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NYT on behavior detection, again

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Old Mar 28, 2014 | 6:27 am
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From the report on the LAX shooting:

"(4) enhancing use of BDOs in plain clothes to blend into the crowd and analyze behaviors in public areas outside of the checkpoints;"

Pistole never gives up.
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Old Mar 28, 2014 | 7:03 pm
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Originally Posted by petaluma1
From the report on the LAX shooting:

"(4) enhancing use of BDOs in plain clothes to blend into the crowd and analyze behaviors in public areas outside of the checkpoints;"

Pistole never gives up.
Ah, those would be Double Secret BDOs.

I wonder if those would be part of the armed TSO force that Pistole wants. Perhaps an armed TSA Secret Police force who can shoot you because you rolled your eyes up and right when you told the TDC that you were heading for "Cincinnati."
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Old Mar 29, 2014 | 3:07 am
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Originally Posted by OldGoat
Are you suggesting that TSA checkpoints are or should be designed to produce the same level of stress as someone pleading for the return of a lost relative? That's the only way the 80% number was reached.

I'm sure you will go far in your TSA career.

(Edit list to lost)
According to what I have read as far as the scientific research, the only testing done that used people truly under duress, was the one that showed some form of positive result. That is a nice twisting of words in your statement above, I neither indicated, implied or even thought that TSA checkpoints should generate stress in any way.

I doubt it.

Originally Posted by FlyingHoustonian
Did you actually read the entire report and note how that was achieved?
I certainly did, and it simply reinforced the information I took from this report. People that were under real duress (regardless of the reason) appear to have shown more observable behaviors than folks sitting in an office being asked to lie about things that are not really important to them.

Originally Posted by mikeef
You're kidding, right? You picked the only study cited in the article that claimed that there is anything to BD. Every other study noted indicated that BD doesn't work.

Forget reading the article, everyone needs to read the study. There is nothing, and I mean nothing, in common between what they did in this study and what the BDOs do at the airport.

Mike
Agreed, but it boils down to an apples and oranges argument at this point. Almost every single test I have seen employs the same process of bringing people into an office and asking them to lie about something that is not important to them. The study using videos of people under genuine distress showed some promise. I am not saying that this is the end all of studies or research - quite the opposite, this should spur even more studies of both types to help educate all involved. I would love to see more studies using videos of people under some form of distress as (at least part) of the process. Someone lying about the color of their shorts or about a favorite story from their past - at someone elses request, is not going to exhibit the same types of behaviors that someone with a bomb strapped to them (coupled with the intention to use it) would. This has been my biggest challenge with the reports and scientific studies on behavioral analysis - it is next to impossible to generate the same emotional/physical stress loads in a laboratory setting. This shows a different format of looking at the information, and surprisingly for many, it shows that there could be some validity to behavioral analysis and promise in this science.
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Old Mar 29, 2014 | 5:01 am
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What you are forgetting in trying to defend your position as a BDO, West, is that people who are psychopaths lie with impunity. They are the bad guys you will never find. This is evidenced by the fact that the arrest rate for your "catches" is miniscule and not for any significant kinds of crime.
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Old Mar 29, 2014 | 5:11 am
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Originally Posted by gsoltso
This shows a different format of looking at the information, and surprisingly for many, it shows that there could be some validity to behavioral analysis and promise in this science.
It's no more a "science" than phrenology or astrology are "science".

Furthermore, research projects involving human subjects require their consent. Consent under duress is not consent.

Pissant and the other scumbags who mandated and maintain this junk science belong in prison. For life.
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Old Mar 29, 2014 | 7:10 am
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Originally Posted by WillCAD
My favorite part is where it said that the actual, real-world, in-action-for-several-years BDO program deployed by TSA hasn't caught a single person it was designed to catch, but instead has only caught people that TSA are prohibited from looking for (i.e. criminals, smugglers, and people concealing their identity).

But I also loved the part where it said that even among those that the BDO program "caught", it has only a 1% arrest rate. In other words, only 1% of the people that the BDOs pick out as suspicious are actually doing something worth of arrest. Ya gotta love a 1% success rate, West, ya just gotta love it!
Care to address this, West? You know, the 100% failure rate in catching people they're supposed to catch, and 1% success rate at catching the people they're looking for illegally?
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Old Mar 29, 2014 | 8:19 pm
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Originally Posted by gsoltso


I certainly did, and it simply reinforced the information I took from this report. People that were under real duress (regardless of the reason) appear to have shown more observable behaviors than folks sitting in an office being asked to lie about things that are not really important to them.
.
You have not read all the studies then. You have a big false presumption then and that is that an evildoer will be under duress. Sure Bobby-Jo bin Jihad al-Mississippiani might show duress but others have not. And since Bobby-Jo bin Jihad al-Mississippiani is a moron he will likely blow up his meth lab slash bomb factory and self mort.

Look at the 11 Sept video of the asshat hijackers passing security. Calm, cool, and collected. Your several-hours-of-study voodoo would not work.

Scan all baggage (hand and hold) with proper working equipment. Make people pass through effective WTMD. Properly control airport access.
It can be done...
And if you bring up Tel Aviv airport I will send a scream through the computer as that has been debunked for so many different reasons I do not need to say it again.
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Old Mar 30, 2014 | 10:32 am
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I think researchers have said that terror organizations prefer to recruit people who are focused, calm, sane, and intelligent. I doubt BDOs are looking for that.

According to BBC News:

"...All of the Al-Qaeda members studied came from middle or upper class backgrounds.

Two-thirds were college educated, a tenth had a postgraduate degree and more than seven out of 10 were married with children."
That sounds like a large part of the flying population. Plus, I am sure a highly educated terrorist is well aware of BDO techniques and how to counter them (if the techniques are effective at all). I would say that a highly educated terrorist probably already has an answer to every TSA tactic and an assessment of the risks presented by each.
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Old Mar 30, 2014 | 6:47 pm
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Jason Harrington, former TSA clerk, has spoken out again at Politico.com.

That doesnt mean I dont consider some of what the TSA has been doing the last few years scandalous; I do. Perhaps the most egregious waste of money at the agency right now is the SPOT program, in which Behavior Detection Officers are supposed to read peoples body language in order to identify would-be terrorists.

A decade in, weve now spent a billion dollars on the program despite the fact that its based on pseudoscience that has been debunked in one study after another, and theres no proof it has turned up even one terrorist threat. Many of the Behavior Detection Officers I knew at OHare privately admitted that their program amounted to a lot of walking around all day getting paid a lot of money for doing nothing.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine/sto...#ixzz2xUra9JJC
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Old Mar 30, 2014 | 8:55 pm
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It noted that fewer than 1 percent of the more than 30,000 passengers a year who are identified as suspicious end up being arrested, and that the offenses (like carrying drugs or undeclared currency) have not been linked to terrorist plots.

People smuggling diamonds, drugs, and currency are NOT a terrorist threat to an aircraft. They do NOT want to fly the plane into a landmark. They want the flight to get to its original destination safely, on time, and in one piece.

TSA causes 300 arrests a year for non terrorist reasons at a cost to the taxpayer of $500,000 per arrest.
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Old Mar 30, 2014 | 10:01 pm
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Originally Posted by BubbaLoop
My favorite part is that the science shows that supposed behavior detection is worse than chance alone.
I'd trust infants or toddlers' "behavior detection" before I'd trust the TSA or any other "profiling" characters working "security" at airports -- and the young diaper-wearing children don't expect wages/salaries and other employment benefits for the "privilege" of being subjected to their "security" screening and screaming.

Originally Posted by Schmurrr
I think researchers have said that terror organizations prefer to recruit people who are focused, calm, sane, and intelligent. I doubt BDOs are looking for that.

According to BBC News:



That sounds like a large part of the flying population. Plus, I am sure a highly educated terrorist is well aware of BDO techniques and how to counter them (if the techniques are effective at all). I would say that a highly educated terrorist probably already has an answer to every TSA tactic and an assessment of the risks presented by each.
Most of the people who have been at monitored "Al-Qaeda" training camps in various parts of Asia and Africa don't come close to anything I would consider middle to upper middle class under an American or British standard of living; nor are they college-educated on average. The average "international terrorist" is more akin to that Kasab idiot captured alive in Bombay during the massacre in November 2009.

This isn't to say that terrorists are all cut of the same cloth and playing SPOT makes sense -- neither holds true.

Last edited by GUWonder; Mar 30, 2014 at 10:19 pm
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Old Mar 30, 2014 | 10:29 pm
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Originally Posted by FlyingHoustonian
You have not read all the studies then. You have a big false presumption then and that is that an evildoer will be under duress. Sure Bobby-Jo bin Jihad al-Mississippiani might show duress but others have not. And since Bobby-Jo bin Jihad al-Mississippiani is a moron he will likely blow up his meth lab slash bomb factory and self mort.

Look at the 11 Sept video of the asshat hijackers passing security. Calm, cool, and collected. Your several-hours-of-study voodoo would not work.

Scan all baggage (hand and hold) with proper working equipment. Make people pass through effective WTMD. Properly control airport access.
It can be done...
And if you bring up Tel Aviv airport I will send a scream through the computer as that has been debunked for so many different reasons I do not need to say it again.
Indeed. The notion that "international terrorists" are generally operating under duress and thus can be reliably detected that way is a canard -- if it weren't a canard, then most "international terrorists" wouldn't be criminally responsible for their actions to the extent they are, and massive cordon and search operations for militants in hotspots would be less ugly and more effective, timely operations than has been the case generally.
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Old Mar 31, 2014 | 3:48 am
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Originally Posted by Spiff
It's no more a "science" than phrenology or astrology are "science".
Behavior detection is a valid science, just not the way the TSA is implementing it.

Originally Posted by Spiff
Furthermore, research projects involving human subjects require their consent.
Says who? Show me that law or regulation.

Originally Posted by Spiff
Pissant and the other scumbags who mandated and maintain this junk science belong in prison. For life.
On what basis? Congress hasn't yet passed a law criminalizing stupidity.
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Old Mar 31, 2014 | 4:14 am
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Originally Posted by cbn42
On what basis? Congress hasn't yet passed a law criminalizing stupidity.
If they did, there would be huge number of vacancies in the federal workforce. And especially on Capitol Hill.
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Old Mar 31, 2014 | 4:43 am
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Originally Posted by cbn42
Behavior detection is a valid science, just not the way the TSA is implementing it.



Says who? Show me that law or regulation.



On what basis? Congress hasn't yet passed a law criminalizing stupidity.
Congress has passed various laws criminalizing some kinds of stupidity.

Which behavior detection implementation is a valid science? ROTFLOL
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