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DL canceling BOM service; AMS-BOM continuing

 
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 11:08 am
  #16  
 
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Originally Posted by cesco.g

Still, surprised that an established carrier such as DL abandons this market. Tells how serious the cash drain must be.
What I don't understand is how CO is able to operate non-stop to both DEL and BOM. Must speak to some difference in operating philosophies between DL and CO.
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 11:10 am
  #17  
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Originally Posted by FLLDL
What I don't understand is how CO is able to operate non-stop to both DEL and BOM. Must speak to some difference in operating philosophies between DL and CO.
Or to differences in O&D traffic levels in EWR vs. ATL.
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 11:49 am
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Originally Posted by 3Cforme
Or to differences in O&D traffic levels in EWR vs. ATL.
+1

Do you know how many Indians are in New Jersey? Not only are there A LOT of them...but they tend to be more affluent than the Indians who live IN the city itself...
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 11:58 am
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Or to differences in O&D traffic levels in EWR vs. ATL
but if that was the sole issue, why not just move it back to JFK? (which was the original plan if I recall correctly)
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 12:04 pm
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As others have already mentioned, yields stink to India and the Middle East airlines are driving them even lower. Pax numbers are not the issue; DL would continue to fill the ATL-BOM or JFK-BOM flight this winter with no problem.

One of the reasons why CO is still in there is because they don't have another hub to move the DEL or BOM flight to; if they drop EWR-BOM or EWR-DEL, they would have to exit the India market entirely.

Pre-merger Delta would probabaly have kept either JFK-BOM or ATL-BOM; however, with the NW merger, DL now has more options on how to route their India flights; under current circumstances, AMS-BOM is probably the least costly way of doing it while still allowing DL to maintain its footprint in BOM. It's the same story with PVG; pre-merger DL would probably not have dropped ATL-PVG, but they now have DTW-PVG and NRT-PVG to play with...
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 12:23 pm
  #21  
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Again, they essentially stupidly ceded their substantial NYC area o/d base which they had built up over 30-40 years to CO and 9W when they abandoned the flight for ATL, in this economy, with these yealds, they are not getting them back now. They should have fought it out, but made the really stupid mistake of doing it from ATL.
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 1:05 pm
  #22  
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Originally Posted by ClipperDelta
One of the reasons why CO is still in there is because they don't have another hub to move the DEL or BOM flight to; if they drop EWR-BOM or EWR-DEL, they would have to exit the India market entirely.
CO can do just what DL-NW do to India for many flights to India: code-share thru the hub(s) of partner airline(s). That's how CO would not have to exit the India market entirely.
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 1:17 pm
  #23  
 
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Originally Posted by GUWonder
CO can do just what DL-NW do to India for many flights to India: code-share thru the hub(s) of partner airline(s). That's how CO would not have to exit the India market entirely.
But, that would be not be on CO metal. The AMS-BOM flight will still be DL metal and thus, maintain the DL footprint in BOM.
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 1:33 pm
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Originally Posted by DLfan
But, that would be not be on CO metal. The AMS-BOM flight will still be DL metal and thus, maintain the DL footprint in BOM.
Precisely. Which will make re-entry of the Non-Stop that much easier when the economy recovers. Good move on DL's part. Great way to stop the bleeding.
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 1:51 pm
  #25  
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Originally Posted by DLfan
But, that would be not be on CO metal.
No but about it -- there's a meaning to the word code-share.

Originally Posted by DLfan
The AMS-BOM flight will still be DL metal and thus, maintain the DL footprint in BOM.
Who cares about whose metal is involved. Even DL management have shown they don't care that much as code-shares is largely what the recent ATI was about.
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 2:13 pm
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Originally Posted by GUWonder
Who cares about whose metal is involved. Even DL management have shown they don't care that much as code-shares is largely what the recent ATI was about.
Run-of-the-mill codeshares don't bring much to the marketing airline. Even having ATI without a metal-neutral JV is nowhere near the same as operating your own flight to the destination in terms of revenue/profit generation.

The only way that DL stopped flying its own metal on JFK-CDG and AF will on PHL-CDG come October or AF selling the DL-operated LHR-JFK flights as heavily as they currently do was/is when they concluded a metal-neutral 50-50 JV. At this point, CO does not have any significant metal-neutral JVs in place although they could turn the proposed ATI-JV with UA-LH-AC, etc, into one.
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 2:32 pm
  #27  
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It's metal-neutral-style (i.e. cost and revenue-sharing) JV that interested DL management -- it's not like DL management was hell-bent on surrendering the NW-KL-style JV arrangement without a substitute plan that largely expanded that idea under the most recent ATI. Code-shares nonetheless.
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 8:22 pm
  #28  
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Originally Posted by hfly
As discussed in the other thread, DL was the incumbant on this route for many decades, through Pan Am, flying through FRA, then CDG, then non-stop. When CO and 9W started up their own nonstops and AI went to nonstop, they thought they'd be clever and rather than fight, which they should have as they had a loyal NYC area o/d market, they abandoned it and tried ATL. It didn't work. Now the economy is bad and NY too competitive and from what I understand consolidator prices even in Biz have plummeted.
9W doesn't fly non-stop but via BRU. If 9W is competition, then all one stops in EU (LH, LX, BA, KL, AF etc) can be seen as competition. AI's load factors are horrible. CO is always full. Was basically just DL and CO from NY to BOM. Tough to compete if you pull out if only 1 other viable competitor
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 10:56 pm
  #29  
 
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Originally Posted by ClipperDelta
Run-of-the-mill codeshares don't bring much to the marketing airline. Even having ATI without a metal-neutral JV is nowhere near the same as operating your own flight to the destination in terms of revenue/profit generation.

The only way that DL stopped flying its own metal on JFK-CDG and AF will on PHL-CDG come October or AF selling the DL-operated LHR-JFK flights as heavily as they currently do was/is when they concluded a metal-neutral 50-50 JV. At this point, CO does not have any significant metal-neutral JVs in place although they could turn the proposed ATI-JV with UA-LH-AC, etc, into one.
Is India in the ATI-JV? I was under the impression it was only flights between N. America and Europe that were included, and that AMS-BOM was a codeshare (KL flight number on NW metal) but not a revenue share between DL/NW and AF/KL.

At any rate, AMS-BOM fills a slot in the Skyteam network. There's not much point in CO doing a one-stop via FRA (the obvious routing for soon-to-be-partner feed) because LH already has nonstops on FRA-BOM/DEL.
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Old Aug 27, 2009, 11:06 pm
  #30  
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Correct 9W is via BRU, but then again 9W didn't exist on the route before, in any case it is a littl bit different than all the other 1 stop options as its a scissor hub connection not a major hub connection. Whether AI's loads are horrible or not is not as important as the fact that it has also gone nonstop and Ai has improved their equipment. Regarding the other 1 stop competition, this is a factor when you consider that Emirates, Etihad and Qatar Airlines offer attractive options and prices and were not competition as recently as 3 years ago.
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