I am going to go out on a limb here, and state that I am personally leaning more towards Scenario 2. Two reasons: 1. The latest track shows Ike going more south over Cuba and 2. Scenario 1 puts it right over my house. :D

Current track has Ike. . .heading. . . to. . .New. . .Or. . .Leans. :eek:

Comrade: "I don't want to evacuate again."
Mayor Ray: "Do you know how easy it is to govern a city with no residents? I sit here and still get paid while you rot in the un air conditioned Podunksville, Mississippi, High School Gym. With you all gone, the crime rate is zero and life is GOOOD. For me. Get out of my town!"

Because your name is either Hanna or Ike? :D

I tell ya, if Ike makes it into the gulf and if staying on present course toward Louisiana (still many days and revisions away), would be sad to see Louisiana officials go through the drill again: "this is the big one" "get out" "evaucate the city"

You can see how well I've prognosticated in this thread (;)) but IMHO this storm will be a Big Bend to Mobile threat. It really shouldn't make it far enough west to impact New Orleans. Of course, it shouldn't make it to the Gulf either. :D

Well......now that you're FINALLY right, I agree with you. :D

Can anyone find the latest computer model runs? There is usually one at 8am and is posted on Weather Underground. It is only posting the wind estimates and those are very, very low.
Is there another site that shows the models and has the latest posted?
Hate that NOAA took it off their site.

If you use the link in post #1 of this thread, models can be seen in pane #6 on the right hand side.

Go watch football. Well, as much as you can call the ACC football, anyway. :D

National Champs in a row: SEC - 2, All those other "Football Powerhouse Conferences"(sic) - ZERO. :p

11 AM NHS map: Ike is going to Houma, LA. To finish what is left of it.

Just checking department: question for Mayor Ray: Next Thursday, can your lips form the words "Evacuate!-this is the Storm of the Century"? :D

Off topic, but Nagin and Bush have really discredited MBA degrees.

this is a huge risk!
 

Our local newspaper reported that the average cost of evacuating by car was $500 per carload of people. That for gas, food and expenses. The average may also include motels.

For many families, this is too much to spend!

Many folks arrived at the shelters in North Texas without a penny to spare.

Will they evacuate again?

Likely not!

The election is loosing a lot of air time on tv with all these storms. I think that is a good thing.

Great minds think alike coz that's how it greeted me too :D

Well my friends in FLL are now quite p..sed off. They spent all day yesterday putting up shutters and now it looks like they have to come down again. :rolleyes: Oh well, at least that's better than Ike showing his face (I guess that's what Tina thought after a few years of marriage too :p)

While I certainly don't want NOLA and surrounding area hit again, please don't say that!! I've been worried about that scenario all morning! :(