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Originally Posted by FlyerWx
(Post 30906958)
Even the RDU-JFK drawdown to twice daily leaves terrible timing for international connections. I think I heard Vasu Raja mention this before, but AA's main goal at JFK seems to be O&D (business) traffic, not connecting international traffic.
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Originally Posted by ashill
(Post 30907032)
Clearly, but how does a single JFK-BOS flight serve O&D business traffic? Obviously the BOS-NYC business market is served by the LGA shuttle.
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Originally Posted by newyorkgeorge
(Post 30907319)
For some business in the outer boroughs or Long Island JFK would be preferable. Probably not enough but maybe enough for an AM and PM flight.
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Originally Posted by newyorkgeorge
(Post 30907319)
For some business in the outer boroughs or Long Island JFK would be preferable. Probably not enough but maybe enough for an AM and PM flight.
Originally Posted by ashill
(Post 30907410)
Oh, I agree that there's some business that is better served by a JFK flight. It's the single daily flight that I don't understand, unless it's largely a utilization or repositioning flight.
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Originally Posted by NYC Flyer
(Post 30907461)
Not saying there is no market, but I don't think any JFK-BOS service, past or present, has been planned with regard to Brooklyn/Queens/Long Island O&D demand.
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Originally Posted by AANYC1981
(Post 30907467)
Everytime I’ve been on this flight it’s been heavy connections to/from LatAm. |
Despite all this, AA still often presents the best flight option and value out of NYC. I am flying to PBI from LGA on an upcoming Saturday - AA is cheaper than Delta and JetBlue, and the E175 is relatively empty. I actually bought F outright to get the extra 1,000 EQM. Will likely requalify as an AA Gold this year despite moving most of my flying to Delta - will be at 6,000 EQM soon with a couple of J transcon yet to book |
Originally Posted by Adelphos
(Post 30908342)
Despite all this, AA still often presents the best flight option and value out of NYC. I am flying to PBI from LGA on an upcoming Saturday - AA is cheaper than Delta and JetBlue, and the E175 is relatively empty. I actually bought F outright to get the extra 1,000 EQM. Will likely requalify as an AA Gold this year despite moving most of my flying to Delta - will be at 6,000 EQM soon with a couple of J transcon yet to book |
Originally Posted by NYC Flyer
(Post 30908395)
AA is cheaper because their former passengers that wouldn't have even checked DL or B6 prices in the past have moved on...LGA-PBI was a true AA loyalist's route, historically, for a very long time.
EDIT - You also have to deal with Southwest out of ISP 2) Well I guess the true indication of whether AA is really pulling back in NYC would be if they cut routes like LGA to PBI further as opposed to the various JFK cuts. |
Originally Posted by dkc192
(Post 30906403)
On the other hand, starting sometime in April/May, AA is drawing JFK-BOS down to a pathetic once daily flight that is poorly timed to connect with international service at JFK. JFK-BOS leaves after 10pm while BOS-JFK leaves in the early morning. What purpose does that single flight serve if it doesn't feed any international flights at JFK?
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Originally Posted by dkc192
(Post 30906403)
On the other hand, starting sometime in April/May, AA is drawing JFK-BOS down to a pathetic once daily flight that is poorly timed to connect with international service at JFK. JFK-BOS leaves after 10pm while BOS-JFK leaves in the early morning. What purpose does that single flight serve if it doesn't feed any international flights at JFK?
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Originally Posted by LBJ
(Post 30908755)
JFK-BOS goes back to 5x daily in July. Looks like it's just a temporary reduction.
Originally Posted by AANYC1981
(Post 30907467)
Everytime I’ve been on this flight it’s been heavy connections to/from LatAm. |
Originally Posted by Adelphos
(Post 30908511)
I guess the true indication of whether AA is really pulling back in NYC would be if they cut routes like LGA to PBI further as opposed to the various JFK cuts. |
Originally Posted by dkc192
(Post 30906403)
On the other hand, starting sometime in April/May, AA is drawing JFK-BOS down to a pathetic once daily flight that is poorly timed to connect with international service at JFK. JFK-BOS leaves after 10pm while BOS-JFK leaves in the early morning. What purpose does that single flight serve if it doesn't feed any international flights at JFK?
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Originally Posted by LBJ
(Post 30908755)
JFK-BOS goes back to 5x daily in July. Looks like it's just a temporary reduction.
LAS also permanently goes down to two daily flights. SAN/SEA goes down to 1x daily. Side note - flying between PIT/JFK to connect to TATL flight is very frustrating. AA charges more to fly PIT-JFK to connect to a TATL flight even though the flight loads are very poor on this route. For our upcoming trip to LHR, we are connecting in DCA on the outbound to JFK :rolleyes: I suppose this is what happens when you lose economics of scale necessitating to charge a premium to make the "hub" profitable. Side note 2 - AA is now definitely feeling the squeeze at PHL operationally after rebanking PHL (eliminated two banks and made the remaining ones bigger) and trying to make PHL the main TATL hub where there are severe infrastructure limitations. On our PIT-PHL flights its becoming more common that we have to sit on the tarmac at PIT because there is no gate or space to park at PHL if we arrive early. |
Originally Posted by golfingboy
(Post 30974302)
..............
Side note - flying between PIT/JFK to connect to TATL flight is very frustrating. AA charges more to fly PIT-JFK to connect to a TATL flight even though the flight loads are very poor on this route. For our upcoming trip to LHR, we are connecting in DCA on the outbound to JFK :rolleyes: I suppose this is what happens when you lose economics of scale necessitating to charge a premium to make the "hub" profitable. Side note 2 - AA is now definitely feeling the squeeze at PHL operationally after rebanking PHL (eliminated two banks and made the remaining ones bigger) and trying to make PHL the main TATL hub where there are severe infrastructure limitations. On our PIT-PHL flights its becoming more common that we have to sit on the tarmac at PIT because there is no gate or space to park at PHL if we arrive early. The statement : " AA is definitely feeling the squeeze at PHL operationally after rebanking" is a personal and refutable opinion. If there were "severe infrastructure limitations" at PHL, AA would have abandoned it, not bulked it up into its now "main TATL Hub". Delaying the departure of a flight that would arrive earlier than scheduled and tie up a gate that was scheduled for an on-time arrival is very typical at most Hubs, such as JFK, LAX, ORD, etc.. It's called schedule/gate management. |
Arriving at JFK this evening was truly sad....not a single AE plane in the regional gates and a handful of mainline planes to be seen.....terminal was a virtual ghost town at 730pm |
Originally Posted by AANYC1981
(Post 30976498)
Arriving at JFK this evening was truly sad....not a single AE plane in the regional gates and a handful of mainline planes to be seen.....terminal was a virtual ghost town at 730pm |
Originally Posted by AANYC1981
(Post 30976498)
Arriving at JFK this evening was truly sad....not a single AE plane in the regional gates and a handful of mainline planes to be seen.....terminal was a virtual ghost town at 730pm |
Ugh, looks like the 7am AA33 JFK-LAX (and it's return), which was scheduled into July / August, has been removed again (at least temporarily); I got to see if I can get onto AA1 at 8am, rather than AA171 at 6am (& an ungodly 4am wake-up...). |
Originally Posted by perseus11
(Post 30976486)
The statement : " AA is definitely feeling the squeeze at PHL operationally after rebanking" is a personal and refutable opinion.
If there were "severe infrastructure limitations" at PHL, AA would have abandoned it, not bulked it up into its now "main TATL Hub". |
MIA is also a mess in the late afternoon/early evenings. Landing early in particular means a trip into the area of unwanted planes. I live in MIA and as the minutes tick and tick away I can see the stress level rising as connections are getting tighter and tighter as the Captain keeps telling us that he's still waiting for the gate to become unoccupied. Since AA can blame missed connections (often the only/last one to SA, CA, the Caribbean) on airport flow, AA can tell paxs to make and pay for their own hotel and meal arrangements. (Possibly CKs/EXPs making a trip to the AC might find different). I don't think Parker and company really care. They'd rather have the financial upside of banked hubs with little concern about the pax.
The moral of the story is sadly that anything less than a 90 minute connection at MIA can be problematic. More OT, I was looking at the board in the JFK AC the other day. Europe seems to be down to MAD, BCN, CDG, MXP and LHR. I wonder if BCN is at risk of going to PHL. I think the other ones will stick. SA seemed to be GRU, SCL, and EZE. I assume those will stick, particularly GRU and EZE. IIRC the only Caribbean destination seemed to be BDA. |
Originally Posted by newyorkgeorge
(Post 30978117)
MIA is also a mess in the late afternoon/early evenings. Landing early in particular means a trip into the area of unwanted planes. I live in MIA and as the minutes tick and tick away I can see the stress level rising as connections are getting tighter and tighter as the Captain keeps telling us that he's still waiting for the gate to become unoccupied. Since AA can blame missed connections (often the only/last one to SA, CA, the Caribbean) on airport flow, AA can tell paxs to make and pay for their own hotel and meal arrangements. (Possibly CKs/EXPs making a trip to the AC might find different). I don't think Parker and company really care. They'd rather have the financial upside of banked hubs with little concern about the pax.
The moral of the story is sadly that anything less than a 90 minute connection at MIA can be problematic. More OT, I was looking at the board in the JFK AC the other day. Europe seems to be down to MAD, BCN, CDG, MXP and LHR. I wonder if BCN is at risk of going to PHL. I think the other ones will stick. SA seemed to be GRU, SCL, and EZE. I assume those will stick, particularly GRU and EZE. IIRC the only Caribbean destination seemed to be BDA. |
Originally Posted by newyorkgeorge
(Post 30978117)
MIA is also a mess in the late afternoon/early evenings. Landing early in particular means a trip into the area of unwanted planes. I live in MIA and as the minutes tick and tick away I can see the stress level rising as connections are getting tighter and tighter as the Captain keeps telling us that he's still waiting for the gate to become unoccupied. Since AA can blame missed connections (often the only/last one to SA, CA, the Caribbean) on airport flow, AA can tell paxs to make and pay for their own hotel and meal arrangements. (Possibly CKs/EXPs making a trip to the AC might find different). I don't think Parker and company really care. They'd rather have the financial upside of banked hubs with little concern about the pax.
The moral of the story is sadly that anything less than a 90 minute connection at MIA can be problematic. More OT, I was looking at the board in the JFK AC the other day. Europe seems to be down to MAD, BCN, CDG, MXP and LHR. I wonder if BCN is at risk of going to PHL. I think the other ones will stick. SA seemed to be GRU, SCL, and EZE. I assume those will stick, particularly GRU and EZE. IIRC the only Caribbean destination seemed to be BDA. |
Originally Posted by lowfareair
(Post 30978220)
They also have FCO for Europe and a bunch of seasonal Caribbean flights (some may be weekly rather than daily). I could see MXP eventually moving to PHL solely due to the amount of airlines on that route (DL, EK, Air Italy, AZ from JFK + UA from EWR), but I'm not sure if they would move any other Europe flights to PHL for a 2nd daily or just discontinue them from JFK and maintain PHL at its existing level for that city.
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Took the weekly seasonal JFK-SKB flight this Saturday. I know Saturday morning is the lightest travel time of the week, but boy was it sad in T8. Just feels totally lifeless in the midfield terminal.
Flight was lightly loaded, no one for the exit rows, and MCE was not full either. It was interesting to me that even at 8AM the Departure Boards had so little on them to show the Europe night flights were already up. |
Originally Posted by golfingboy
(Post 30974302)
Looks like this change is going to be in place at least through November. Only one daily flight. There are numerous reductions among the AE flights with majority of destinations (CLE, CMH, BWI, YUL, etc.) going down to just one flight per day. Granted this may be mainly driven by the runway closure, but I won't be surprised that most of those cuts will stick.
LAS also permanently goes down to two daily flights. SAN/SEA goes down to 1x daily. Side note - flying between PIT/JFK to connect to TATL flight is very frustrating. AA charges more to fly PIT-JFK to connect to a TATL flight even though the flight loads are very poor on this route. For our upcoming trip to LHR, we are connecting in DCA on the outbound to JFK :rolleyes: I suppose this is what happens when you lose economics of scale necessitating to charge a premium to make the "hub" profitable. Side note 2 - AA is now definitely feeling the squeeze at PHL operationally after rebanking PHL (eliminated two banks and made the remaining ones bigger) and trying to make PHL the main TATL hub where there are severe infrastructure limitations. On our PIT-PHL flights its becoming more common that we have to sit on the tarmac at PIT because there is no gate or space to park at PHL if we arrive early. |
Originally Posted by Long Train Runnin
(Post 30978478)
Took the weekly seasonal JFK-SKB flight this Saturday. I know Saturday morning is the lightest travel time of the week, but boy was it sad in T8. Just feels totally lifeless in the midfield terminal.
Flight was lightly loaded, no one for the exit rows, and MCE was not full either. It was interesting to me that even at 8AM the Departure Boards had so little on them to show the Europe night flights were already up. |
I just did a pass on my reservations and my SEA-JFK-DCA is now SEA-CLT-DCA. There's no longer a non-stop SEA-JFK (at least in May).
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Originally Posted by newyorkgeorge
(Post 30978117)
I wonder if BCN is at risk of going to PHL.
AA has said some of the recent reductions, especially the Eagle ones, are related to the closure of 13L/31R this summer (other airlines have been asked to similarly reduce their schedules), and that they'll resume flying their "full schedule" in the fall once the runway is reopened. |
Originally Posted by newyorkgeorge
(Post 30978347)
I think there's strong demand from NYC to MXP although with that number of airlines who knows what kind of yields AA is getting. I don't know what kind of demand would be outside of NYC. From what I understand Milan is a very industrial city. BCN is a bit strange as it would seem there isn't a huge local demand from NYC, unlike MAD. SCL is in fact LATAM.
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The US industry’s cartel kingpins have their boundaries and don’t want to step hard on the toes of the other cartel kingpins, as peace within the oligopoly is more profitable than open warfare amongst the oligopoly’s kingpins. And so AA is more or less signaling to DL that JFK is going to be DL’s first by far and away (when it comes to dividing up the market amongst the US3 airlines); and as EWR will of course remain UA’s, AA seems to be slowly but surely retreating from NYC. It will be interesting to see how these cartel kingpins deal with parceling LAX over the longer term. |
Originally Posted by GUWonder
(Post 30980383)
The US industry’s cartel kingpins have their boundaries and don’t want to step hard on the toes of the other cartel kingpins, as peace within the oligopoly is more profitable than open warfare amongst the oligopoly’s kingpins. And so AA is more or less signaling to DL that JFK is going to be DL’s first by far and away (when it comes to dividing up the market amongst the US3 airlines); and as EWR will of course remain UA’s, AA seems to be slowly but surely retreating from NYC. It will be interesting to see how these cartel kingpins deal with parceling LAX over the longer term. |
Originally Posted by Adelphos
(Post 30981388)
The thing is that AA still runs a solid schedule out of LGA, and they are not giving up slots at either airline - so despite their weakening positioning, they really aren't cutting net capacity, or so it seems. On Saturdays especially, all of these airlines (and especially American) are flying flights that are half full. I've been on plenty of Delta flights in and out of NYC that are lightly loaded. Are airlines OK with this situation long term?
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Posted at the CrankyFlier blog today: https://crankyflier.com/2019/04/09/a...ork-this-fall/
Looks like they will be increasing the # of flights/day out of JFK post the runway renovation. |
Originally Posted by BillBurn
(Post 30981583)
Posted at the CrankyFlier blog today: https://crankyflier.com/2019/04/09/a...ork-this-fall/
Looks like they will be increasing the # of flights/day out of JFK post the runway renovation. |
Originally Posted by Austin787
(Post 30981620)
Schedules this fall, and beyond, are subject to change. AA has been reducing JFK, and may not have implemented the reductions in the fall schedule yet.
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It is a shame that AA and AS can't codeshare between JFK and SEA considering the minimal service the AA now offers. Our JFK-SEA flight on 6/1 was cancelled. The AS flight would have been a good alternative.
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Would have been nicer to see more long haul, intl. routes use those slots post Nov 2019.....
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Originally Posted by perseus11
(Post 30976486)
If you force a routing (PIT-JFK-LHR), which is not available as a thru fare, you're going to have to pay for each segment separately. Why would you do that rather than accepting one of the plethora of thru fare routings offered : PIT-PHL/ORD/CLT-LHR ??
The statement : " AA is definitely feeling the squeeze at PHL operationally after rebanking" is a personal and refutable opinion. If there were "severe infrastructure limitations" at PHL, AA would have abandoned it, not bulked it up into its now "main TATL Hub". Delaying the departure of a flight that would arrive earlier than scheduled and tie up a gate that was scheduled for an on-time arrival is very typical at most Hubs, such as JFK, LAX, ORD, etc.. It's called schedule/gate management. PIT AA X/NYC AA LON 370.00QKW8C1B5 AA X/NYC AA PIT 320.00 For hub rebanking - sometimes how things look on a spreadsheet does not always translate in reality. Rebanking absolutely helps drive down costs by a considerable margin.... When everything goes according to plan. When you pad your flight times too much (i.e. PIT-PHL has 30-40 minutes of padding) it gives a false sense when calculating ground resources causing revolving operational challenges on the ground when something skips a beat (ground crew, gate agent, caterering, gate space, etc.). Once one link shakes the domino effect begins. Rebanking is better than rolling hubs no doubt, but the question is how aggressive should you be with rebanking? I think this is the challenge AA has right now as I can tell from my experience that AA is deep in the aggressive terriority (missed connections, mis-catering, gate agents struggling, lack of gate space, etc.). AA’s operational reliability is not very good and their financial results aren’t showing the benefits that I think they are hoping to achieve from tightening up the hub banks. |
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