THE BIG QUESTION IS WHAT WILL HAPPEN ON FRIDAY. THERE IS A GROWING
CONSENSUS THAT THE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO AREAS
CLOSER TO THE COAST. THE NAM HAS COME IN CLOSER TO THE ECMWF/CAN
WITH THE BULK OF THE PRECIP OFFSHORE. ALL THE MODELS ARE NOW IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SPEED OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND HAVE TRENDED
TOWARD THE FASTER ECMWF. THE GFS...WHICH HAS BEEN EXTREMELY
CONSISTENT SINCE 12Z MONDAY...IS VERY AGGRESSIVE WITH MOISTURE.
HOWEVER THE GFS MOIST AXIS HAS NOW SHIFTED SOUTH TOWARD THE COAST.
WILL NOT MAKE A MAJOR CHANGE AT THIS TIME AS WE AWAIT THE
ECMWF...BUT FEEL THE WINTER STORM WATCH/WARNING WILL NEED TO BE
SHIFTED SOUTH. NOT SURE THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE OVER THE
NORTH TO WARRANT ANYTHING MORE THAN A FEW FLURRIES. THE GFS IS
ALSO NOT AS COLD IN ITS THERMAL PROFILE SO THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW
COULD ALSO BE DELAYED A BIT. IF THE GFS IS CORRECT...A SWATH OF
2-4 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CITY OF HOUSTON. IF
THE NAM AND OTHER GLOBAL MODELS ARE CORRECT...LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW
WITH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS. WHAT A RIDE...STAY TUNED! 43