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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 7:51 am
  #46  
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Originally Posted by pierre mclopez
From Crown Weather (www.crownweather.com) Tropical Weather Discussion.... (edited)
Scenario 1 is that Ike misses the north coast of Cuba and tracks track to potentially impact the west coast of Florida late next week.
Scenario 2 is that Ike tracks across northern Cuba or perhaps even over the entire length of the island. With Scenario 2, a landfall somewhere. . . Louisiana Category 3 hurricane.
I am going to go out on a limb here, and state that I am personally leaning more towards Scenario 1.
I am going to go out on a limb here, and state that I am personally leaning more towards Scenario 2. Two reasons: 1. The latest track shows Ike going more south over Cuba and 2. Scenario 1 puts it right over my house.

Current track has Ike. . .heading. . . to. . .New. . .Or. . .Leans.

Comrade: "I don't want to evacuate again."
Mayor Ray: "Do you know how easy it is to govern a city with no residents? I sit here and still get paid while you rot in the un air conditioned Podunksville, Mississippi, High School Gym. With you all gone, the crime rate is zero and life is GOOOD. For me. Get out of my town!"
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 8:15 am
  #47  
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Originally Posted by Tennisbum
Completely OT, but can anyone explain why, when I follow that link, does the site greet me by name?
Because your name is either Hanna or Ike?
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 8:32 am
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I tell ya, if Ike makes it into the gulf and if staying on present course toward Louisiana (still many days and revisions away), would be sad to see Louisiana officials go through the drill again: "this is the big one" "get out" "evaucate the city"
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 8:36 am
  #49  
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Originally Posted by mikensf74
I tell ya, if Ike makes it into the gulf and if staying on present course toward Louisiana (still many days and revisions away), would be sad to see Louisiana officials go through the drill again: "this is the big one" "get out" "evacuate the city"
You can see how well I've prognosticated in this thread () but IMHO this storm will be a Big Bend to Mobile threat. It really shouldn't make it far enough west to impact New Orleans. Of course, it shouldn't make it to the Gulf either.
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 8:44 am
  #50  
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Originally Posted by SRQ Guy
You can see how well I've prognosticated in this thread () but IMHO this storm will be a Big Bend to Mobile threat.
Well......now that you're FINALLY right, I agree with you.

Last edited by pierre mclopez; Sep 6, 2008 at 8:53 am Reason: spell'un
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 8:48 am
  #51  
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Can anyone find the latest computer model runs? There is usually one at 8am and is posted on Weather Underground. It is only posting the wind estimates and those are very, very low.
Is there another site that shows the models and has the latest posted?
Hate that NOAA took it off their site.
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 8:50 am
  #52  
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If you use the link in post #1 of this thread, models can be seen in pane #6 on the right hand side.
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 8:57 am
  #53  
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The SWFWMD site generally has the latest available runs plotted pretty quickly.
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 8:58 am
  #54  
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Originally Posted by pbiflyer
Can anyone find the latest computer model runs?
Here's Hamweather too
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 9:06 am
  #55  
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Originally Posted by SRQ Guy
We'll see what the NHC does at 11, then it's off to watch Georgia Tech.
Go watch football. Well, as much as you can call the ACC football, anyway.
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 9:47 am
  #56  
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Originally Posted by pbiflyer
Go watch football. Well, as much as you can call the ACC football, anyway.
National Champs in a row: SEC - 2, All those other "Football Powerhouse Conferences"(sic) - ZERO.

11 AM NHS map: Ike is going to Houma, LA. To finish what is left of it.

Just checking department: question for Mayor Ray: Next Thursday, can your lips form the words "Evacuate!-this is the Storm of the Century"?
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 9:53 am
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Originally Posted by Flaflyer
.....question for Mayor Ray: Next Thursday, can your lips form the words "Evacuate!-this is the Storm of the Century"?
Off topic, but Nagin and Bush have really discredited MBA degrees.
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 10:07 am
  #58  
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this is a huge risk!

Originally Posted by mikensf74
I tell ya, if Ike makes it into the gulf and if staying on present course toward Louisiana (still many days and revisions away), would be sad to see Louisiana officials go through the drill again: "this is the big one" "get out" "evaucate the city"
Our local newspaper reported that the average cost of evacuating by car was $500 per carload of people. That for gas, food and expenses. The average may also include motels.

For many families, this is too much to spend!

Many folks arrived at the shelters in North Texas without a penny to spare.

Will they evacuate again?

Likely not!

The election is loosing a lot of air time on tv with all these storms. I think that is a good thing.
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 10:35 am
  #59  
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Originally Posted by SRQ Guy
Because your name is either Hanna or Ike?

Great minds think alike coz that's how it greeted me too

Well my friends in FLL are now quite p..sed off. They spent all day yesterday putting up shutters and now it looks like they have to come down again. Oh well, at least that's better than Ike showing his face (I guess that's what Tina thought after a few years of marriage too )
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Old Sep 6, 2008 | 11:22 am
  #60  
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Originally Posted by SRQ Guy
You can see how well I've prognosticated in this thread () but IMHO this storm will be a Big Bend to Mobile threat. It really shouldn't make it far enough west to impact New Orleans. Of course, it shouldn't make it to the Gulf either.

While I certainly don't want NOLA and surrounding area hit again, please don't say that!! I've been worried about that scenario all morning!
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