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Originally Posted by GloballyServiced
(Post 33344478)
People are really having meltdowns in Guangdong now. Constantly talking about which area is “safe”
Is there any reason to believe I should get a Chinese vaccine before leaving back to the states in August? I’ll be applying for HDC to return to China again at the end of august or early Sep. And is there any kind of working list of approved flights into China? Trying to strategize a bit but it’s difficult to know which cities are even a possibility to depart from. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...8cc54e755.jpeg |
Originally Posted by travelinmanS
(Post 33344662)
It was strangely hard to find a current list of allowed China/USA flights. After trying a few search engines I got this from Baidu. Hope you can read Chinese.
https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...8cc54e755.jpeg |
HK giving preferential treatment to vaccinated people, shorter quarantine (7 days), reduced social distancing
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...ys-2021-06-21/ |
Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 33344736)
HK giving preferential treatment to vaccinated people, shorter quarantine (7 days), reduced social distancing
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...ys-2021-06-21/ - Antibody testing is not even applicable to visitors to Hong Kong from PRC |
Originally Posted by travelinmanS
(Post 33344291)
And I continue to stand by my prediction of nothing opening up for at least a year if not more.
Originally Posted by moondog
(Post 33344322)
......and they don't really seem to want us here anyway.
Originally Posted by GloballyServiced
(Post 33344478)
Is there any reason to believe I should get a Chinese vaccine before leaving back to the states in August? I’ll be applying for HDC to return to China again at the end of august or early Sep.
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Originally Posted by travelinmanS
(Post 33344662)
It was strangely hard to find a current list of allowed China/USA flights. After trying a few search engines I got this from Baidu. Hope you can read Chinese.
https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...8cc54e755.jpeg |
Originally Posted by uanj
(Post 33345002)
Man that schedule is rough! I would hate to be booked on one of those once a week flights and miss it.
-I put a DL ticket on hold via DTW (nice connection), and they switched me to SEA...with a 6 hour layover before a red eye to BOS...no thanks -MU via JFK was actually my first choice, but they were coming in 2x as much as other options -before AA relaunched DFW (I don't think it's actually started yet), they were coming in lowest on search engines via HKG, LAX, and DFW (with 12 hours in HKG) -I considered UA 858, but it was a morning departure when I was looking, plus a long layover in SFO -JL would have been nice (nonstop NRT-BOS), but when I searched, there were NO flights between SHA/PVG and NRT (I would have needed to go to DLC and FUK to pull that off) -I looked at KE via ICN (also nonstop BOS flight), they weren't even selling that routing I'm happy with my AA choice. I booked an afternoon flight the next day so I can enjoy a morning swim at the DFW GH, and have a decent lunch. I'll let you guys know how it pans out. |
Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 33344736)
HK giving preferential treatment to vaccinated people, shorter quarantine (7 days), reduced social distancing
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...ys-2021-06-21/ Well, we can dream that HK pushes the PRC government to accept people... :) |
Originally Posted by moondog
(Post 33344278)
If that 72.9% was evenly distributed (and is an accurate estimate), I would disagree with you because if R0 falls below 1, the virus should disappear. However, since the regional distribution presumably has a high standard deviation, I'm inclined to agree because we are still permitted to roam freely here (with some exceptions like Shenzhen). Of course, China could take all sorts of steps to effectively make vaccinations mandatory. That Y100/dose price tag might be cost prohibitive in poorer areas though (e.g. if the choice between visiting a fancy shopping all and feeding your family, many would opt for the latter).
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Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 33298943)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...oses-isolation
TLDR
Originally Posted by Loren Pechtel
(Post 33346371)
72.9% won't do it against the Delta variant.
Obviously we all know the number is symbolically meaningless and they are going to do whatever they want to do. This is why I don't really bother with discussions of vaccine efficacy etc in China, there is also a better forum for that https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/coronavirus-travel-773/ |
Originally Posted by moondog
(Post 33344550)
I know that AA, DL, MU, and UA all fly from PVG. I went with AA and bought a hotel in DFW for the overnight layover. I don't know about CAN and PEK options.
https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/amer...-refund-2.html https://www.reddit.com/r/Chinavisa/c...n_code_issues/ |
I just booked a “flexible fare” AA from DFW to PVG. I hate the lack of layman transparency but it seems like this ticket can be cancelled and refunded to my original payment at any time.
$2865 for back of the bus economy is not bad for today’s clown world. Two years ago I was booking round trip business class to Asia for not much more. |
Originally Posted by tauphi
(Post 33347066)
Only students are allowed to board the AA flight via DFW and this has been the case since the start of 2021.
https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/amer...-refund-2.html https://www.reddit.com/r/Chinavisa/c...n_code_issues/ |
Originally Posted by tauphi
(Post 33347066)
Only students are allowed to board the AA flight via DFW and this has been the case since the start of 2021.
https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/amer...-refund-2.html https://www.reddit.com/r/Chinavisa/c...n_code_issues/ Technically anyone can board the DFW-PVG flight provided they get the special QR code from the Chinese embassy but in practice it seems it's almost impossible to get unless you're a Chinese student. The QR code is basically used to filter out anyone they don't want traveling to China no matter visa status or citizenship. Extremely harsh and unfair for many, but they couldn't care less. |
Originally Posted by travelinmanS
(Post 33347194)
I think moondog is flying PVG-USA, not the other way around. In that case he'll be fine.
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I had trouble with getting green code from SFO but not out of LAX. The problem is the flight from LAX is about $8k for China southern to CAN and $3200 for Xiamen. I have never been to Xiamen but I guess I’ll be giving it a whirl in September.
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Originally Posted by tauphi
(Post 33347213)
Yes of course. Going from PVG to DFW is not an issue. But I thought moondog is buying a return ticket, perhaps I'm misreading him.
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I have a United award economy ticket for the SFO-PVG and it’s 225k. Most of the economy inventory is 250k.
Before covid you could buy a Polaris ticket for about 120k. Getting out of China is simple but getting into China is expensive and physically/mentally painful. |
Originally Posted by GloballyServiced
(Post 33347530)
I have a United award economy ticket for the SFO-PVG and it’s 225k. Most of the economy inventory is 250k.
Before covid you could buy a Polaris ticket for about 120k. Getting out of China is simple but getting into China is expensive and physically/mentally painful. |
Yeah the airfare rates suggest major operational costs or major demand to get into China, versus the highly restricted supply. LAX-CAN doesn’t have a single economy class seat available until October.
United economy is $6k+ one way. |
Originally Posted by GloballyServiced
(Post 33347697)
Yeah the airfare rates suggest major operational costs or major demand to get into China, versus the highly restricted supply. LAX-CAN doesn’t have a single economy class seat available until October.
United economy is $6k+ one way. |
That would require the Chinese government allowing it. Again we are talking about getting into China, which is LAX-CAN
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Originally Posted by GloballyServiced
(Post 33347697)
Yeah the airfare rates suggest major operational costs or major demand to get into China, versus the highly restricted supply. LAX-CAN doesn’t have a single economy class seat available until October.
United economy is $6k+ one way. |
Originally Posted by moondog
(Post 33347623)
Because getting out of China is so easy, I assumed the eastbound flights would be more fully booked. So, while I only searched PVG-SFO, I figured the reverse direction would be a cakewalk. Lots of people simply don't want to come here because of the quarantine and other hassles, but many of us do want to spend our summer in other countries.
I also think you are taking quite a risk by leaving and planning to come back in based on what I know about your current situation. It’s not as easy as you think it’s gonna be to get the QR code approved. I’d definitely try and apply for pre approval before you leave China. |
https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-t...ar-11624361777
According to WSJ, there'll be no reopening until at least late 2022 China wants the 2022 Winter Olympics (February) and the 20th CCP Congress (October, where Xi is expected to seek a 3rd term as general secretary, the most of any leader since Mao) to conclude before risking further opening. Also, this: Earlier this month, Feng Zijian, the former deputy head of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said at a conference that the timing of any shift from a zero Covid-19 strategy to one with more open borders would largely depend on a high vaccination rate and a consensus about whether some deaths are acceptable to the broader society. |
Looks like another year of travel restriction until the second half of 2022:
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/ea...er-year-report
Originally Posted by travelinmanS
(Post 33347814)
I also think you are taking quite a risk by leaving and planning to come back in based on what I know about your current situation. It’s not as easy as you think it’s gonna be to get the QR code approved. I’d definitely try and apply for pre approval before you leave China.
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Originally Posted by sincx
(Post 33348263)
https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-t...ar-11624361777
According to WSJ, there'll be no reopening until at least late 2022 China wants the 2022 Winter Olympics (February) and the 20th CCP Congress (October, where Xi is expected to seek a 3rd term as general secretary, the most of any leader since Mao) to conclude before risking further opening. |
Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 33346385)
The 72.9% number comes from here, I didn't make it up.
Obviously we all know the number is symbolically meaningless and they are going to do whatever they want to do. This is why I don't really bother with discussions of vaccine efficacy etc in China, there is also a better forum for that https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/coronavirus-travel-773/ -enormous production capacity -enough money to fund free production/distribution -a government that can compel pretty much everyone to get vaxed I normally oppose heavy handed policy initiatives, but I'm cool with a top down approach in this case (as long as they spare pregnant women and otherwise vulnerable people). Chinese would also appreciate a return to normal. |
Originally Posted by UA_Flyer
(Post 33348264)
Looks like another year of travel restriction until the second half of 2022:
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/ea...er-year-report All we need to do is wait for quarantine-free channel to open up between Hong Kong and China and then we enter as business executives quarantine free ;) |
Originally Posted by gudugan
(Post 33349786)
Maybe I'm joining moondog in the overly optimistic camp, but I don't see this as bad news. I assume this refers to general travel, not business travel, and I don't think anyone expected that to resume in the short term. Australia also said mid 2022. Some timeline is better than no timeline.
All we need to do is wait for quarantine-free channel to open up between Hong Kong and China and then we enter as business executives quarantine free ;) |
Originally Posted by travelinmanS
(Post 33349830)
If it’s anything like the Macau-China quarantine free corridor. Everyone will be allowed to utilize it except foreigners.
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Originally Posted by travelinmanS
(Post 33349830)
If it’s anything like the Macau-China quarantine free corridor. Everyone will be allowed to utilize it except foreigners.
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Originally Posted by travelinmanS
(Post 33349830)
If it’s anything like the Macau-China quarantine free corridor. Everyone will be allowed to utilize it except foreigners.
Originally Posted by UA_Flyer
(Post 33350402)
Do you mean foreigners living in China cannot use the quarantine free corridor? I have not keep up to date with the Macau travel bubble.
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Originally Posted by percysmith
(Post 33350464)
I think travelinmanS is saying you can't utilise it unless you're already inside in Mainland China or Macau.
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Originally Posted by moondog
(Post 33350673)
No. We actually can't use it yet but Taiwan and HK docs are okay.
- non-residents not eligible for the most relaxed Return2HK scheme (no quarantine) https://www.coronavirus.gov.hk/eng/r...hk-scheme.html - however non-residents arriving from Mainland China still eligible for 7-days at-home quarantine (which is the next best thing in the HK grand scheme of things) https://www.coronavirus.gov.hk/eng/inbound-travel.html --- even the next most privileged set of arrivals (Australian and New Zealand arrivals) have to do 7 days at a hotel |
Originally Posted by percysmith
(Post 33350906)
- however non-residents arriving from Mainland China still eligible for 7-days at-home quarantine (which is the next best thing in the HK grand scheme of things) https://www.coronavirus.gov.hk/eng/inbound-travel.html
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Looks like I’ll be taking the CAN-LAX-CAN route for my august roundtrip back to the US. Now I just need to decide very quickly if I should get a Chinese vaccine before I leave.
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Originally Posted by GloballyServiced
(Post 33351157)
Looks like I’ll be taking the CAN-LAX-CAN route for my august roundtrip back to the US. Now I just need to decide very quickly if I should get a Chinese vaccine before I leave.
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Originally Posted by moondog
(Post 33349913)
Taiwanese get to go to Macau and back.:)
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Originally Posted by tauphi
(Post 33352169)
Well getting a Taiwanese passport is not exactly easy.
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