FlyerTalk Forums

FlyerTalk Forums (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/index.php)
-   Delta Air Lines | SkyMiles (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/delta-air-lines-skymiles-665/)
-   -   First Class Monetization, or FCM: The Definitive Thread (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/delta-air-lines-skymiles/1230437-first-class-monetization-fcm-definitive-thread.html)

pleasantsn Mar 16, 2012 4:29 pm


Originally Posted by pbarnette (Post 18214832)
And you say that with a straight face?

Under your "logic", what is the proper price for F? Moreover, what is the revenue maximizing price for F?

Tick, tock...

I was thinking that to maintain FC as a luxury good, DL will have to keep prices up and be willing not to sell a lot of seats. In terms of revenue maximizing, that has a lot to do with perception. Like others said, if people don't know that P fares exist, then the luxury perception will be maintained while adding a bit to the bottom line. Considering that many on FT do not purchase FC tickets, I don't think FT is best-suited to judge the perception of FC. The celebs and other people that buy FC seats are still going to buy FC, even if DL sells a few last-minute P fares. Thus, P fares are not degrading the perception of the product.

That said, I'm all for doing away with P fares, and handing more UG's to elites, but it seems like this would not be in DL's best interest.

hazelrah Mar 16, 2012 4:35 pm


Originally Posted by DiverDave (Post 18213576)
Fixed that for you. :cool:

David

:D ^

3Cforme Mar 16, 2012 4:45 pm


Originally Posted by glbetrotter (Post 18213936)
Can't agree more! Still too early to tell, we are in the inertia mode and many may still be staying with Delta just because they have been for a long time. Give it a few months and see how it all plays out. DL may be quite surprised in just a handful of months. It will not continue indefinitely -- yes, we still sign that check.

If your line of reasoning held any promise the people in this forum who find reasons to complain with every trip (and elements: booking, check in, boarding, flight service, luggage delivery), yet still fly Delta four years later should have been long gone.

Worse than the crowd the lacks the intellectual capacity or work ethic to conduct an analysis of the best airline and FF program to meet their needs is the crowd that recognizes Delta is the best they can do yet still comes here regularly to complain. Give some other carriers a thorough try: it will help build perspective.

DiverDave Mar 16, 2012 4:46 pm


Originally Posted by hazelrah (Post 18215005)
:D ^

And I was about to think that there was zero sense of humor left in the Delta forum. Thanks! :cool:

David

hazelrah Mar 16, 2012 4:46 pm


Originally Posted by mother- (Post 18214864)
If they wanted to maximize short term revenue they would refit all planes pure Y and provide nothing for free.

Mother, I've turned the cooling unit back on. Mother!, ah you b**** Sorry, just kidding, I could not resist ;)

Hmmmm, the Southwest model, eh? Well Delta did place a rather large order for 737-800s ;)

sbjnyc Mar 16, 2012 4:56 pm


Originally Posted by StayingHomeIsBetter (Post 18214555)
Your numbers don't work out.

In aggressively FCM'd markets, a P fare may only be 2x to 3x what you paid for your heavily discounted fare, and only $50 or so above the last minute, somewhat discounted coach fare.

The P fare can be discounted off of a full F fare by as much as 60 to 70%.

So to get that extra $50, DL management is undercutting the value perception of FC... saying it's only worth 30 to 40% of what they claim it is worth.

They are creating a situation where the only folks who would ever buy a full F fare are the totally clueless, and those who try to compensate for something else by coming here to FT to brag about how they "always buy F."

I'm not seeing those kinds of fares on the routes I fly. What % of flights do you suspect have FCM and What are the real numbers on a typical flight? Plus, you are talking revenue while I'm talking bottom line. It costs the same to fly someone in M as in T so if an M fare is 2x a T fare, then DL is better off selling 1 M fare and flying with an empty seat than selling 2 T fares (same revenue, lower fuel cost), especially if those T fares are bought by elites with free baggage checks.

javabytes Mar 16, 2012 4:58 pm


Originally Posted by mother- (Post 18214864)
If they wanted to maximize short term revenue they would refit all planes pure Y and provide nothing for free.

And reduce seat pitch to 28" a la Spirit.

StayingHomeIsBetter Mar 16, 2012 5:01 pm


Originally Posted by pbarnette (Post 18214832)
And you say that with a straight face?

Under your "logic", what is the proper price for F? Moreover, what is the revenue maximizing price for F?

Tick, tock...

LOL... you'd want to dispute any number, or approach, that I suggested, and then you'd want to debate the definition of "maximized." :D

But, I'll venture this.

As long as DL management is actually putting elites into complementary UG seats on FCM'd routes, they have haven't found the optimized price for a P fare.

Not enough elites are buying into the coercion and buying P fares to get the FC seat they have come to look forward to. Not enough general flyers are seeing the value of the incremental fare.

Hence, no doubt, the even more blatant marketing of buy-up fares with the web site revision this week.

It must be really frustrating on Virginia Avenue right now. How much lower do they need to reduce the buy-up increment to squeeze out those few extra dollars and maximize the revenue, when folks aren't eagerly embracing the concept? This reminds me of an old joke about a business man and a comely young woman at the hotel bar... but I'll save that for another time.

Even the most myopic DL suit must have some inclination that there is some lower threshold on the buy-up margin where they fail the red-faced test and lose all remaining credibility within the FF community.

StayingHomeIsBetter Mar 16, 2012 5:05 pm


Originally Posted by javabytes (Post 18215132)
And reduce seat pitch to 28" a la Spirit.

Better yet, go to the stand-up "seating" that Ryanair was talking about:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...se-toilet.html

:D


"Would you refer a window stand, or an aisle stand, sir?"

starflyer Mar 16, 2012 5:18 pm


Originally Posted by pbarnette (Post 18201799)
I don't understand why it is so hard to understand the logic in selling products to those that, you know, pay more for that product. Does the gas station give discounts to the Hummer owner? By the "logic" of many on this board, they should.

The gas station does not give discounts, but unlike the airlines they do not advertise/proclaim that they give discounts or a free upgrade to higher quality gas at the low quality gas price. What is so hard to understand about that?

dcline414 Mar 16, 2012 5:28 pm


Originally Posted by StayingHomeIsBetter (Post 18214810)
My point was not about protecting revenue... it was about protecting the product. I am just echoing back the same logic that DL management use in justifying not providing complementary UGs TATL or TPAC... it's to protect the integrity of the product.

They still maintain a $1600 F fare on a route that they flood with $400 P fares. Why maintain the $1600 F fare, other than to retain the ability to hose the last person who really needs a seat on that plane?

The $400 PP fare is a concession that F is not worth $1600. So, why should anyone ever buy an F fare?

One might ask, don't complementary UGs devalue the perception of what F is worth? It's hard to dispute that.

So why not do away with complementary UGs... apart from the obvious revolt that would cause in the FF ranks.

Answer... because not enough people are willing to pay the P fare required to keep FC filled. Yet, DL is holding back 24 of 26 seats on some flights, expecting a last minute sales miracle. Sort of like the old Peanuts cartoons with Charlie Brown on the pitcher's mound, in the pouring rain, begging everyone not to go home because "It might stop raining."

And loyal FFs are losing confidence in the value of SM as a result.

I have to disagree here. Delta really does need to maximize their revenue per flight. Obviously this is a balancing act. If FC was cheap enough, it would sell out every time and the product would be cheapened to the level of coach. The F/P fares should be priced such that they capture the maximum amount of revenue possible and don't give premium seats away for less than the market is willing to bear.

However, in MANY cases, this will result in a less-than-full FC cabin at t-5 when the elite upgrades are supposed to kick in. I fully believe that historical data should be used to withhold some number of seats until the gate, as upgrades should go to those who are willing to pay over upgrades.

But what Delta is actually doing is withholding ALL seats on many routes, regardless of the number that are likely to sell. This is also fine, so long as they eliminate the notion that elite upgrades are processed in advance. But assuming they have not found the market-clearing price for FC and have excessive seats available at the upgrade window, they need to honor their own upgrade policy and process at least SOME upgrades, or they need to officially change their upgrade policy.

Gate-only (or 24 hours out) makes plenty of sense to me, and would probably work well for Delta too from a RM perspective. But to tell me I've earned an elite benefit of earlier upgrades, if those do not actually exist (on the routes I fly), is dishonest. Even if it is within their legal right thanks to their catch-all T&C out-clause, it is wrong to treat loyal customers this way.

But by all means, sell the FC fares for as small a markup as is required to monetize the premium product without devaluing it!

glbetrotter Mar 16, 2012 5:29 pm


Originally Posted by 3Cforme (Post 18215057)
If your line of reasoning held any promise the people in this forum who find reasons to complain with every trip (and elements: booking, check in, boarding, flight service, luggage delivery), yet still fly Delta four years later should have been long gone.

Worse than the crowd the lacks the intellectual capacity or work ethic to conduct an analysis of the best airline and FF program to meet their needs is the crowd that recognizes Delta is the best they can do yet still comes here regularly to complain. Give some other carriers a thorough try: it will help build perspective.

Well, I don't know the facts, just don't have the numbers of people who complained/stayed/left, I can only judge by what I see here and learn from my colleagues who fly other airlines. Maybe those who complain yet stay don't really have a choice, or like to complain, or are compensating for lack of something else, whatever their reason might be; I can only guess. Maybe DL is indeed the best option among not so great ones for them. I was referring to the future in my post, and well, you know, "past performance is not a guarantee ..." I would not argue for a second that domestic air travel market is in shambles (if you can get away with VX, that's great, love them, but there isn't any appealing alternative left. It all boils down to a "lesser evil" now, but that's just a reality). I cut back dramatically on my domestic travel on DL this year, and so far took only one international flight on it (mostly do TPAC on Asian carriers now, following advice of people on this board) -- and although Delta's lawn is not dead by any means, it seems to be quite wilted.

So, it's all in your hands: if you can't leave the airline you are flying (or the car you are driving), then love it and enjoy it. Complaining wouldn't get you anything (but I differentiate constructive criticism from futile complaints about inconsequential micro-incidents). Otherwise, try other things and see how you like them.

What has changed for me though: on many occasions in the past, I would give my business to Delta even if I knew that they were not the best on a particular route. I wanted to support them, there really was some sense of loyalty. My daughter would be all excited when she saw a Delta plane and was almost upset if we ended up on a different carrier. A Biscoff after each flight has become a staple for her (it was called a "Delta cookie" in the family). I was thinking that by staying loyal I would earn some tangible perks (I wasn't really thinking, I was staying loyal -- I enjoyed getting on Delta planes, was looking forward to every flight), and I would also give money to a U.S. flag carrier (call me naive). I miss some of those things, but we graduate, mature, and move on. Not getting much in return, my travel $$ are now flowing elsewhere. Not a big deal, Delta seems to be doing great anyway from what I hear, and I am doing great too. Win-win, I guess, and I am sure I can still enjoy some upgrades in the next 2+ years (more?) with my DM benefits. It is surprising though that DL doesn't want to take good $$ from well-paying PAX. I can't be alone ...

As for the bolded part, go figure, that one is hard to understand ...

sbjnyc Mar 16, 2012 5:29 pm

The gas station might have different prices for self vs full service and cash vs credit payments (where legal). The gas station might even have its own frequent filler program - buy 100 gallons in a 30 day period and get a free ham sandwich.

Ultimately it's up to the customer to decide whether or not to pay the premium for the added service/convenience. Fundamentally, FF programs are no different. If the customer wants the benefits or provided by the FF program then s/he will pay a premium for the product. Otherwise not.

Thomas Hudson Mar 16, 2012 6:39 pm

Pretty interesting how it is somewhat clear who one would want to hire/work for/with via the opinions and perceptions of the subject matter within this thread...


y'all have fun with this one... Fonzie just put on his skis...

GRALISTAIR Mar 16, 2012 7:11 pm

I am tempted to bite, Mr Hudson, and ask, "who YOU would hire (on this thread), but it is Friday and I am about to pour a Bombay and Noilly Pratt over ice with 4!!! olives.


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 3:05 am.


This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.