Feb 9, 2019, 8:39 pm
Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Nov 15, 2018, 10:51 pm
#3331
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Philadelphia, LAX, Paris
Programs: UA 1K/2MM, SPG/Marriott Lifetime Titanium, Lifetime HHonors Diamond, Hyatt Globalist, AA Exec Plat
Posts: 3,346
Wife & me will be on UA 179, EWR-HKG, tomorrow Friday 11/16/2018 - we are both 1K on W fares, & using GPUs.
Wife is #2 & yours truly is #3 on the UG list.
UA app says that J is booked full (all 50 seats), & 25 have already checked in.
What are our chances?
EPILOGUE: we sat in E+.
The flight was very full and left almost 1 hour late.
Wife is #2 & yours truly is #3 on the UG list.
UA app says that J is booked full (all 50 seats), & 25 have already checked in.
What are our chances?
EPILOGUE: we sat in E+.
The flight was very full and left almost 1 hour late.
Last edited by sapguy; Nov 16, 2018 at 2:48 pm
Nov 17, 2018, 11:24 am
#3332
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 156
UA2055 BWI-SFO on 11/18. Platinum status.
10/12 booked in first. Holding off check-in to avoid the PNR split but with only 5 on the list right now, it’s tempting...
10/12 booked in first. Holding off check-in to avoid the PNR split but with only 5 on the list right now, it’s tempting...
Nov 17, 2018, 12:02 pm
#3333
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,546
I'd put the chances of a Plat and Plat Companion clearing on that flight at near zero. Even if there aren't any uncleared 1Ks, and none SDC or buy a ticket in the next 24 hours, they'll be selling TODs, and there's a good chance they'll find two takers for a 5+ hour flight.
Nov 17, 2018, 12:02 pm
#3334
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
Wife & me will be on UA 179, EWR-HKG, tomorrow Friday 11/16/2018 - we are both 1K on W fares, & using GPUs.
Wife is #2 & yours truly is #3 on the UG list.
UA app says that J is booked full (all 50 seats), & 25 have already checked in.
What are our chances?
EPILOGUE: we sat in E+.
The flight was very full and left almost 1 hour late.
Wife is #2 & yours truly is #3 on the UG list.
UA app says that J is booked full (all 50 seats), & 25 have already checked in.
What are our chances?
EPILOGUE: we sat in E+.
The flight was very full and left almost 1 hour late.
Weekends are bad days for the upgrades. It's not so easy to book other days when flying for work or limited vacation days but lately I have been trying to fly my long haul international trips on Tuesdays, Wednesdays and Thursdays. I have been more successful with my upgrades. Even my wife manages to upgrade as a Platinum on her own PNR on those days.
Nov 17, 2018, 12:17 pm
#3335
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 156
I'd put the chances of a Plat and Plat Companion clearing on that flight at near zero. Even if there aren't any uncleared 1Ks, and none SDC or buy a ticket in the next 24 hours, they'll be selling TODs, and there's a good chance they'll find two takers for a 5+ hour flight.
edit: Looks like our lucky day - booked seats dropped down to 8/12, and at about T-13, we both received confirmed CPUs!
Last edited by adams828; Nov 17, 2018 at 3:41 pm Reason: Follow Up on flight
Nov 17, 2018, 12:43 pm
#3336
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,625
Nov 17, 2018, 7:23 pm
#3337
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: USA
Programs: UA Gold, Marriott Gold
Posts: 1,213
Hmmm ... I just got notice of my upgrade on the 30 min flight to DEN so reflexively put in my request to upgrade using RPU for UA 328 DEN-HNL on Wednesday (hadn't put it in before because I didn't want it wasted on the 30 min segment). There's still an offer on the website to upgrade for $756 cash but then I see there only see left is 3E. I almost figure I'm better off in 17L but guess there's nothing lost in seeing if the RPU works.
Nov 17, 2018, 9:56 pm
#3338
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: NYC
Programs: Marriott Platinum Elite, National Executive, United Gold
Posts: 1,181
I ended up getting upgraded but the app was super buggy and showed no-one clearing off the list (I think there were two including myself). Completely full midweek flight with a couple of standbys into E+.
Nov 18, 2018, 8:59 am
#3339
Used to be guidogh
Join Date: Aug 2012
Programs: FB Ultimate, Hertz Platinum, Star Aliiance Gold
Posts: 364
FWIW, when I saw PN7 and PN5 and R0 on two of my flights for this November, I was not too surprised when some days later, both my upgrades cleared. So, hopefully it will happen for you too.
IAH-SCL, I would make sure you have your preferred Economy + seats as I see that upgrade more difficult. Although I would make sure I have that too for BRU-IAD as you never know what might happen 4 months from now.
Hopefully, you are only one passenger on the PNR (passenger name record) as they tend to open 1R at a time. If you are two or more, they tend to bypass you and upgrade the waitlisted passenger that is alone.
IAH-SCL, I would make sure you have your preferred Economy + seats as I see that upgrade more difficult. Although I would make sure I have that too for BRU-IAD as you never know what might happen 4 months from now.
Hopefully, you are only one passenger on the PNR (passenger name record) as they tend to open 1R at a time. If you are two or more, they tend to bypass you and upgrade the waitlisted passenger that is alone.
- J9 JN9 C9 D5 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN0 Q9 V9 W6 S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
- Still only 4 seats out 30 in Business are sold and I applied a GPU on a B-Fare being Premier Gold.
Nov 18, 2018, 9:16 am
#3340
Join Date: Feb 2012
Programs: United-1k, Marriott-Lifetime Plat
Posts: 111
I am trying to gauge if it's even worth wasting my time on...
Flying back from GVA-DEN on Wednesday the 21st. (Wednesday before Thanksgiving)
Currently have a GPU going from GVA-FRA-IAD-DEN.
Trying to get a GPU on the SFO flight but had not opened in PZ. I am trying to go to SFO as I am at 149,500 miles.. Trying to get the extra 2 GPU/RPU.
Here are totals currently..
Is this worth even thinking about a chance to open in PZ for a GPU?
Flying back from GVA-DEN on Wednesday the 21st. (Wednesday before Thanksgiving)
Currently have a GPU going from GVA-FRA-IAD-DEN.
Trying to get a GPU on the SFO flight but had not opened in PZ. I am trying to go to SFO as I am at 149,500 miles.. Trying to get the extra 2 GPU/RPU.
Here are totals currently..
- J4
- JN4
- C4
- D4
- Z2
- ZN2
- P0
- PN0
- PZ0
Is this worth even thinking about a chance to open in PZ for a GPU?
Nov 18, 2018, 10:39 am
#3341
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,546
Ok, since last message we are almost 3 months further, and about 2 months before departure. This is the situation for the IAH-SCL flight:
- J9 JN9 C9 D5 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN0 Q9 V9 W6 S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
- Still only 4 seats out 30 in Business are sold and I applied a GPU on a B-Fare being Premier Gold.
Nov 18, 2018, 10:47 am
#3342
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Honolulu Harbor
Programs: UA 1K
Posts: 15,055
I won't say zero chance, but PN=0 suggests little chance of anytime soon. PN=0 means GS customers might be waitlisted (in addition to 1Ks, Plats, and/or Golds on higher fare classes looking for PZ). I'd like my chances if I saw PN>0 for a while and P>0. Still 'way too early to predict w/ business travelers not booking until last couple of weeks before flight.
Nov 18, 2018, 1:09 pm
#3343
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,625
You need to look exclusively at the overwater segment to see the inventory for that flight.
Nov 18, 2018, 2:05 pm
#3344
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: NYC (Primarily EWR)
Programs: UA 1K / *G, Marriott Bonvoy Gold; Avis PC
Posts: 9,035
The short answer: with only J4 showing, and it being the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, I think your chances of clearing are very low.
Last edited by WineCountryUA; Nov 18, 2018 at 5:20 pm Reason: cleanup after merge
Nov 18, 2018, 9:26 pm
#3345
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,625
UA has two FRA-IAD flights on Nov. 21. One is J2 C2 D2 P1 PN0 PZ0, the other is J9 C9 D9 P9 PN7 PZ7.