Can OW survive without BA?
Nov 8, 2009 | 7:29 am
#1
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Can OW survive without BA?
Just a little conjecture for a Sunday. With all the talk going on at the moment about the fragility of BA, coupled with all the negativity on various boards towards BA, let's just say that BA was to fold. Would OW remain effective as an alliance without it? Are IB and AY in a strong enough position to hold the alliance together as the European link. IMHO AA/BA/CX are the true base of the alliance. QF, LA, IB are the 2 strongest second tiers, with RJ, AY, JL, MA bringing up the rear in that order (again only my personal opinion). Take one of the "base" players out, will the alliance survive? Any thoughts?
Nov 8, 2009 | 9:16 am
#2
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Nov 8, 2009 | 5:46 pm
#4
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Nov 8, 2009 | 6:59 pm
#5
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Not sure IB, AY and MA would be strong enough to hold the alliance together in Europe.
However based the financial state of some of the OW carriers, the question could just as easily be either:
- "Can OW survive without AA?" or
- "Can OW survive without JL?"
However based the financial state of some of the OW carriers, the question could just as easily be either:
- "Can OW survive without AA?" or
- "Can OW survive without JL?"
Nov 8, 2009 | 7:56 pm
#7
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JL - well it would be a blow, but not the end of the world or the alliance as such.
Nov 8, 2009 | 8:12 pm
#8
Moderator: Asiana & Qantas Frequent Flyer
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I can't see BA to go under in the near future. Pension liabilities can be dealt with externally, the state might bail them out. And BA usually is quite profitable.
Nov 9, 2009 | 6:03 am
#9
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Don't get me wrong - I sure hope BA survives, and am a believe that if something did happen a "NewBA" would rise quickly. as stated above this is just conjecture.
Nov 9, 2009 | 7:53 am
#11
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The same would be unlikely though if AA didn't survive, speculation is that the next airline to fall will have to file for Ch.7 not Ch. 11. That would leave a big hole in OW to fill. US Airways perhaps enticed over from *A? *shudder*
Nov 9, 2009 | 2:38 pm
#12
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Yeah US would really be about the only option and that is a a scary thought!
Nov 9, 2009 | 4:55 pm
#13
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Nov 12, 2009 | 1:00 am
#14
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Slightly OT, but some interesting analysis of BA's current situation:
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1321032755&play=1
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1321032755&play=1
Nov 12, 2009 | 2:32 pm
#15
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