FlyerTalk Forums

FlyerTalk Forums (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/index.php)
-   American Airlines | AAdvantage (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage-733/)
-   -   Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2022 master thread) (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage/2070956-chances-upgrade-clearing-availability-2022-master-thread.html)

JJeffrey Apr 6, 2022 6:24 am


Originally Posted by Dennis949 (Post 34141530)
I see quite a few open seats in business class. Called and they said it would be waitlisted .. my question is what are the chances that it clears ? I know lax to lhr is a popular route . Thx in advance

It's impossible to say much more other than your chances are "decent" as both LAX-LHR flights look only about half full in business at this point. If it does clear it probably won't happen until 1 or 2 days before the flight, but could go right up to the gate depending on loads.

Microwave Apr 6, 2022 7:43 am


Originally Posted by Dennis949 (Post 34141530)
I’m flying to Dublin from lax on May 1st using an swu from someone I know. I see quite a few open seats in business class. Called and they said it would be waitlisted .. my question is what are the chances that it clears ? I know lax to lhr is a popular route . Thx in advance

As there is a master thread on this topic, I've gone ahead and merged your post and its reply into it. In future, please be mindful that common questions often already have a relevant thread, and try to post there. Thank you!

~Microwave
AAdvantage forum co-moderator

frebay Apr 6, 2022 10:06 pm

Looking to get to Europe in July, and there's no C avail to CDG or LHR in early July. Would you take your chances for waitlist at LAX direct or waitlist via JFK?

ORDflyer92 Apr 7, 2022 4:56 am

Trying to upgrade DFW-NRT in December but I'm seeing no C availability even with flexible dates. Is it worth waiting to see if AA releases any seats for upgrade? If I am not going to be able to upgrade, I may just go JL direct to HND from ORD instead of connecting.

ryanbriar Apr 7, 2022 7:07 am


Originally Posted by ORDflyer92 (Post 34144476)
Trying to upgrade DFW-NRT in December but I'm seeing no C availability even with flexible dates. Is it worth waiting to see if AA releases any seats for upgrade? If I am not going to be able to upgrade, I may just go JL direct to HND from ORD instead of connecting.

If there is any space, it will probably be released close in. If it’s a 788 or 789, you could see most seats actually get sold.

If you have EF, I’d set up alerts across different flights / routings as space may randomly open up.

Last point - JL sometimes makes really good award space available at the partner rates for J and F. I’ve regularly seen the direct Boston flight pop up at 70k and the JFK flights 110k in F.

ORDflyer92 Apr 7, 2022 9:16 am


Originally Posted by ryanbriar (Post 34144714)
If there is any space, it will probably be released close in. If it’s a 788 or 789, you could see most seats actually get sold.

If you have EF, I’d set up alerts across different flights / routings as space may randomly open up.

Last point - JL sometimes makes really good award space available at the partner rates for J and F. I’ve regularly seen the direct Boston flight pop up at 70k and the JFK flights 110k in F.

Thanks for the info. Just set up a few alerts and will hope for the best! As of right now AA is using the 777 on this route, although that could change given the chance that Japan will open up more. Any reason as to why the 787 would sell more easily? Is it just because a better seat is guaranteed?

Regarding JL, unfortunately they don't partner with Chase or Amex for points transfers. I see you can transfer Bonvoy at 3:1 so that might be an option given how much availability they seem to have, but not sure it would be worth it all things considered. I'd love to fly direct from ORD though.

JJeffrey Apr 7, 2022 9:20 am


Originally Posted by ORDflyer92 (Post 34145101)
Regarding JL, unfortunately they don't partner with Chase or Amex for points transfers. I see you can transfer Bonvoy at 3:1 so that might be an option given how much availability they seem to have, but not sure it would be worth it all things considered. I'd love to fly direct from ORD though.

He was talking about using AA miles for an award flight on JL.

ORDflyer92 Apr 7, 2022 9:31 am


Originally Posted by JJeffrey (Post 34145111)
He was talking about using AA miles for an award flight on JL.

Got it. Unfortunately, it's work travel so I can get reimbursed the Y fare if it's cash, which is why I'm looking to upgrade. Didn't OneWorld promise that partner flight upgrades were coming a year ago?

DCAAlex Apr 7, 2022 10:20 am

Quick datapoint on the SFO-JFK redeye (AA276). I wasn't expecting much with only 19k loyalty points but cleared into J right at the 72 hour window. Can't remember the last time an upgrade cleared that early, let alone on a route like this.

On a related note, is it worth checking out the new SFO Admirals club? Or should I just stick to the Air France lounge via PP.

kq747 Apr 7, 2022 10:57 am

Just flew BOS-JFK-MIA-MCO-DCA-BOS as a PlatPro. Was among the top 4 in every list and cleared on every leg-was not expecting that so got to enjoy some nice lie flat domestic legs

BOS-JFK on A321T cleared onboard. 1st on list
JFK-MIA on 772 cleared onboard after someone deplaned due to delay. Couple declined
MIA-MCO cleared 3 days out
MCO-DCA cleared at boarding
DCA-BOS cleared on board. I believe a couple declined/changed flights

kq747 Apr 7, 2022 11:02 am


Originally Posted by shrididdy (Post 34136747)
Adding my experience on 4/1 on JFK-MIA on a 777 with Flagship Business. In the recent past I've been clearing this at T-48, since it's so J heavy. However the buy up offer on app was only $161 and likely enticing for many.

At T-24 there were only J2 seats visible on seatmap. On the upgrade list me and my non-elite companion were #6 and #7 out of maybe 15 or so. At T-40, #1 and #4 cleared. #2-3 were same name so likely linked and didn't clear for the one remaining seat.

​​​​​​Once on board, #5 was moved up by gate agent just before the door closed. Then we had a 3 hr delay on tarmac (if you followed this weekend's Florida shenanigans) before returning to gate, where a handful deplaned, including 1 J passenger. 30 mins later we're ready to go and the gate agent appeared to upgrade one of either me and my non-elite companion.

I still don't know why the couple/family in #2-3 weren't upgraded at any point, unless the GA asked and they didn't want to split up. My companion enjoyed a nice 3 hours in J.

Was this the 9am on 4/1?

EXPLAT Apr 9, 2022 10:47 am

EXP w/125k LP’s
PHX-OGG 789 20 seats open, 3 upgraded at t-100 including myself
OGG-PHX 789 10 seats open, 4 upgraded at t-98, wasn’t upgraded. #1 on list at gate, fell to #3, #1 upgraded from a no-show

lawly Apr 9, 2022 6:15 pm

Cleared LBB-DFW and then DFW-LBB on 04/09 as gold t-24. Not a huge surprise on a Saturday from a regional airport.

Dennis949 Apr 10, 2022 12:27 am

Heading to Dublin from lax May 2 ( lax to lhr then lhr to Dublin) my friend just called and applied his 4 swu’s for our round trip flight and it’s on ‘Requested’ status so hopefully it clears 🤞🤞🤞

golfer20 Apr 10, 2022 7:42 am


Originally Posted by ORDflyer92 (Post 34145152)
Got it. Unfortunately, it's work travel so I can get reimbursed the Y fare if it's cash, which is why I'm looking to upgrade. Didn't OneWorld promise that partner flight upgrades were coming a year ago?

for now, we have this: https://www.aa.com/i18n/aadvantage-p...r-airlines.jsp


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 1:45 pm.


This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.