Flights to Oz - what's the likelihood?
#16
Join Date: Mar 2020
Programs: British Airways Executive Club
Posts: 33
you can still return, they will never close the country to citizens. Leaving is also not too difficult as a non resident, though I recommend applying for your leave exemption at least 3 weeks before you need / plan to leave.
#17
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: MEL CHC
Posts: 21,026
As above suggest you apply for permit to leave. My Travel Restriction Exemption to leave AU was granted on the same day as application (~2 weeks before the flight)
Personally know 1 person, not normally resident in AU, who was refused at check in a 15~30 second conversation between airline check-in agent and Australian Border Force. He then applied on-line and was able to leave a week later.
I suspect this year it’s going to be late November or early December - not late December. Typically expats try to reach home in time to spend Christmas back in Australia with family. This year that means reaching Australia by 10 December at the latest. I expect many will give up on this year though.
Many posts in this thread off topic being on general AU Covid-19 travel polices. All info in AU Gov web site https://covid19.homeaffairs.gov.au/
OP stated was AU passport holder; that's all the information needed for this thread.
Last edited by Mwenenzi; Oct 13, 2020 at 6:41 pm
#19
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Singapore
Programs: QF LTG, SQ EGTP, Bonvoy LTG
Posts: 4,847
At the moment BA inventory is not anticipating the limits on arrivals continuing, but I would not rely on BA to get you there, comparing to other carriers which are closer to the market. I noticed there is availability on SYD-SIN on BA from the 16th Dec onwards. BA is offering, for example on the 16th Dec: F5 A0 J2 C0 D0 R0 I0 W9 E9 T9 Y9 B9 H9 K9 M9 L9 V9 S9 N9 Q9 O9 G9. By contrast SQ have reduced their flights to single daily (with a second some days continuing to BNE) and on same day (16th) is offering: Z8 C0 J0 U0 D0 Y0 B0 E0 M0 H0 W0 Q0 N0 V0 G0 K0. And QR DOH-SYD is just J0 Y0. I suspect the latter two are more likely to be an accurate.
#20
Moderator: British Airways Executive Club
Join Date: Jan 2009
Programs: Battleaxe Alliance
Posts: 22,127
The load out of Australia is woeful because of the restrictions on leaving the country, and load into Australia is woeful because of the strict cap. I really feel sorry for airlines and I do not blame them for prioritising higher revenue passengers. So, if you want certainly, book the most expensive fare you can possibly book. (Saying that, unless the trip is really essential, I'd feel bad about taking a seat off the people who have been waiting for a very long time to get back or those who are desperate to go there for compassionate reasons.)
As for BA, unless they get a cargo contract into Australia that is sufficient to operate the flight with almost no passenger, I am guessing it would be very unlikely for them to be operating to SYD any time before the cap on arrivals into Australia is raised substantially (I'm talking being raised at least 5-fold) so that they can operate viably.
As for BA, unless they get a cargo contract into Australia that is sufficient to operate the flight with almost no passenger, I am guessing it would be very unlikely for them to be operating to SYD any time before the cap on arrivals into Australia is raised substantially (I'm talking being raised at least 5-fold) so that they can operate viably.
#21
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: London
Programs: Ba Silver ( for now!)
Posts: 776
I am surprised any airline is operating given the loads requirement. Cost per mile to oz has always been low so add in reduced pax even in premium surprised it is worth their while. Cargo I suppose ?
#22
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 44,600
The situation for an airline in Asia is different to those in Europe
#23
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Singapore
Programs: QF LTG, SQ EGTP, Bonvoy LTG
Posts: 4,847
For some routes, several carriers including some of BA's OW partners (QR, CX & MH) are operating some routes into Australia (i.e XXX-MEL) with no passengers - no business class, no economy, no anything. Presumably the cargo (inbound/outbound) and outbound passenger traffic means these services at least cover their variable costs.
#24
Original Poster
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 1,756
My understanding from the website highlighted earlier is that non-residents have no issues leaving and need no permission. Apparently border control can check your movements quite quickly to prove you haven't lived in Oz for a length of time. Also, I travel with both Aust and UK passports.
#25
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 44,600
My understanding from the website highlighted earlier is that non-residents have no issues leaving and need no permission. Apparently border control can check your movements quite quickly to prove you haven't lived in Oz for a length of time. Also, I travel with both Aust and UK passports.
Yes - Immigration can see dates and times of all entries and exits of the country
#26
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 2,575
In some ways the flights could be reasonably viable for BA since they are flying an almost empty 777 to Singapore anyway. ~50 full fare seats inbound, whoever they can lift outbound to Singapore or London + any cargo. Not like the fleet is stretched elsewhere
Changi has a procedure in place now to allow transit through the terminal
Changi has a procedure in place now to allow transit through the terminal
#27
Moderator, Hilton Honors
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: on a short leash
Programs: some
Posts: 71,422
In some ways the flights could be reasonably viable for BA since they are flying an almost empty 777 to Singapore anyway. ~50 full fare seats inbound, whoever they can lift outbound to Singapore or London + any cargo. Not like the fleet is stretched elsewhere
Changi has a procedure in place now to allow transit through the terminal
Changi has a procedure in place now to allow transit through the terminal
#28
Original Poster
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 1,756
I know - my point is, there is ample proof that I am not a resident of Australia anymore both with the records held by Border Force and the fact that I left UK on my UK passport (after showing my Oz passport at checkin to satisfy entry requirements). So I wouldn't (or won't) need to get permission to leave as I am not bound by that rule, thankfully.
#29
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Dublin, Ireland
Programs: BA Gold, Mucci
Posts: 2,068
My understanding from the website highlighted earlier is that non-residents have no issues leaving and need no permission. Apparently border control can check your movements quite quickly to prove you haven't lived in Oz for a length of time. Also, I travel with both Aust and UK passports.
For those that may not be dual citizens, you have to enter and leave Australia on your Australian Passport as a rule if you have one. I once tried to enter on my Irish one and they asked me for my Australian one, so they are well aware of people who are dual citizens. I also bring my Irish Passport so I can breeze into the EU and use that at the other end. You basically have to carry both at all times.
#30
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Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 44,600
As long as you are happy staying in quarantine for min 14 days on arriva and paying $3000 for it, then as an Australian passport holder, no issue
Does seem an odd time to want to visit given those restrictions, but as long as able to get on a flight , go for it
Does seem an odd time to want to visit given those restrictions, but as long as able to get on a flight , go for it