From that link:

Even March may be too optimistic if they don't get the infection numbers down. Especially at a time of reaching high vaccination percentages.

Still, after February, they may not draw too many visitors since the weather starts to turn?

If I was asked to guess I'd say by March there will tourism. Probably not to every state and likely to only be initially from countries that are benchmarking to a certain daily case number. I think part of the ban is to do with logistics and optics. The federal government has an election coming and they are well behind in the polls. There are currently a limited number of flights into Australia and a lot of Australians who want to come home or go overseas to visit relatives (like me). Having headlines in the papers about Aussies being priced out of airline tickets by tourists will not to do the government any favours.

I would imagine if Australia opened up for tourism, the carriers will add a lot more flights.

A few years ago, Quantas was advertising like $500 fares from SFO and LAX so we'll probably get some of that.

A lot of ground staff have been stood down or let go in the last 18 months, especially after JobKeeper ended. Building back capacity won't be like flicking on a switch. The government's priority at this point is the same promise they made last year: Every Australian wanting to be home will be home by Christmas.

As a vaccinated Australian citizenship living in the USA I was able to travel to England in July and quarrantine at the home of a friend who chooses not to be vaccinated. Then travel round Wales. Travel to Majorca and travel round the island all without quarrantining. Testing negative for each test taken.

However, I have not seen my 80 year old father, none of my siblings, nieces and nephews and none of my friends who live there since July 2019.

I am not willing to pay $3,000 to pay in a government mandated hotel. Presumably used to ensure the hotel operators have replacement revenue from tourists. New facilities being built? No intention to pay to stay in one.

I stay with family and friends. They have spare second homes where I could quarrantine, but lottery as to whether I would be chosen and I refuse to pay what I consider a ransom to see my friends and family.

Much frustration with the current approach by the federal government and administered by the state governments.

Also, the need to "apply" to leave the country. I am not a prisoner on parole. I am not a slave and have freedom of movement. Obviously not in Australia. Ridiculous system that I refuse to participate in so may never get to see my father in this life again. However, I am just a regular person, not a profesional athlete, not in the movie/entertainment industry, not wealthy enough or have enough connections to avoid the quarrantine hotels and to leave the country.

There are many Aussies stuck overseas without the security of income and shelter and unable to get back to Australia.

You better believe the current government is unpopular. The Opposition does not need to promise much, just sit back and say little.

End of vent.

06 Oct 2021 (abc.net.au)---->Qantas's longest-ever commercial flight bringing stranded Australians home from Buenos Aires
A map from Great Circle Mapper

Edit
QF newsroom -QANTAS REPATRIATION FLIGHT LANDS IN HISTORY BOOKS

BTW, saw a headline that Djokovic, the #1 tennis player and the defending Australian Open champion, may not be able to play in the next Australian Open because Victoria may impose a vaccine mandate.

Djokovic has had covid and refuses to get vaccinated.

Hope Victoria and/or Melbourne sticks to their guns.

Not 100% sure, but think I have read that unvaccinated non citizens or people with an unapproved vaccine, will not be allowed into AU. Not all the worlds vaccines have been approved. {will search for reference}
Non vaccinated AU citizens will be allowed entry. Unsure about AU permanent residents, of which there are many 10's of thousands.

I have been to all seven continents, not sure why they mention "all six continents" 🤔

Think they've corrected it to "six permanently inhabited continents"

Sinovac and Covidshield are the only vaccines not currently approved for use in Australia but recognised for the purpose of vaccinated status by the TGA.

For reference the four vaccines currently approved for use in Australia are AZ, Pfizer, J&J and Moderna.

https://www.tga.gov.au/covid-19-vacc...ce-recognition

Covidshield is AZ by another manufacturer?

TGA cited Sinovac's Effectiveness against severe infection/hospitalisation in granting recognition https://www.tga.gov.au/covid-19-vacc...e-recognition; though (I think, as a lay person) if they're granting recognition on Effectiveness alone, Australia needs to pass the stated vaccination threshold (80%?) first.

Can anyone help me find info on my scenario I'm considering:
I am a dual Australian/Canadian citizen
I am fully vaccinated with Pfizer (since June 13).
I live in Canada but would like to visit my getting to be elderly relatives in Australia in January just in case.
I do not have a home in Australia, but I could quarantine in a friends place they don't use by myself. Or, I would be willing to consider a one week quarantine in a hotel if that's an available option if it's not stupidly expensive. I can't even come to Australia for that long (just 12 days) but it would at least let me see them.
I have business and first tickets booked to go to Australia (I have a Korean and ANA booking to, both miles will cancel one or the other) and a First booking on the way home (Emirates), so I am ready to go.

Does anyone know if this scenario is going to work in the post November world or specifically what the rules around the "home quarantine" will be? I haven't really been able to find anything and that might well be because it hasn't been decided yet but I was wondering if anyone's heard any rumours or found anything I've missed somehow. Of course eventually Australia will likely look at the research here in Canada (once we were 80% of 12+ and tourists were allowed in it has not changed our COVID rates) and get rid of quarantine if fully vaxxed all together, but I don't know if that will happen before January when I want to come so I am sort of pondering. I welcome any thoughts or comments, rumors and conjecture or facts :-)

No one knows what the situation will be in Jan 2022. The fine details of the "home quarantine" have not been published. Will be different state to state and will have a cost. The states have far more control than federal. The 14 days state run hotel quarantine costs ~$3000. (not the same cost for all states)

Good luck. I'm in a similar situation and am waiting for more details to emerge. The scant details seem to be if you don't have your own home you can quarantine in, you are stuck with the hotel program. This is not an improvement for many people in our shoes. It doesn't change anything for those still stranded abroad or that want to come back to see the families we have been separated from for years. It only helps the people that are resident in Australia and want to (and now can) leave, travel abroad, and return home.