Go Back  FlyerTalk Forums > Miles&Points > Discontinued Programs/Partners > American Airlines | AAdvantage (Pre-Consolidation with USAir)
Reload this Page >

ARCHIVE: US LCC & AMR / AA Takeover / merger Rumors and Discussion (consolidated)

Community
Wiki Posts
Search
Old Feb 14, 2013, 9:50 am
FlyerTalk Forums Expert How-Tos and Guides
Last edit by: JDiver
MODERATOR GUIDEPOST

The AA - US merger was approved by AMR creditors and the boards of directors of both airlines on 13 Feb 2013, and announced the 14th.

There is no further speculation about whether the merger will occur; all that is pending is approval from the bankruptcy court and the regulatory authorities.

American Airlines and US Airways approve merger: just the facts, please outlines the facts we know;

AA - US Merger Agreement / Announcement Discussion (consolidated) is the thread for discussion of the announced merger.
Print Wikipost

ARCHIVE: US LCC & AMR / AA Takeover / merger Rumors and Discussion (consolidated)

 
Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Apr 29, 2012, 3:37 pm
  #721  
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: LA
Programs: AAdvantage, CK, 4 MM; Marriott Lifetime PLT
Posts: 314
Originally Posted by ffI
All AA managed to do by waiting was sell off most assets, agree to unworkable benefits for far too long and lie to its shareholders who lost it all believing management. They should have taken the govt loan guarantees and gone Ch 11 10 yrs ago and come out far stronger with less expectations.
What government loan guarantees? If you are talking about money from 9/11, every carrier took the money including AA. What are you talking about?

As for going chapter 11 10 years ago, any company filing for bankruptcy is not an easy decision. AA is in chap 11 because it has lost $12 billion over the past decade -- propelled the past 5 years due to soaring fuel prices. While I am not an airline manager, I could reasonably argue that AA in bankruptcy now is an advantage if it emerges successfully because it has a better idea of the impact of soaring fuel prices compared to its competitors who filed for bankruptcy earlier in the decade when jet fuel prices are no where near what they are today. Advantage: American.
LAXJFKesq is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 3:38 pm
  #722  
Moderator: Delta SkyMiles
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Hotlanta.
Programs: DL (duh), AA 1MM, Bonvoy Titanium, HH Diamond
Posts: 4,691
Originally Posted by LAXJFKesq
I respectfully disagree. If a merger happens it will be on AA's terms not US, and only after AA emerges from bankruptcy as an independent airline. By the way, the fear for Parker/US is that AA will have other options besides US.
Like my "airline porn" fantasy of a three-way merger between AA, AS, and B6.

Ooooohhhhhhhh Yeahhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!!!!!!!
emma dog is online now  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 3:41 pm
  #723  
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: LA
Programs: AAdvantage, CK, 4 MM; Marriott Lifetime PLT
Posts: 314
Originally Posted by emma dog
Like my "airline porn" fantasy of a three-way merger between AA, AS, and B6.

Ooooohhhhhhhh Yeahhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!!!!!!!
Or, as has been reported I believe in the Financial Times, BA buying a stake in AA -- due to US law, a foreign airline cannot own more than 25% of a US carrier or 49% of the voting shares. Once again, whether Jetblue, Alaska, British Airways/IAG, American will have options that are much more attractive than US with its labor problems and crappy network.
LAXJFKesq is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 3:44 pm
  #724  
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Bay Area
Programs: WN A-List, AA good-riddance, Safeway Club Card Extraordinaire
Posts: 3,851
Originally Posted by emma dog
Like my "airline porn" fantasy of a three-way merger between AA, AS, and B6.
No VX? They could call the resulting company "American Virgin"
Science Goy is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 3:47 pm
  #725  
 
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: US
Programs: (PM)AA SPG (Marriott), Hilton
Posts: 1,040
Originally Posted by emma dog
Like my "airline porn" fantasy of a three-way merger ...
I have to go with a quote from the illustrious eightblack made last month in the UACO forum:
All I know is that most mergers don't work. It's sort of like sleeping with your cousin. At the time, it might seem like a good idea. But you know, deep down, in 9-months time, you're going to produce one ugly looking kid.
reft is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 3:52 pm
  #726  
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: DFW
Programs: Former AA EXP; 2M Lifetime PLT member-
Posts: 405
Originally Posted by LAXJFKesq
I respectfully disagree. If a merger happens it will be on AA's terms not US, and only after AA emerges from bankruptcy as an independent airline. By the way, the fear for Parker/US is that AA will have other options besides US.
Exactly--- that was what I meant! NOT ON USAIRWAYS TERMS--- but under AA terms it may be feasible-- as you say--- so it may be a while....
worldtraveler19 is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 4:03 pm
  #727  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 9,916
Originally Posted by LAXJFKesq

As for going chapter 11 10 years ago, any company filing for bankruptcy is not an easy decision. AA is in chap 11 because it has lost $12 billion over the past decade -- propelled the past 5 years due to soaring fuel prices. While I am not an airline manager, I could reasonably argue that AA in bankruptcy now is an advantage if it emerges successfully because it has a better idea of the impact of soaring fuel prices compared to its competitors who filed for bankruptcy earlier in the decade when jet fuel prices are no where near what they are today. Advantage: American.
Actually, Bob Crandall recently said in an interview the opposite. He said in hindsight AA should have gone 11 around the same time as UA. He said it has been a costly wait as AA has had to retreat from numerous important markets/routes and curtail expansion because of its current cost structure.

Suggest you give this a watch:

http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/12228
elitetraveler is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 4:10 pm
  #728  
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: DCA and STL
Programs: AA Concierge Key, Marriott Lifetime Titanium, National Car Executive Elite
Posts: 524
Originally Posted by LAXJFKesq
I respectfully disagree. If a merger happens it will be on AA's terms not US, and only after AA emerges from bankruptcy as an independent airline. By the way, the fear for Parker/US is that AA will have other options besides US.
I agree that it seems likely that Parker fears lack of options without an AA acquisition. As CEO of America West he did a very similar move to acquire US Airways while it was in an even weaker position than it is in today. Before integrating HP and US (still not done) he set his sights on Delta. With he current goal of being global player AA is his last chance. Yes, he could switch to a niche player strategy that focuses on his current markets or maybe stretch that niche player with an Alaska merger, but that's about all that's left of the United States domestic landscape. I think his best path is to stop jousting at windmills and learn how Alaska has very successfully used the niche player strategy.
ksweeney is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 4:14 pm
  #729  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 9,916
Originally Posted by ksweeney
I agree that it seems likely that Parker fears lack of options without an AA acquisition. As CEO of America West he did a very similar move to acquire US Airways while it was in an even weaker position than it is in today. Before integrating HP and US (still not done) he set his sights on Delta. With he current goal of being global player AA is his last chance. Yes, he could switch to a niche player strategy that focuses on his current markets or maybe stretch that niche player with an Alaska merger, but that's about all that's left of the United States domestic landscape. I think his best path is to stop jousting at windmills and learn how Alaska has very successfully used the niche player strategy.
Actually Parker's main mantra has been consolidation will lead to capacity and pricing discipline. He has taken the position that the mergers of DL/NW and UA/CO were both good for the industry.
elitetraveler is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 4:23 pm
  #730  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 9,916
Originally Posted by LAXJFKesq
I

3. If you are criticizing AA's management for communicating with its employees, how do you explain US's labor problems -- its largest union (Machinists) came out this week strongly opposing the hostile takeover.
Let's see, AA management makes a MAJOR concession regarding pensions that mean it now needs to seek outside funding AND they still have the unions running to Parker? At the end of the day, current AA management hasn't been able to cut through the acrimony and distrust at all. And the way they handled the Gailen David thing really just galvanized the unions against management.

If you look back on airline history, how did Lorenzo get into EA? Unions thought he was better than the then management or Icahn. How did Icahn get into TW? Unions thought he was better than Lorenzo. When you make your backyard a cesspool, the grass looks greener next door even when its mud.

Bethune, Crandall, Lord Marshall and Keller may have been the only four executives in the past 30 years that battled entrenched, adversarial and short-sighted unions and actually figured out a way to not self-implode. Obviously it's not easy @:-)

I also didn't say Parker is an All-Star. I just said he knows the songs to sing while dating. At the same time, AA management plays it rough and tough with a comical FA then caves to the tune of $1 billion in financing for the pensions. It is supposed to be the reverse
elitetraveler is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 4:41 pm
  #731  
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: DCA and STL
Programs: AA Concierge Key, Marriott Lifetime Titanium, National Car Executive Elite
Posts: 524
Originally Posted by elitetraveler
Actually Parker's main mantra has been consolidation will lead to capacity and pricing discipline. He has taken the position that the mergers of DL/NW and UA/CO were both good for the industry.
It is hard to argue against Parker's point. I think that consolidation is a good thing for most industries. The arguments on this forum of course center not on what's good for the industry as a whole, but what is good for AA and/or its customers. I tend to think that a merger would be good for the surviving company but am at least a little skeptical that it would be good for AA's elite flyers.
ksweeney is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 4:41 pm
  #732  
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Vancouver, BC
Programs: AA EXP 3MM, FB Plat, AS Gold, Marriott Gold, Fairmont Plat, BA wannabe
Posts: 684
Originally Posted by LAXJFKesq
I respectfully disagree. If a merger happens it will be on AA's terms not US, and only after AA emerges from bankruptcy as an independent airline. By the way, the fear for Parker/US is that AA will have other options besides US.
What's the status of the interest of BA in AA?
fishferbrains is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 4:45 pm
  #733  
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Mostly AUS or rural England
Programs: BAEC redundant Bronze, AAdvantage Lifetime PLT, CO, WN, B6
Posts: 6,526
Originally Posted by elitetraveler
Bethune, Crandall, Lord Marshall and Keller may have been the only four executives in the past 30 years that battled entrenched, adversarial and short-sighted unions and actually figured out a way to not self-implode. Obviously it's not easy @:-)
I can't speak for Bethune or Crandall but the point about Kelleher and Marshall is very much that they DIDN'T battle with Unions - their approach was much more one of teamwork and getting everyone pulling in the same direction which reduced the need for battles. And no, it certainly isn't easy to build a non-adversarial business of this kind with 10's of thousands of remote employees, though my observation from the outside is AA's managers seem to have abdicated responsibility for a lot of management of the people a long time ago which has almost certainly allowed the confrontation to increase. Plus making promises and breaking them never helps.
bernardd is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 4:50 pm
  #734  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 9,916
Originally Posted by bernardd
I can't speak for Bethune or Crandall but the point about Kelleher and Marshall is very much that they DIDN'T battle with Unions - their approach was much more one of teamwork and getting everyone pulling in the same direction which reduced the need for battles. And no, it certainly isn't easy to build a non-adversarial business of this kind with 10's of thousands of remote employees, though my observation from the outside is AA's managers seem to have abdicated responsibility for a lot of management of the people a long time ago which has almost certainly allowed the confrontation to increase. Plus making promises and breaking them never helps.
I would agree with your characterization. I should have said the four all made lemonade out of lemons. Remember when Marshall and King came to BA it was part of Thatcher's privatization program - that was heavily opposed by the unions.
elitetraveler is offline  
Old Apr 29, 2012, 4:51 pm
  #735  
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Mostly AUS or rural England
Programs: BAEC redundant Bronze, AAdvantage Lifetime PLT, CO, WN, B6
Posts: 6,526
Originally Posted by fishferbrains
What's the status of the interest of BA in AA?
If they look across LHR at SQ's investment in VS they'll probably run a mile from any kind of minority investment. They already serve a lot of US gateways, plus they seem to be pulling back to much more of a point-to-point operation and focusing on smaller groups of customers where they can be profitable, so it's hard to imagine they couldn't fashion some kind of feeder deal with whomever survives, or with B6, AS etc. etc.
bernardd is offline  


Contact Us - Manage Preferences - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.