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-   -   2013 Mileage Plus Program Speculation (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/united-airlines-mileageplus/1387742-2013-mileage-plus-program-speculation.html)

LarkSFO Nov 4, 2012 12:07 pm


Originally Posted by mdt76 (Post 19622296)
^ +1

This is the only reason I haven't decided whether I want to MR to re-qual as 1K or stay as a lowly Platinum

Because of the W fare restriction on Global Premier Upgrades (GPU's)?

What routes do you typically fly?

What is the delta between lowest economy fare and W?

I would be OK if W is required to support a GPU, but if your GPU did not clear, you would receive a refund of the difference (between lowest available economy fare when you booked, and W when you booked.)

I am finishing the year at about 76,000 PQM's, so no way I am going to do anything unnatural to get to 100K...

cerealmarketer Nov 4, 2012 12:19 pm

I find it interesting UA is more aggressively touting its #1 among UA/DL/AA saver award availability. Makes one wonder if even a US major goes revenue based, they see some advantage to the current structure. Let's put it this way - we don't hear the cost of the mileage program as an excuse / issue on earnings calls.

So far Aeroplan hasn't gone this route despite its autonomy.

rankourabu Nov 4, 2012 12:27 pm


Originally Posted by cerealmarketer (Post 19622658)

So far Aeroplan hasn't gone this route despite its autonomy.

Aeroplan is very much a revenue based program for accumulation purposes.

Low AC fares domestically earn ZERO, and transborder/worldwide earn only 50%. The whole earning structure is confusing and designed to trip you up, especially if you buy from 3rd party sites (expedia, etc)

If you want full miles (and the ability to upgrade) you have to buy fares that are priced higher, and in some cases, much higher.

Also compare partner earnings for Aeroplan and MP (both for low fares, but even for premium fares) - look at LH group partners as an example, MP is way more generous.

tryathlete Nov 4, 2012 12:30 pm

Agreed+1. I'm just finishing delayed December 2012 qualification to 1K to get Long-term 12 month GPU's (6) and completing the goal of EXP on AA for the 8 SWU's. I've seen the light and only going to use the UA SWU for burning big miles on a family vacation and off to AA.

Why no UA?
1) W fare lottery is dishonest..
2) TOD UPGRADES
3) A319 first availability

cerealmarketer Nov 4, 2012 12:41 pm


Originally Posted by rankourabu (Post 19622700)
Aeroplan is very much a revenue based program for accumulation purposes.

Low AC fares domestically earn ZERO, and transborder/worldwide earn only 50%. The whole earning structure is confusing and designed to trip you up, especially if you buy from 3rd party sites (expedia, etc)

If you want full miles (and the ability to upgrade) you have to buy fares that are priced higher, and in some cases, much higher.

Also compare partner earnings for Aeroplan and MP (both for low fares, but even for premium fares) - look at LH group partners as an example, MP is way more generous.

It tripped me up then - saw the litany of 100% 'Tango Plus' fares and figured it covered everything but the very cheapest.

Interesting that for United and US it's still a 100% earn via Aeroplan.

rankourabu Nov 4, 2012 12:44 pm


Originally Posted by cerealmarketer (Post 19622783)
It tripped me up then - saw the litany of 100% 'Tango Plus' fares and figured it covered everything but the very cheapest.

Interesting that for United and US it's still a 100% earn via Aeroplan.

I guess part of me is okay with some lower earn as long as the reward chart is relatively unchanged.

Not just the very cheapest - there are 5 Tango letter fares - so it could be one cheapest, could be four cheapest fares, could be none.

99% of the population will have no clue what they are buying until they get home.

entropy Nov 4, 2012 12:53 pm


Not just the very cheapest - there are 5 Tango letter fares - so it could be one cheapest, could be four cheapest fares, could be none.
that's true but generally, AC and their agents distribute Tango, almost all of what's available over GDS is Tango Plus. Almost everything transborder is Tango Plus. Its basically domestic canadian flights that are all Tango'd up.

rankourabu Nov 4, 2012 1:10 pm


Originally Posted by entropy (Post 19622849)
that's true but generally, AC and their agents distribute Tango, almost all of what's available over GDS is Tango Plus. Almost everything transborder is Tango Plus. Its basically domestic canadian flights that are all Tango'd up.

This was somewhat true until about a month ago, when the entire system was Tangoized. Everything in the GDS is now mixed, and you really have to know what codes Tango is (NGPEA dom/usa/asia... TLK europe/sam)

Unless you pay attention, you wont know what you are booking on a third party site.

Look at these 3 examples - all widely available in any GDS, and on third party sites. TANGO IN RED EARNS 50%. How is one supposed to tell when buying a fare - a clear system of revenue based accumulation. Look at NYC-NRT - the lowest full earning fare is 3x as the 50% earning (0% on the short transborder segments)


[KVS Availability Tool 7.0.7/Diamond - Galileo: Fares/PSH/RU]
Code:

NYC  New York Metro NY US = JFK LGA
CDG  Paris Charles De Gaulle FR [LFPG]
R/T  11 Jan 2013 | All

Carrier    From    To    Fare      Cur  AdvanceP  Min  Max  Fare Basis | Travel Period
---------  ------  ----  --------  ----  --------  ---  ---  --------------------------
AC        NYC    PAR      306  USD    7 Days  Sun  30  TKXNC13S    05 Jan-20 Mar

AC        NYC    PAR      388  USD    7 Days  Sun  30  SKXNC13T    05 Jan-20 Mar



[KVS Availability Tool 7.0.7/Diamond - Galileo: Fares/PSH/RU]
Code:

NYC  New York Metro NY US = JFK LGA
NRT  Tokyo Narita JP [RJAA]
R/T  11 Jan 2013 | All

Carrier    From    To    Fare      Cur  AdvanceP  Min  Max  Fare Basis | Travel Period
---------  ------  ----  --------  ----  --------  ---  ---  --------------------------
AC        NYC    TYO      546  USD        ***    3  180  ALXUJ        07 Jan-24 Apr
AC        NYC    TYO      879  USD        ***      360  ELXUJ        24 Dec-10 Mar
AC        NYC    TYO      1161  USD        ***      360  NLXUJ        24 Dec-10 Mar

AC        NYC    TYO      1750  USD        ***      360  HLXUJ        24 Dec-10 Mar



[KVS Availability Tool 7.0.7/Diamond - Galileo: Fares/PSH/RU]
Code:

LAS  Las Vegas McCarran Intl NV US [KLAS]
YYZ  Toronto Pearson Intl ON CA [CYYZ]
R/T  11 Jan 2013 | All

Carrier    From    To    Fare      Cur  AdvanceP  Min  Max  Fare Basis | Travel Period
---------  ------  ----  --------  ----  --------  ---  ---  --------------------------
AC        LAS    YTO      344  USD    10 Days            A10XR8TG    08 Jan-13 Feb

AC        LAS    YTO      436  USD    10 Days            L10XR8TP    08 Jan-13 Feb



For now UA MP credits those euro and asia Tango's as 100% - but I would definitely not book Air Canada far in advance in hoping this will continue.

flood Nov 7, 2012 11:19 am

still nothing concrete on 2013 MP?

entropy Nov 7, 2012 11:52 am


This was somewhat true until about a month ago, when the entire system was Tangoized. Everything in the GDS is now mixed, and you really have to know what codes Tango is (NGPEA dom/usa/asia... TLK europe/sam)
thanks for the update there, I was referring to transborder/intra-canada fares. It seems the TATL fares earn 100% on UA, so they're OK... (but they are more restricted in general).

drewguy Nov 7, 2012 1:35 pm


Originally Posted by flood (Post 19642126)
still nothing concrete on 2013 MP?

No changes?

Given the massive changes this past year, wouldn't it make some sense for United to keep the changes fairly limited (if any) to see how things shake out?

bocastephen Nov 7, 2012 2:47 pm


Originally Posted by RNE (Post 19447697)
In 2013 and throughout the Second Decade of the First Century of the Third Millennium, UA will continue to follow the industry trend to move away from the failed concept that loyalty can be measured by any means other than spend. Thus, more perks will become purchasable. And those who spend the most money will get them. "Butt in seat" will become an antiquated notion of a bygone era. Eventually, we'll wonder why it ever mattered.

I realize the foregoing prospect is anathema to many hereon, but it is the shape of things to come, like it or not.

RNE, channeling Barry Goldwater in paraphrase: "In your heart you know I'm right."

While the Delta folks have been concerned about what new negative changes are headed their way (driven by speculation in job listings), the concept that loyalty is tied to revenue isn't really correct and a paper was referenced in another thread which explained why.

The goal of a loyalty program is to tie the travel decision maker to the brand, not the spender. The vast majority of Elites are business people who fly on the corporate dime - none of the spend comes directly from their pocket. By positioning a solid loyalty program with useful perks, the decision maker directs spend to the airline even if they can't control the total amount of dollars spent.

It's been mentioned many times over the years - but if an airline changed their loyalty program to grant benefits only on the basis of spend, corporate travel policies (which already prohibit increasing spend to get airline benefits) would likely make using that vendor very difficult.

The airline needs to keep the decision makers happy, not the people controlling the purse-strings.

RNE Nov 7, 2012 3:44 pm


Originally Posted by bocastephen (Post 19643288)
...the concept that loyalty is tied to revenue isn't really correct...

I was asked to scry the future, not judge it.

inpd Nov 8, 2012 8:09 am

Is the New Mileage Plus Program Rules Likely to Come out in the Next Two Weeks?
 
Currently will be stranded on 60K miles, wanted to know the new rules before trying to go for 75K level (assuming it exists!)

I already read through the Mileage Plus spectualtion thread, but that assumes United behave logically which is often not the case!

aacharya Nov 8, 2012 8:12 am


Originally Posted by inpd (Post 19647128)
Currently will be stranded on 60K miles, wanted to know the new rules before trying to go for 75K level (assuming it exists!)

I already read through the Mileage Plus speculation thread, but that assumes United behave logically which is often not the case!

Yes, I have the letter from Jeff in my pocket. PM me if you want all the revenue numbers. :rolleyes:

Not sure why a new thread was needed when an existing speculation one exists.


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