Feb 9, 2019, 8:39 pm
Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
May 27, 2023, 7:32 pm
#7606
Join Date: Mar 2023
Posts: 28
At ~T-48 hours, the situation for my flight (UA 872, TPE to SFO) looks like follows:
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN3 PZ0; O9 ON9 A9 R9 RN0
We are 4th and 5th on the upgrade list to Polaris (upgrading from originally purchased R fares). Capacity of 60, with 44(+1 blocked) booked. With the Prem+ oversell (Prem+ currently full), I guess I could be somewhat optimistic that we'll be upgraded?
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN3 PZ0; O9 ON9 A9 R9 RN0
We are 4th and 5th on the upgrade list to Polaris (upgrading from originally purchased R fares). Capacity of 60, with 44(+1 blocked) booked. With the Prem+ oversell (Prem+ currently full), I guess I could be somewhat optimistic that we'll be upgraded?
May 27, 2023, 9:57 pm
#7607
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,419
At ~T-48 hours, the situation for my flight (UA 872, TPE to SFO) looks like follows:
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN3 PZ0; O9 ON9 A9 R9 RN0
We are 4th and 5th on the upgrade list to Polaris (upgrading from originally purchased R fares). Capacity of 60, with 44(+1 blocked) booked. With the Prem+ oversell (Prem+ currently full), I guess I could be somewhat optimistic that we'll be upgraded?
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN3 PZ0; O9 ON9 A9 R9 RN0
We are 4th and 5th on the upgrade list to Polaris (upgrading from originally purchased R fares). Capacity of 60, with 44(+1 blocked) booked. With the Prem+ oversell (Prem+ currently full), I guess I could be somewhat optimistic that we'll be upgraded?
May 28, 2023, 4:32 am
#7608
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: BOS, PVG
Programs: United 1K and 1MM, Marriott Ambassador
Posts: 10,000
May 25 SFO-EWR 9:30pm
No. 3 with 50+ people on WL, and J was full. Nobody cleared.
Purchased B fare, no less.
PVG-SFO: barely cleared upgrade. Booked in premium economy.
I guess life is hard even for GS!
No. 3 with 50+ people on WL, and J was full. Nobody cleared.
Purchased B fare, no less.
PVG-SFO: barely cleared upgrade. Booked in premium economy.
I guess life is hard even for GS!
May 28, 2023, 7:40 am
#7609
Join Date: Jan 2016
Location: DEN
Programs: UA 1MM, MP 1K, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Gold
Posts: 463
I’m on UA 760 from DEN to MUC on Tues in Premium Plus with plus points for the upgrade. Any idea of when they will do any upgrades to Polaris ?
May 28, 2023, 10:40 am
#7610
Moderator: United Airlines
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.997MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
Posts: 66,859
Appears PremPlus is oversold, hence the block.
Baring a major irrops issue, you should clear but it may be not until Check-in
May 28, 2023, 7:47 pm
#7611
Join Date: Mar 2023
Posts: 28
We were cleared when I checked the United app at T-34 hours. Funny enough, there was still quite a list at T-36, but the next clearing took about 10 people off the waitlist.
We were automatically assigned a pair of adjacent seats, though we are able to pick and choose other remaining seats (~5 after the last clearance).
An email from United confirming the upgrade would have been helpful. I'm hoping that getting better shut-eye en-route and in SFO would make for a less intrusive jetlag.
Thanks again to you and the other forum regulars for the helpful insight.
We were automatically assigned a pair of adjacent seats, though we are able to pick and choose other remaining seats (~5 after the last clearance).
An email from United confirming the upgrade would have been helpful. I'm hoping that getting better shut-eye en-route and in SFO would make for a less intrusive jetlag.
Thanks again to you and the other forum regulars for the helpful insight.
May 29, 2023, 12:42 am
#7612
Join Date: Jun 2017
Posts: 22
I'm interested in booking HNL to MNL on Oct 24 for four people. Award flights for the following route is going to cost about 110,000 points per person. If I were to just buy economy tickets, what do you guys think my chances of upgrading to business using plus points and miles for four people on this flight below:
May 29, 2023, 2:28 am
#7613
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,419
I'm interested in booking HNL to MNL on Oct 24 for four people. Award flights for the following route is going to cost about 110,000 points per person. If I were to just buy economy tickets, what do you guys think my chances of upgrading to business using plus points and miles for four people on this flight below:
May 31, 2023, 8:29 pm
#7614
Join Date: Jan 2020
Posts: 20
2 days away from EWR to MXP. 1k with +1, both applied PP. Now the upgrade list shows we are 5 and 6 with a family of 4 ahead of us, there are only 3 seats left. What is the chance we will clear? i.e., will the family of 4 be split and we could jump over some of them, or do they always have higher priority than 2 of us?
May 31, 2023, 8:39 pm
#7615
Moderator: United Airlines
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.997MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
Posts: 66,859
2 days away from EWR to MXP. 1k with +1, both applied PP. Now the upgrade list shows we are 5 and 6 with a family of 4 ahead of us, there are only 3 seats left. What is the chance we will clear? i.e., will the family of 4 be split and we could jump over some of them, or do they always have higher priority than 2 of us?
May 31, 2023, 10:53 pm
#7616
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,480
May 31, 2023, 11:37 pm
#7617
Join Date: Oct 2009
Programs: UA 1K, Hilton ♦ , Hyatt Carbonado, Wyndham ♦, Marriott PE, "Stinking Bum" elsewhere.
Posts: 5,001
AMS in JUL/AUG?
I'm seeing ominous inventory indications for these months and I'm loath to take a chance with the high P+ fares of ~2.8K (from ORD/East Coast) when I can just buy J on DL/KLM for ~3.9K outright.
Is anyone successfully using PPs to AMS lately?
Does the KLM 777-300ER have an OK J seat? I know it's 2-2-2.
Edit: It's now 0150 AM (another UA delay has me sitting at an airport with nothing to do) and UA just loaded a bunch of P fares to AMS for 3.9K, matching DL, so I'll go with UA. I'm still interested if FTers are getting PP UGs to AMS in the summer months though.
Is anyone successfully using PPs to AMS lately?
Does the KLM 777-300ER have an OK J seat? I know it's 2-2-2.
Edit: It's now 0150 AM (another UA delay has me sitting at an airport with nothing to do) and UA just loaded a bunch of P fares to AMS for 3.9K, matching DL, so I'll go with UA. I'm still interested if FTers are getting PP UGs to AMS in the summer months though.
Last edited by zombietooth; Jun 1, 2023 at 7:50 am
Jun 1, 2023, 12:35 am
#7618
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: TOA
Programs: HH Diamond, Marriott LTPP/Platinum Premier, Hyatt Lame-ist, UA !K
Posts: 20,061
2 days away from EWR to MXP. 1k with +1, both applied PP. Now the upgrade list shows we are 5 and 6 with a family of 4 ahead of us, there are only 3 seats left. What is the chance we will clear? i.e., will the family of 4 be split and we could jump over some of them, or do they always have higher priority than 2 of us?
If the group of 4 keep their upgrade request and check-in, if space opens up, they will be split. Depending on their willingness to be separated, the safe move is to delay checking in and hope for cancellation. However, the counter concern is UA selling a / multiple cash upgrade skipping all the upgraders.
David
Jun 2, 2023, 2:04 pm
#7619
Join Date: Jun 2023
Posts: 1
IAD/GVA
Flying UA974 IAD to GVA on 12/15, booked O fare
No PZ/PN availability, but plenty of open seats in Polaris. Thoughts on if PP upgrade will clear? Currently on wait list. 1K if it matters. Thanks so much in advance
No PZ/PN availability, but plenty of open seats in Polaris. Thoughts on if PP upgrade will clear? Currently on wait list. 1K if it matters. Thanks so much in advance
Jun 2, 2023, 2:16 pm
#7620
Join Date: Jan 2018
Programs: UA LT GS | UA LT Club | Marriott LT Titanium
Posts: 1,250
I'd guess near-0% probability of clearing.
12/15 is the #1 travel day for those taking the final two weeks of the year off.
Many expats (allowed to fly family in J) and embassy staff will be flying home.
J will likely sell out on that flight and if it doesn't, GS will be ahead of you.