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Redhead, I believe you will be OK on Friday. The storm is due to come ashore after dark on Friday and be in North Texas on Sat.
Thanks for the good wishes folks. This one has me really worried. |
Ike still tracking NW :confused:
The 800# gorilla goes where he likes. |
Originally Posted by oldpenny16
(Post 10347519)
Redhead, I believe you will be OK on Friday. The storm is due to come ashore after dark on Friday and be in North Texas on Sat.
Thanks for the good wishes folks. This one has me really worried. |
Originally Posted by pierre mclopez
(Post 10347707)
Ike still tracking NW :confused:
The 800# gorilla goes where he likes. |
Originally Posted by james318
(Post 10347726)
He is tracking more NW - NNW than the models are predicting, if you look at today's visable IR loop.
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Last I saw, the Bermuda high was still in place and causing the track of Ike.
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Originally Posted by me4yankees
(Post 10347798)
Last I saw, the Bermuda high was still in place and causing the track of Ike.
Originally Posted by pierre mclopez
Yeah....I'm wondering if the ridge of high pressure north of Ike has split in two. The cone of uncertainty.....or denial? This amateur is concerned about Louisiana.
Now I wait for SRQ Guy to give me all the reasons I am incorrect. :D |
Originally Posted by pierre mclopez
(Post 10347767)
Yeah....I'm wondering if the ridge of high pressure north of Ike has split in two. The cone of uncertainty.....or denial? This amateur is concerned about Louisiana.
The NHC is very good with the 3 day cone. This is a Texas threat. Further, you cannot use IR to reliably track motion. It doesn't translate well. Visible and radar work better. |
Model projections continue to reset northward. Galveston now in the cross-hairs of Cat 3-4 right-front quadrant.
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Crown Weather Services - Tropical Weather Discussion - Sept. 11, 725 am EDT
.....Here is my thinking as of this morning: I agree wholeheartedly with the National Hurricane Center and am thinking that Ike will come ashore somewhere between San Antonio Bay and Galveston early Saturday morning around 5 am Eastern/4 am Central. This area is centered right on Matagorda and Brazoria Counties. I anticipate Ike to make landfall as a borderline Category 3-Category 4 hurricane with winds of 130 to 140 mph. The forecast track of Ike is still somewhat uncertain and all interests along the entire Texas coast into southwestern Louisiana should be preparing for a major hurricane landfall. Ike is also expected to be a very large storm in overall size and its effects will be felt all over the Gulf of Mexico.... Maximum surge forecast: Shoreline of Matagorda Bay: 15 to 20 feet. Coastal areas from Matagorda to High Island, including the shores of Galveston Bay: 12 to 16 feet |
It is going to be very bad. There is no time for evacuation.
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Originally Posted by pierre mclopez
(Post 10348546)
Model projections continue to reset northward. Galveston now in the cross-hairs of Cat 3-4 right-front quadrant.
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In a few minutes I'm heading out for my last major grocery shopping trip pre-storm. We have no idea how many people will be staying with us.
Nor how many pets! It is so hard to come up with good ideas for non-perishable foods! |
Originally Posted by oldpenny16
(Post 10349843)
It is so hard to come up with good ideas for non-perishable foods!
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Thanks for the idea. I'll buy plenty. Pull tab tops on cans I recall as well.
I'm thinking lots of bread, chips, peanut butter, cheese, and cookies. We have huge ice chests that stay cold for days. We have our own water to keep the plumbing going. Dry food for the pets. We have a nice propane grill but someone will have to stand in the rain to use it. |
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