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Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 34003091)
https://archive.fo/IdH0l FT: Illegal border crossings push Hong Kong Covid outbreak into China
If the HK fifth wave outbreak was actually caused by a couple people escaping quarantine, this house of cards is about to fall soon. |
It's kind of ironic because since some of them have COVID and are bringing it into the mainland, they're effectively making the situation worse for everyone else. It's sort of like people who fly home anyway even if they're COVID positive (i.e. in the COVID forum), selfishness overrides everything else.
Some of the statements in this article are interesting: https://time.com/6147924/china-pfizer-covid-19-pill/, I am still optimistic that China wants to move towards reopening. Now they have a bunch of convenient scapegoats:
1 and 2 are already being pushed in the media |
Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 34003091)
https://archive.fo/IdH0l FT: Illegal border crossings push Hong Kong Covid outbreak into China
If the HK fifth wave outbreak was actually caused by a couple people escaping quarantine, this house of cards is about to fall soon.
Originally Posted by travelinmanS
(Post 34003189)
It’s insane that these people are so scared of possibly catching Covid that they are willing to risk arrest and punishment by escaping into Mainland China. This is partly the fault of the Chinese government who has pushed the “Covid = Deadliest Disease Ever” line on their citizens from about Feb 2020 until now.
廣東增21宗輸入新冠確診半數來自香港 珠海出發往北京航班全部取消 https://news.now.com/home/internatio...69&refer=Share http://cablenews.i-cable.com/ci/news...=1645208184196 |
Originally Posted by percysmith
(Post 34003572)
Those illegal immigrants were Mainland residents to start off with:
廣東增21宗輸入新冠確診半數來自香港 珠海出發往北京航班全部取消 https://news.now.com/home/internatio...69&refer=Share ???? i-CABLE - ???????10???????????10????? |
Originally Posted by percysmith
(Post 34003572)
Those illegal immigrants were Mainland residents to start off with:
廣東增21宗輸入新冠確診半數來自香港 珠海出發往北京航班全部取消 https://news.now.com/home/internatio...69&refer=Share ???? i-CABLE - ???????10???????????10????? |
To be fair I read another Bloomberg article where thousands of Mainlanders with HK residency are crossing over land the permitted way and doing quarantine: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...utbreak-widens
It's more likely than not that Hong Kong has a full lockdown in the near future. COVID concerns aside Hong Kong wouldn't be that much fun to live in right now (restaurants closed at 6pm etc), I don't really blame people for leaving |
Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 34004656)
To be fair I read another Bloomberg article where thousands of Mainlanders with HK residency are crossing over land the permitted way and doing quarantine: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...utbreak-widens
It's more likely than not that Hong Kong has a full lockdown in the near future. COVID concerns aside Hong Kong wouldn't be that much fun to live in right now (restaurants closed at 6pm etc), I don't really blame people for leaving |
Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 34004656)
To be fair I read another Bloomberg article where thousands of Mainlanders with HK residency are crossing over land the permitted way and doing quarantine: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...utbreak-widens
It's more likely than not that Hong Kong has a full lockdown in the near future. COVID concerns aside Hong Kong wouldn't be that much fun to live in right now (restaurants closed at 6pm etc), I don't really blame people for leaving |
Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 34003232)
2. HK officials are too westernized and don't believe in the mainland COVID measures (e.g. full lockdown) so it spreading in HK is their fault
A flood of negative social media of starving families and encounters with the Police less in intensity but more in frequency than 2019. Oh, then they'll cut off our data pipelines to the rest of the world. But then, lots of us will still have satcoms. A bunch of test workers and delivery and logistics workers will have to come to Hong Kong (supplemented by local workforce, this will effectively be running a nationalised Deliveroo) to carry this out. Housing will be have to be found for them, this will be the biggest invasion since 1941. We'll get a hukou registration system before the end of it. It may be kept on after the pandemic. I don't want to engage in hyperbole - such as cauterising the SAR - but these are the ways I think they think they can return HKSAR back to Covid Zero. They aren't exactly killing the patient to do it, but they will be irreversibly changing the DNA of the SAR in their attempts to get to their goals. They started with ELAB and the NSL anyway. |
Originally Posted by travelinmanS
(Post 33999387)
They aren’t handing these out anymore. People are setting up companies to stay now and getting visas valid for 3 months as the PSB wants to see profits before granting a year long visa.
$750 for a work permit based 1 year RP attained through an agent’s dodgy methods was possible pre 2020 for people already here. Now it is impossible and it will be impossible from this point forward. China is using Covid to strengthen its immigration policy as well. Pretty much what Switzerland and other developed countries do (and we're among the countries receiving the most legal immigration world-wide, so I guess it's kinda working..) Attracting talents, rather than dodgy "English teachers", and giving them a long-term perspective, should be the way forward. |
Originally Posted by percysmith
(Post 34005456)
Let them have their way. They won't be satisfied until we do. Ignore the fact we do not have 城管, nor a health code system linked to the payment system, or true resident registration. So we'll end up with lockdown for weeks and weeks on end - not even allowed to go out for essentials like Melbourne.
A flood of negative social media of starving families and encounters with the Police less in intensity but more in frequency than 2019. Oh, then they'll cut off our data pipelines to the rest of the world. But then, lots of us will still have satcoms. A bunch of test workers and delivery and logistics workers will have to come to Hong Kong (supplemented by local workforce, this will effectively be running a nationalised Deliveroo) to carry this out. Housing will be have to be found for them, this will be the biggest invasion since 1941. We'll get a hukou registration system before the end of it. It may be kept on after the pandemic. I don't want to engage in hyperbole - such as cauterising the SAR - but these are the ways I think they think they can return HKSAR back to Covid Zero. They aren't exactly killing the patient to do it, but they will be irreversibly changing the DNA of the SAR in their attempts to get to their goals. They started with ELAB and the NSL anyway. Let us not forget that HK had actual covid zero for months and the mainland still did not open the border. Don’t even know what the point is anymore |
Originally Posted by YuropFlyer
(Post 34005474)
Honestly, isn't that a good idea? Setting up a proper immigration policy that attracts those willing to work, but also give them a way for it (past-covid) that might eventually even lead to citizenship (Japan, for example, is doing this totally wrong, and thus failing, despite urgent need for it) after 10-15 years if having a proper "work and stay history".
Pretty much what Switzerland and other developed countries do (and we're among the countries receiving the most legal immigration world-wide, so I guess it's kinda working..) Attracting talents, rather than dodgy "English teachers", and giving them a long-term perspective, should be the way forward. * at the risk of this devolving into a political discussion I’ll leave it there. |
Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 34005674)
I don’t disagree with you in theory but returning to covid zero is pretty much impossible at this point. They would have to have done these measures this week, every day they don’t do this it spirals out of control more. Going back to “covid zero” after you have 30000 cases per day (which will happen soon enough) is pointless.
Let us not forget that HK had actual covid zero for months and the mainland still did not open the border. Don’t even know what the point is anymore 2. Compliance with national policy is an obligation, doesn't mean we will necessarily get any benefits at the end of it. |
Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 34005674)
I don’t disagree with you in theory but returning to covid zero is pretty much impossible at this point.
Meanwhile Rachel Chan is vowing more distancing measures, so lockdown looks more and more likely https://www.hk01.com/article/737970?...edium=referral |
Originally Posted by kb1992
(Post 33999042)
Once you are in China, maybe, maybe you can get RP for $750. I trust moondog as he is most resourceful.
My question is, how do you enter China as a US citizen? Even if you have family members in China, you are unlikely to get a visa. Can you get a work visa without an actual job? For the cost, the lowest RT fare SFO-PVG-SFO would be around $4K-5K. Yes, the drill will cost $10K if you stay in China for 3 months. Like many others back in 2010, I used to work on business visas. The RP became an important requirement about 5 years ago. The first one is honestly a serious PITA (e.g. you need to get all sorts of documents notarized; I even went to DC to pull this off at the State Department and the PRC consulate). Paying Vincent his $750 is well worth it in this case because he provides a complete plan of attack. Renewals only cost around $500. It's still worth using Vincent for this IMO because his 关系 is quite good. You do need to go to Pudong at least once in person, but his staff will meet you there. He does require that you work for a real company. ETA: During the visa days, I always did the drill myself at consulates. This plan of attack no longer works, as noted. |
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