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-   American Airlines | AAdvantage (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage-733/)
-   -   Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2018 master thread) (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage/1883276-chances-upgrade-clearing-availability-2018-master-thread.html)

MarkOK Jun 20, 2018 12:36 pm


Originally Posted by MathMusic (Post 29887026)
As a Plat Pro with low EQDs you would clear ahead of any Plat members but behind all other Plat Pros. There isn't a zero chance, depending on things at the airport you could clear. I wouldn't hold your breath on the DFW-BOS leg though because of so many Ex Plats out of DFW.

I think the only possibility is if ExPlats were taken care of at T-100 hours with confirmed upgrades already, and then for whatever reason a couple more seats opened up last Friday. About a week ago, there were something like 7 (out of the 16) F seats open so then I thought I might have a shot, -- I don't think there is a way to know how or even when those 7 seats filled though, right.

MarkOK Jun 22, 2018 12:10 pm

I did a same day flight change to an earlier dfw-bos flight today to arrive earlier.
Anyways, 26 people on upgrade list, I was 7 as a plat pro with about 2500 rolling eqds, and nobody on this list cleared. Sitting next to a few exec plats in MCE.

daron4000 Jun 27, 2018 9:34 pm

Does anyone have a sense of how easy of an upgrade PHL-LIS would be in late August? I see some decent C availability in the coming weeks but much less in the last two weeks of August even though many flights are J7 D7 I7. I thought this might be a late August thing but weirdly enough as I move into Sep and Oct, the loads already seem almost completely full, with J<5 in many cases.

ckx2 Jun 28, 2018 1:41 am

AA 192/193 cleared at the time of booking (two weeks out) :)

DeepUnderground Jun 28, 2018 4:11 am


Originally Posted by ckx2 (Post 29915111)
AA 192/193 cleared at the time of booking (two weeks out) :)

What day of the week? J to F?

ckx2 Jun 28, 2018 9:07 pm


Originally Posted by DeepUnderground (Post 29915308)
What day of the week? J to F?

192 Sunday
193 Friday
Y to J

Was ready to buy J when I saw availability and decided to save a few bucks, as I'm already above and beyond any healthy EQM/EQD point.

MarkOK Jun 29, 2018 4:31 pm

Just took a flight Boston to DFW. Was 16 out of 34 on the upgrade list as low e.q.d. plat pro for a 738. Zero upgrades cleared as first was full. Sat next to two concierge key members this time in mce.

enviroian Jun 29, 2018 4:39 pm

I flew 76 lhr-dfw yesterday. 12 people were upgraded into J at check in. However it was still C0 on expert flyer.

:rolleyes:

DeepUnderground Jun 30, 2018 8:54 pm

I changed my flight AA192 HKG-LAX from a Monday to a Wednesday and my miles upgrade J-F cleared at the time of request.

mcrw00 Jun 30, 2018 9:20 pm


Originally Posted by enviroian (Post 29921745)
I flew 76 lhr-dfw yesterday. 12 people were upgraded into J at check in. However it was still C0 on expert flyer.

:rolleyes:

IT-wise, how does this happen? Do the GA’s open and then immediately fill up the C availability before EF detects it?

uscjeff Jul 1, 2018 9:53 am


Originally Posted by mcrw00 (Post 29924888)


IT-wise, how does this happen? Do the GA’s open and then immediately fill up the C availability before EF detects it?

That has been my experience - I have had the same thing happen a few times where I do not get a C alert and get to gate and have been upgraded

tphuang Jul 1, 2018 2:50 pm

I'm looking into flying from NYC to FCO or MXP in middle of September. Looking at ef right now, I don't see any upgrade inventory available on a couple of dates I looked at for either cities. I was thinking of using miles + copay for upgrade. Just wondering if anyone have ideas on what the likelihood of 2 seats becoming available is during that time. So looking at Sep 8 to 15th. Would one be more likely to become available than the other one?

JJeffrey Jul 1, 2018 6:20 pm


Originally Posted by tphuang (Post 29926771)
I'm looking into flying from NYC to FCO or MXP in middle of September. Looking at ef right now, I don't see any upgrade inventory available on a couple of dates I looked at for either cities. I was thinking of using miles + copay for upgrade. Just wondering if anyone have ideas on what the likelihood of 2 seats becoming available is during that time. So looking at Sep 8 to 15th. Would one be more likely to become available than the other one?

Your odds are very good especially if you can depart midweek, i.e. Mon-Wed. Looking at the flights, JFK-MXP looks to be operated with a 45J 772 as opposed to 37J for JFK-FCO. The MXP flights on Sep 10-12 look much less full up front compared to FCO, so that's what I would go with all other things being equal.

tphuang Jul 1, 2018 7:29 pm


Originally Posted by JJeffrey (Post 29927310)
Your odds are very good especially if you can depart midweek, i.e. Mon-Wed. Looking at the flights, JFK-MXP looks to be operated with a 45J 772 as opposed to 37J for JFK-FCO. The MXP flights on Sep 10-12 look much less full up front compared to FCO, so that's what I would go with all other things being equal.

Thanks a whole bunch.

econometrics Jul 2, 2018 7:37 am


Originally Posted by mcrw00 (Post 29924888)


IT-wise, how does this happen? Do the GA’s open and then immediately fill up the C availability before EF detects it?

Yes. That's likely exactly what happens. EF does sweeps on inventory. The GA can put people into J seats from the UG list without even having to open up some inventory, most likely. Thus evading the EF sweeps.


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