Snow at IAH
#76
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#77
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#78
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I just want to know if things have improved since last years mess...
#79
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#80
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Really though, the temperatures aren't going to be the type that cause heavy ice build up quickly, so hopefully it won't be too much more than the Little Deicer That Could can keep up with.
#81
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Latest NWS Forecast Discussion...
Go GFS! Go GFS!

I've got a feeling that the surface low forming in the Gulf is going to tap beaucoup moisture for somewhere. I suspect that there will be an isolated spot or two in the forecast area that just gets dumped on, kind of like when Victoria unexpectedly got a foot a few years ago.
Code:
THE BIG QUESTION IS WHAT WILL HAPPEN ON FRIDAY. THERE IS A GROWING CONSENSUS THAT THE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST. THE NAM HAS COME IN CLOSER TO THE ECMWF/CAN WITH THE BULK OF THE PRECIP OFFSHORE. ALL THE MODELS ARE NOW IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SPEED OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND HAVE TRENDED TOWARD THE FASTER ECMWF. THE GFS...WHICH HAS BEEN EXTREMELY CONSISTENT SINCE 12Z MONDAY...IS VERY AGGRESSIVE WITH MOISTURE. HOWEVER THE GFS MOIST AXIS HAS NOW SHIFTED SOUTH TOWARD THE COAST. WILL NOT MAKE A MAJOR CHANGE AT THIS TIME AS WE AWAIT THE ECMWF...BUT FEEL THE WINTER STORM WATCH/WARNING WILL NEED TO BE SHIFTED SOUTH. NOT SURE THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE OVER THE NORTH TO WARRANT ANYTHING MORE THAN A FEW FLURRIES. THE GFS IS ALSO NOT AS COLD IN ITS THERMAL PROFILE SO THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW COULD ALSO BE DELAYED A BIT. IF THE GFS IS CORRECT...A SWATH OF 2-4 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CITY OF HOUSTON. IF THE NAM AND OTHER GLOBAL MODELS ARE CORRECT...LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WITH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS. WHAT A RIDE...STAY TUNED! 43

I've got a feeling that the surface low forming in the Gulf is going to tap beaucoup moisture for somewhere. I suspect that there will be an isolated spot or two in the forecast area that just gets dumped on, kind of like when Victoria unexpectedly got a foot a few years ago.
#82
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Latest NWS Forecast Discussion...
Go GFS! Go GFS!

I've got a feeling that the surface low forming in the Gulf is going to tap beaucoup moisture for somewhere. I suspect that there will be an isolated spot or two in the forecast area that just gets dumped on, kind of like when Victoria unexpectedly got a foot a few years ago.
Go GFS! Go GFS!

I've got a feeling that the surface low forming in the Gulf is going to tap beaucoup moisture for somewhere. I suspect that there will be an isolated spot or two in the forecast area that just gets dumped on, kind of like when Victoria unexpectedly got a foot a few years ago.
#84
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ALCO may know the real reason but my experience has been that forecasts and other news generally go out in all caps because they are easier to read when printed that way. Whether or not that is true is up to your personal interpretation, but everything was in caps when I used to pull weather and AP stories to read on the radio. :-:
#85
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#86
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ALCO may know the real reason but my experience has been that forecasts and other news generally go out in all caps because they are easier to read when printed that way. Whether or not that is true is up to your personal interpretation, but everything was in caps when I used to pull weather and AP stories to read on the radio. :-:
#87
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Makes it more important?
#88
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Houston's precip would be dependent upon the interaction of that upper-level low with any wrap-around moisture on the Northwest side of the surface low in the Gulf. That creates the potential for significantly more precip over our area than in the Hill Country, but it all comes down to timing.
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#90
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It is to meet international standards and allow developing countries to use the same format (with older systems) as developed countries.

