Major United Policy Changes Announced
#167
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 350
Do you think the gate agents in, say Sacremento, know that Louisville is near Lexington? Or that if they fly a passenger into Lexington, who do they call to get that customer ground transportation into Louisville?
Makes total sense to have a specialized department for out-of-the-box solutions. Sure, many things should be able to be handled by the gate agents themselves, but I think it smart to have backup for those tail events.
Makes total sense to have a specialized department for out-of-the-box solutions. Sure, many things should be able to be handled by the gate agents themselves, but I think it smart to have backup for those tail events.
For ground transportation, I had a PMUA agent just note my PNR to give me free ground transportation when I arrived. I made them print the PNR for me. When I arrived in SFO, I showed it to the arriving agent and they printed me a voucher. This was before Uber. Now they can just put a note to say "reimburse Uber expenses" or whatever.
I don't think more centralized decision making is the optimal answer.
#168
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: BOS
Programs: UA MM
Posts: 1,581
"Reduce the amount of overbooking". Of course, that could mean almost anything. Though that may make it hard for an elite to book on short notice, it also would mean that when said elite missed a connection, that it would be more likely that a seat would be available on the next flight, as opposed to the next day, or worse.
If they do these things well, it cannot be bad. If they really go up that high to get volunteers to VDB, then there would be no IDBs. That would be good, IMHO.
If they do these things well, it cannot be bad. If they really go up that high to get volunteers to VDB, then there would be no IDBs. That would be good, IMHO.
#171
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Cleveland, OH
Programs: UA-GS 1MM), Hertz Pres Circle, Starriott Titanium)
Posts: 1,966
#173
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,417
Despite what the mass media might have you believe, this isn't a nefarious practice, as evidenced by the reports on the VDB thread of "I volunteered, but they didn't need me." People miss flights all the time. UA has historical information that helps them predict how many no-shows or last-minute changes they might get; they use that to figure out how many seats they can sell without having to deny boarding to anyone. They're quite good at it, but they're not perfect.
I have personally been on a flight that was oversold (not just overbooked) by 6 and ended up taking two standbys. It was a flight leaving a hub, and there were weather delays somewhere in the system; they ended up having eight passengers mis-connect.
#174
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 2,866
What makes you think that airlines overbook by a single seat? UA routinely overbooks flights by 5-10 seats or more, depending upon the equipment, route, date, and other factors.
Despite what the mass media might have you believe, this isn't a nefarious practice, as evidenced by the reports on the VDB thread of "I volunteered, but they didn't need me." People miss flights all the time. UA has historical information that helps them predict how many no-shows or last-minute changes they might get; they use that to figure out how many seats they can sell without having to deny boarding to anyone. They're quite good at it, but they're not perfect.
I have personally been on a flight that was oversold (not just overbooked) by 6 and ended up taking two standbys. It was a flight leaving a hub, and there were weather delays somewhere in the system; they ended up having eight passengers mis-connect.
Despite what the mass media might have you believe, this isn't a nefarious practice, as evidenced by the reports on the VDB thread of "I volunteered, but they didn't need me." People miss flights all the time. UA has historical information that helps them predict how many no-shows or last-minute changes they might get; they use that to figure out how many seats they can sell without having to deny boarding to anyone. They're quite good at it, but they're not perfect.
I have personally been on a flight that was oversold (not just overbooked) by 6 and ended up taking two standbys. It was a flight leaving a hub, and there were weather delays somewhere in the system; they ended up having eight passengers mis-connect.
#175
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: YYZ
Programs: United Premier
Posts: 77
I think the 10k number just gives gate agents (at least their supervisors) more freedom when it comes to offering incentives, especially when it comes to negotiating VDB/IDB.
It's very unlikely they ever offer 10k if at all. Most flyers would probably give in for far less, but they key here is the amount of freedom agents have.
UA should really learned its lesson and research how other airlines do it.
I flew once on BR, it was a YVR-TPE-HKG flight with the TPE-HKG being the first flight out (very popular, as travelers like to maximize their time there). They needed 8 seats so they started asking for couple/group volunteers. First offer straight off the bat: $3000NTD (~100USD)+lounge access for the next flight out (just under 2hrs), no takers. Next step: $6000NTD (200USD)+lounge access, some accepted. And just as me and wife were about to board, they approached us saying they were still 2 short and gave us another offer: $8000NTD+lounge access, we were connecting another flight at HKG and had plenty of time (it wasn't until afternoon), wife was tempted although I wasn't sure as I visit TPE often. So the agents, seeing how close they were at securing the VDB, just said to my wife (yes, not even looking at me) they'd give us all that plus rebooking us into business class on the next flight. At that point, wife was convinced and she said to me I could travel alone if I insisted boarding.
The point of the example is how much freedom BR agents have at the gate. And the compensation was cash... not even a check... just cold hard cash.
It's very unlikely they ever offer 10k if at all. Most flyers would probably give in for far less, but they key here is the amount of freedom agents have.
UA should really learned its lesson and research how other airlines do it.
I flew once on BR, it was a YVR-TPE-HKG flight with the TPE-HKG being the first flight out (very popular, as travelers like to maximize their time there). They needed 8 seats so they started asking for couple/group volunteers. First offer straight off the bat: $3000NTD (~100USD)+lounge access for the next flight out (just under 2hrs), no takers. Next step: $6000NTD (200USD)+lounge access, some accepted. And just as me and wife were about to board, they approached us saying they were still 2 short and gave us another offer: $8000NTD+lounge access, we were connecting another flight at HKG and had plenty of time (it wasn't until afternoon), wife was tempted although I wasn't sure as I visit TPE often. So the agents, seeing how close they were at securing the VDB, just said to my wife (yes, not even looking at me) they'd give us all that plus rebooking us into business class on the next flight. At that point, wife was convinced and she said to me I could travel alone if I insisted boarding.
The point of the example is how much freedom BR agents have at the gate. And the compensation was cash... not even a check... just cold hard cash.
#176
Join Date: Feb 2017
Programs: LT Marriott Titanium, Hyatt Globalist, Hilton Diamond, IHG Plat, Hertz Prez Circle, United Platinum
Posts: 767
Overbooking adds 2 percentage points to airline profitability, according to an analyst I saw on CNBC in the last few days. On CNBC Thursday April 27, Jamie Baker (JP Morgan airline analyst) stated that overbooking lowers airfares and getting rid of them would be bad for the travelling public. But some of the travelling public wants to get rid of overbooking without understanding that ticket prices WILL rise.
The airline industry has razor thin margins. The airlines will raise fares and/or reduce lower fare buckets in order to stay profitable. The flights are too full now; the airlines need to raise fares significantly to reduce the excessively high load factors.
#177
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 350
Y is full fare coach; if anything, the number of Y seats would increase. And there are deeper discounted coach fares than S class so your post makes zero sense.
Overbooking adds 2 percentage points to airline profitability, according to an analyst I saw on CNBC in the last few days. On CNBC Thursday April 27, Jamie Baker (JP Morgan airline analyst) stated that overbooking lowers airfares and getting rid of them would be bad for the travelling public. But some of the travelling public wants to get rid of overbooking without understanding that ticket prices WILL rise.
The airline industry has razor thin margins. The airlines will raise fares and/or reduce lower fare buckets in order to stay profitable. The flights are too full now; the airlines need to raise fares significantly to reduce the excessively high load factors.
Overbooking adds 2 percentage points to airline profitability, according to an analyst I saw on CNBC in the last few days. On CNBC Thursday April 27, Jamie Baker (JP Morgan airline analyst) stated that overbooking lowers airfares and getting rid of them would be bad for the travelling public. But some of the travelling public wants to get rid of overbooking without understanding that ticket prices WILL rise.
The airline industry has razor thin margins. The airlines will raise fares and/or reduce lower fare buckets in order to stay profitable. The flights are too full now; the airlines need to raise fares significantly to reduce the excessively high load factors.
#178
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: NYC
Posts: 6,436
#179
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 6,752
I'm not an Airline Analyst, but for as long as I can remember, the most important metric used to compare the efficiency between the peer group has been Pax/revenue per available seat mile. Overbooking (assuming a % will always not show for a nonrefundable fare) increases this metric (and Airline's profitability) allowing for generally lower prices for a number of passengers.
For any carrier who had utilized overbooking, ceasing the practice will necessitate higher prices to maintain the same rev/pax miles. In other words, to maintain total revenue with less number of pax, the cost per pax unit must increase. Now, this can be borne by F or J class segment, but there are reasons to believe premium cabin fares have reached pareto optimality (any increase would result in lower profits).
All things being equal and absent other exterior forces (lower taxes, deregulation, lower Oil prices, etc...), general Y fares must increase to maintain present profitability levels.
So, yes, we should expect an increase on the lowest priced fares bucket, because each public carrier *MUST* maximize shareholder value period. The latter can hardly be accomplished without maximizing profit in the most efficient allowable manner.
For any carrier who had utilized overbooking, ceasing the practice will necessitate higher prices to maintain the same rev/pax miles. In other words, to maintain total revenue with less number of pax, the cost per pax unit must increase. Now, this can be borne by F or J class segment, but there are reasons to believe premium cabin fares have reached pareto optimality (any increase would result in lower profits).
All things being equal and absent other exterior forces (lower taxes, deregulation, lower Oil prices, etc...), general Y fares must increase to maintain present profitability levels.
So, yes, we should expect an increase on the lowest priced fares bucket, because each public carrier *MUST* maximize shareholder value period. The latter can hardly be accomplished without maximizing profit in the most efficient allowable manner.
#180
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: NYC
Posts: 6,436
When thinking about the effect of reducing overbooking on airline pricing, consider why airlines haven't already raised prices.
We often think businesses price on a cost plus basis or in order to maintain some level of profitability, but market forces and competitive pressures (even in an oligopolistic industry) are very important.
We often think businesses price on a cost plus basis or in order to maintain some level of profitability, but market forces and competitive pressures (even in an oligopolistic industry) are very important.