use of the RPU.
However, if 1AB are open on your flight, I'd consider it good use of the RPU.
#4023
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,461
I've got an LAX-ORD flight coming up next week and PZ space just opened. It's currently J9 - P9 with 15/24 seats unassigned. As a 1K, trying to determine if I should burn the RPU or just hope for the CPU. Is Friday evening a busy time for LAX-ORD (I usually travel in morning on this route and it always fills up)? I really want the upgrade because I'll be coming to the airport hungry and like the pesto chicken this month. But I really hate to "waste" a RPU on a non ps flight. Buy-up is $213 which also isn't bad, but there's no need to waste that for a 753 when I can just buy a hamburger onboard and stretch out in an exit row...
But I'm throwing at LAX-SFO now.
#4024
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,161
I've got an LAX-ORD flight coming up next week and PZ space just opened. It's currently J9 - P9 with 15/24 seats unassigned. As a 1K, trying to determine if I should burn the RPU or just hope for the CPU. Is Friday evening a busy time for LAX-ORD (I usually travel in morning on this route and it always fills up)? I really want the upgrade because I'll be coming to the airport hungry and like the pesto chicken this month. But I really hate to "waste" a RPU on a non ps flight. Buy-up is $213 which also isn't bad, but there's no need to waste that for a 753 when I can just buy a hamburger onboard and stretch out in an exit row...
Thoughts?
Thoughts?
#4025
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,461
#4026
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
#4027
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,416
My instinct is that a 1K CPU is a pretty sure thing if the flight is really open in PZ (not a blocked waitlist), but it is of course a risk.
#4028
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Los Angeles / Basel
Programs: UA 1K MM, AA EXP, Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 26,927
we are a week away. I’m probably just going to bite the bullet and confirm the upgrade, just to save the wasted time/productivity in constantly checking the space.
#4029
Join Date: Oct 2005
Programs: Continental
Posts: 1,589
Use miles instead
Save the rpu for a ps flight
#4030
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
Programs: UA 1k, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 363
Hi,
Think this is the right place. I have a couple of questions. I am looking to take one of my quarterly trips back to UK with my 7 year old, to see family.
Looking to fly 29th June PBI-EWR-LHR. I can also fly 30th and and a push the 1st, using GPUs (just on outbound , do not use them for day flights back)
I have been doing the usual - Checking 3 times per day for last 3 weeks waiting for PZ space to open up. I could book 'free' Premium Economy on UA14 for GPU price ticket , what are the chances of clearing?
The issue I have, is I never book until PZ space is actually open, because right now, for various flights, there is a $500-$800 uplift from regular price to GPU price, is this typical? I do not recall it being that bad before. I see no point in paying 1600 extra for 2 people with no guarantee of clearing.
Also, id the "p" an indication of chance of clearing? Like P9 ? Also what does PN9 mean ?
Is it usually better to keep waiting right until the last minute to see if PZ space opens up ? Or do you run the risk of prices beinf even higher?
thx
Think this is the right place. I have a couple of questions. I am looking to take one of my quarterly trips back to UK with my 7 year old, to see family.
Looking to fly 29th June PBI-EWR-LHR. I can also fly 30th and and a push the 1st, using GPUs (just on outbound , do not use them for day flights back)
I have been doing the usual - Checking 3 times per day for last 3 weeks waiting for PZ space to open up. I could book 'free' Premium Economy on UA14 for GPU price ticket , what are the chances of clearing?
The issue I have, is I never book until PZ space is actually open, because right now, for various flights, there is a $500-$800 uplift from regular price to GPU price, is this typical? I do not recall it being that bad before. I see no point in paying 1600 extra for 2 people with no guarantee of clearing.
Also, id the "p" an indication of chance of clearing? Like P9 ? Also what does PN9 mean ?
Is it usually better to keep waiting right until the last minute to see if PZ space opens up ? Or do you run the risk of prices beinf even higher?
thx
#4031
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
Hi,
Think this is the right place. I have a couple of questions. I am looking to take one of my quarterly trips back to UK with my 7 year old, to see family.
Looking to fly 29th June PBI-EWR-LHR. I can also fly 30th and and a push the 1st, using GPUs (just on outbound , do not use them for day flights back)
I have been doing the usual - Checking 3 times per day for last 3 weeks waiting for PZ space to open up. I could book 'free' Premium Economy on UA14 for GPU price ticket , what are the chances of clearing?
The issue I have, is I never book until PZ space is actually open, because right now, for various flights, there is a $500-$800 uplift from regular price to GPU price, is this typical? I do not recall it being that bad before. I see no point in paying 1600 extra for 2 people with no guarantee of clearing.
Also, id the "p" an indication of chance of clearing? Like P9 ? Also what does PN9 mean ?
Is it usually better to keep waiting right until the last minute to see if PZ space opens up ? Or do you run the risk of prices beinf even higher?
thx
Think this is the right place. I have a couple of questions. I am looking to take one of my quarterly trips back to UK with my 7 year old, to see family.
Looking to fly 29th June PBI-EWR-LHR. I can also fly 30th and and a push the 1st, using GPUs (just on outbound , do not use them for day flights back)
I have been doing the usual - Checking 3 times per day for last 3 weeks waiting for PZ space to open up. I could book 'free' Premium Economy on UA14 for GPU price ticket , what are the chances of clearing?
The issue I have, is I never book until PZ space is actually open, because right now, for various flights, there is a $500-$800 uplift from regular price to GPU price, is this typical? I do not recall it being that bad before. I see no point in paying 1600 extra for 2 people with no guarantee of clearing.
Also, id the "p" an indication of chance of clearing? Like P9 ? Also what does PN9 mean ?
Is it usually better to keep waiting right until the last minute to see if PZ space opens up ? Or do you run the risk of prices beinf even higher?
thx
I think the price can go higher if they sell all the W fares and force you to a higher fare. Usually, the website says something like only 1 ticket left at this price, only 5 tickets left at this price when there is a risk that the fare class will go higher.
#4032
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
Programs: UA 1k, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 363
PN9 is a very good sign as it means that there are no GS waitlisted for the upgrade (unless they are a very big family of 10). Usually, they do open some PZ space but we don't know how many 1Ks are waitlisted already.
I think the price can go higher if they sell all the W fares and force you to a higher fare. Usually, the website says something like only 1 ticket left at this price, only 5 tickets left at this price when there is a risk that the fare class will go higher.
I think the price can go higher if they sell all the W fares and force you to a higher fare. Usually, the website says something like only 1 ticket left at this price, only 5 tickets left at this price when there is a risk that the fare class will go higher.
I also noticed that it is 400 bucks cheaper to book separate pbi- ewr return, then ewr-LHR return, is this common? Seems odd. Is the only downside to this being that I will not benefit from the GPU on the domestic legs?
#4033
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,412
The most common reason that a W fare price would change is that you'd pass an advance purchase window. Looking at PBI-LHR, the lowest upgradeable W fare I see has a 14-day advance purchase requirement. If you waited until 13 days prior to departure, you'd get bumped up to the next fare.
That said, consider routing on a plane that has Premium Plus. As long as the flight is UA-operated, you can upgrade any P+ ticket with a GPU, and the discount P+ fares are much, much cheaper than W. (The cheapest ones do require a 28-day advance purchase and a Saturday-night stay, though). The nice thing about that is that even if your GPU doesn't clear, you got a nicer seat for less money than the W lottery would have cost.
The biggest downside is that if you are delayed out of PBI and miss your connection in EWR, UA is not obligated to accommodate you. In practice, they have a good record for doing this, but it's not a requirement.
You would also lose EC.261 protection on the connecting flight home.
#4034
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
It's common on some routes and uncommon on others. NYC-LON is a highly competitive route.
The biggest downside is that if you are delayed out of PBI and miss your connection in EWR, UA is not obligated to accommodate you. In practice, they have a good record for doing this, but it's not a requirement.
You would also lose EC.261 protection on the connecting flight home.
The biggest downside is that if you are delayed out of PBI and miss your connection in EWR, UA is not obligated to accommodate you. In practice, they have a good record for doing this, but it's not a requirement.
You would also lose EC.261 protection on the connecting flight home.
And yes, jsloan, I understand nothing about pricing.
#4035
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
Programs: UA 1k, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 363
That's not really the way pricing works. I mean, yes, if they are at W1 and they sell a ticket, they will likely to go W0, but they can also go from W9 to W0 and back with no warning.
That said, consider routing on a plane that has Premium Plus. As long as the flight is UA-operated, you can upgrade any P+ ticket with a GPU, and the discount P+ fares are much, much cheaper than W. (The cheapest ones do require a 28-day advance purchase and a Saturday-night stay, though). The nice thing about that is that even if your GPU doesn't clear, you got a nicer seat for less money than the W lottery would have cost.
That said, consider routing on a plane that has Premium Plus. As long as the flight is UA-operated, you can upgrade any P+ ticket with a GPU, and the discount P+ fares are much, much cheaper than W. (The cheapest ones do require a 28-day advance purchase and a Saturday-night stay, though). The nice thing about that is that even if your GPU doesn't clear, you got a nicer seat for less money than the W lottery would have cost.
thx