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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 12:22 pm
  #31  
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Not to/from IAH.

I do wonder where the F seats are going that used to go to EUA/CPU/e500. What increased volume to consume them: buy ups? low P/Z/A fares? Y/B fares?
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 12:23 pm
  #32  
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I have no idea what twilight zone I am living in, but my last three transcons have cleared with a CPU -

SFO-PHL - T/fare - A319 - Monday
EWR-LAX - G/fare - 738 - Tuesday (!)
SFO-PHL - T/fare - 738 - Tuesday

Plus clearance on PHL-ORD-LAX-SAN G-fare as well.

I'm not complaining...
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 12:23 pm
  #33  
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Originally Posted by mgcsinc

If the reports on DidItClear are representative, Silver and Gold rates look similar (~30%), as do Plats and 1K's (~60%). To me, this suggests flights are trimodal in terms of F availability, which would make sense to me.
You can't just look at status level. You have to look at where they fly to/from. As a gold flying out of SFO I am at 0%. Another Gold from a small elite light airport may be 60%. Average the 2 of us together (I know I am over simplifying) you get your 30%. So as a Gold out of a major hub if you ever get an upgrade consider yourself lucky. Especially if fly the typical travel days. But one of my usual travel days is Wednesday and I am 0% that day. Basically all I am saying is there is much more to the overall picture than a statistic on a website saying Golds are 30%.
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 12:25 pm
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Originally Posted by Beerman92
I think one reasonable scenario is that typically pax SDC to earlier flights throughout the day at relatively consistent rates which would mean the last flight or two of the day should have an abundance of available F seats. Not sure that is the case.
I occasionally will track the availability for all the direct flights between two points, and this definitely does happen.

Originally Posted by Baze
Basically all I am saying is there is much more to the overall picture than a statistic on a website saying Golds are 30%.
See the part of my comment about flights being trimodal. That was my point. You're seeing one of the modes.

Last edited by FlyinHawaiian; Mar 29, 2013 at 1:02 pm Reason: multi-quote
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 12:44 pm
  #35  
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Originally Posted by bmr12
While this is probably the subject of a different thread, there's clearly something afoot on some of these flights where I'm way down the list. This week, DEN-FLL flight. Flight was mid-day and mid-week to a tourist destination in the height of spring break season. This was not a typical Thursday or Friday night hub-to-hub flight. I finished #7 on the upgrade list on a pmUA 757 (24 seats in F). According to the mobile app, about half the folks in F were "upgraded" by some means or another. The other half apparently "booked" some variant of F or don't show on the mobile app as upgraded.

There's no way to convince me that:
  • A dozen people paid a full F fare to sit up front on a four hour flight.
  • There were really 17 or 18 people ahead of me on the CPU list--it's highly unlikely that there were that many Y or B fares, or GSes, or even 1Ks on higher fare classes.
The cheapest first class fare is only $361 more each way than the cheapest economy fare for DEN-FLL ... as is often the case for leisure destinations. People on more typical Y fares were probably seeing legitimate buy-ups in the $200 range ... it wouldn't surprise me if at that price they could legitimately fill up a F cabin with people wanting to begin their cruise in a more special way.
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 12:46 pm
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Originally Posted by Beerman92
I get the same day change idea but those pax who are switching flights have to be switching off another flight. So there shouldn't really be a net increase or decrease in F seats available because of SDC. I think one reasonable scenario is that typically pax SDC to earlier flights throughout the day at relatively consistent rates which would mean the last flight or two of the day should have an abundance of available F seats. Not sure that is the case.
Me personally, if I am seeing that a CPU won't clear and I can make a flight (earlier or later) with F seats I'm switching to it.
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 12:47 pm
  #37  
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Originally Posted by andyh64000
Except when you see 5 seats available when looking at the upgrade list and the open seats in the seatmap and then glance at the BPs of the pax who now occupy those seats when they filled without moving the UG list.
Thanks for re-bringing some logic back to this thread
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 12:47 pm
  #38  
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Got my first CPU of the year today IAD-LAX. As a gold flying to/from LAX-ORD/IAD, I never get my hopes up. I guess I'll have to remember to fly on semi-holidays on E fares. LAX-ORD on Monday with H fare I ended up #5/6.
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 1:00 pm
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While this is probably the subject of a different thread, there's clearly something afoot on some of these flights where I'm way down the list. This week, DEN-FLL flight. Flight was mid-day and mid-week to a tourist destination in the height of spring break season. This was not a typical Thursday or Friday night hub-to-hub flight. I finished #7 on the upgrade list on a pmUA 757 (24 seats in F). According to the mobile app, about half the folks in F were "upgraded" by some means or another. The other half apparently "booked" some variant of F or don't show on the mobile app as upgraded.

There's no way to convince me that:
A dozen people paid a full F fare to sit up front on a four hour flight.
There were really 17 or 18 people ahead of me on the CPU list--it's highly unlikely that there were that many Y or B fares, or GSes, or even 1Ks on higher fare classes.

So I'm forced to conclude either they are (a) extremely successful at selling F seats at reduced rates, either through V-UP type fares or ToDs, either at booking or at check-in, and/or (b) the CPU algorithm isn't really as advertised. I'm slowly becoming convinced that (b) is a possibility as well somehow.
My flying is way down this year. but one observation I made was a recent SFO-YYZ flight, a flight for which there are no reasonable V-up (or discounted F seats), as a 319 was R5 a few days before the flight. I was already in F, my partner (Plat) was on a W fare in coach. The 1K window passed, still R4, plat window, R2, then it goes R0 at the gold window, then the flight swaps to a 320 (+4 seats). He ended up #6 on the list. I have a hard time believing that there were 4 plats/1K/GS on a higher fare (observing the lack of people in exit rows), and the presence of R seats post-GS/1K

I'd like to see who cleared, how and why... because I doubt it was according to the CPU published criteria.
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 1:08 pm
  #40  
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Originally Posted by UA-NYC
Thanks for re-bringing some logic back to this thread
Logic?!

And I'm sorry, but I'm calling bs on being able to clearly see the BPs of 5+ people in a particular F cabin.
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 1:10 pm
  #41  
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I'm probably jinxing myself, but on limited experience, I am 4/6 out of LAX to MSY and AUS.
I have 6 flights booked for the next month though, so we shall see if my luck holds.
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 1:13 pm
  #42  
 
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I've noticed in the past few weeks that I've gone from being towards the top of the list to clearing regularly. I was 0/4 in January, but have been 4/4 in March. I wonder if it has to do with grace periods finally running out and statuses finally rolling off for some ex-plats and 1K's?
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 1:16 pm
  #43  
 
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I just cleared two CPUs SFO-LAS, LAS-SFO, in K fare. Both were last flight of the day. Mon/Thu.

This is the first time I've cleared two CPUs on an itinerary since the takeover - in more than two years.

However, these were sUA aircraft.

My CPU rate on sCO aircraft remains solidly at 0% for two years now.
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 1:29 pm
  #44  
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Originally Posted by entropy
My flying is way down this year. but one observation I made was a recent SFO-YYZ flight, a flight for which there are no reasonable V-up (or discounted F seats), as a 319 was R5 a few days before the flight. I was already in F, my partner (Plat) was on a W fare in coach. The 1K window passed, still R4, plat window, R2, then it goes R0 at the gold window, then the flight swaps to a 320 (+4 seats). He ended up #6 on the list. I have a hard time believing that there were 4 plats/1K/GS on a higher fare (observing the lack of people in exit rows), and the presence of R seats post-GS/1K

I'd like to see who cleared, how and why... because I doubt it was according to the CPU published criteria.
Why do you doubt that there were 4 plats/1K/GS on higher fares? As a 1K I'm often not upgraded -- doesn't seem unlikely that a platinum could experience a similar fate.

IME, just because R>0 and a window has passed doesn't mean that all of the passengers at that level have been upgraded. In fact I've often seen R>0 within 48 hours on flights where I'm still waiting for an upgrade as a 1K.
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Old Mar 29, 2013 | 1:32 pm
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I have graciously donated my spot in line to those who are captive. My 0 UA miles this year with 40K done for AS... including some AA and DL segments. I am 100% upgraded on AS and 3/4 on DL (as an AS elite!!). Next time I fly UA, I will fly in F with a nice TOD, because I won't have status, so maybe I will get one!
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