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UA Announces Q3 2023 Financial Results 17 Oct / Conference Call 18 Oct

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Old Oct 17, 2023, 10:53 pm
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United Airlines Announces Third-Quarter Financial Results: Revenue Beats Consensus on Solid Domestic - and Record-Breaking International Performance

October 17, 2023Financial and Corporate, Earnings

Company had record setting profits in both Atlantic and Pacific regions

Pre-tax income increased 29% y-o-y; on an adjusted basis1 increased 37%

Delivered strong operational performance, with September being best on-time performance of the year

Increasingly powerful segmentation strategy proving to be a competitive advantage

CHICAGO, Oct. 17, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- United Airlines (UAL) today reported third-quarter 2023 financial results. The company reported quarterly pre-tax income of $1.5 billion, pre-tax margin of 10.3 % and diluted earnings per share of $3.42 and; on an adjusted1 basis, pre-tax income of $1.6 billion, pre-tax margin of 10.8% and diluted earnings per share of $3.65.

Total third-quarter top line revenue was up 12.5% year-over-year, a record revenue quarter and near the high end of guidance. United experienced a strong and steady domestic demand environment in the quarter, with 9% revenue growth year-over-year, outpacing second quarter results. The company saw strength in close-in bookings in August and September with both months well ahead of year-over-year demand.

In the international space, profits were at record highs in both the Atlantic and Pacific regions. Revenue in the Atlantic region was up 15% versus the same quarter in 2022, and 70% versus the same quarter in 2019. Pacific revenue exceeded third-quarter 2019 levels despite capacity remaining 24% below third-quarter 2019. Domestic revenues in the quarter were second highest all-time and the domestic system remains solidly profitable.

The company has built a winning strategy around giving customers choice when it comes to the level of service they want. Demand for premium products remains high, with great success in the premium economy cabin where revenue has outpaced capacity growth since its introduction in 2019. In total, revenue from premium products was up 20% year-over-year in the quarter and accounts for more than half of all passenger revenue. Basic Economy has also provided another popular option for customers and has been a great competitive offering with revenue for that product in the quarter up 50% year-over-year.

United continues to see the benefits of having an award winning airline loyalty program. The third quarter showed a continued multi-year new MileagePlus® member trend, setting a record for third quarter enrollments and nearly doubling the number of new members versus the third quarter just five years ago. Spending across the U.S. card portfolio year-to-date is up double-digits over the first three quarters of 2022 and this third quarter saw more miles redeemed across the program than any third quarter in history for award travel.

"Thank you to our extraordinary United team who delivered a record-setting operational performance for our customers in August and September," said United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby. "Our strategy to diversify our revenue streams, capitalize on growth opportunities and constantly innovate to enhance our products for our customers is paying off. Our United Next strategy is working and we remain on track to hit our financial targets."

Third-Quarter Financial Results
  • Capacity up 15.7% compared to third-quarter 2022.
  • Total operating revenue of $14.5 billion, up 12.5% compared to third-quarter 2022.
  • TRASM down 2.8% compared to third-quarter 2022.
  • CASM down 3.6%, and CASM-ex1 up 2.6%, compared to third-quarter 2022.
  • Pre-tax income of $1.5 billion, with a pre-tax margin of 10.3%; adjusted pre-tax income1 of $1.6 billion, with an adjusted pre-tax margin1 of 10.8%.
  • Net income of $1.1 billion, adjusted net income1 of $1.2 billion.
  • Diluted earnings per share of $3.42, adjusted diluted earnings per share1 of $3.65.
  • Average fuel price per gallon of $2.95.
  • Trailing twelve months adjusted net debt1 to adjusted EBITDAR1 of 2.5x.
Key Highlights
  • United pilots, represented by the Air Line Pilots Association International (ALPA), ratified a new four-year contract with the company.
  • Announced promotions of Michael Leskinen to Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Josh Earnest to Executive Vice President of Communications and Advertising, and Terri Fariello to Executive Vice President of Government Affairs and Global Public Policy.
  • Introduced a new United First® seat that includes a wireless charging station in every arm rest and 13-inch seatback screens for domestic aircraft.
  • Opened two new United Club℠ locations in Denver, including the airline's largest club – a 35,000 sq. ft. club with a modern take on the United Club experience.
  • Announced the United Airlines Ventures Sustainable Flight Fund℠ increased its investment power to nearly $200 million and added eight new corporate partners, five months after its initial launch.
  • Launched the industry-leading United Military Pilot Program giving full-time, active-duty U.S. military pilots access to conditional job offers as a First Officer with the airline.
Customer Experience
  • Became the first U.S. airline to add braille to aircraft interiors.
  • Onboarded new amenity kits for premium passengers in international, transcontinental, and Hawaii markets. In addition, introduced upgraded Saks Fifth Avenue bedding for United Polaris customers.
  • Was awarded the World's Best Airline App by the World Aviation Festival for the airline's industry leading capabilities on making the day of travel easier.
  • Named Favorite International Airline for the fourth year in a row and Favorite Frequent-Flyer Program for our MileagePlus program for the sixth year in a row by Trazee Travel.
  • Partnered with Sesame Workshop, the nonprofit educational organization behind Sesame Street, to create a brand-new Children's Travel Kit.
Operations
  • Set the company's record for the highest daily average of revenue passengers ever carried in a quarter at more than 482,000 passengers.
  • Achieved the most ever quarterly mainline (2,621) and widebody (324) daily departures in United's history.
  • United Express achieved 30 days of 100% completion – the highest number ever for any quarter in history.
  • Held the second highest third quarter seat factor in history behind third-quarter 2022.
Network
  • Flew over 436 domestic markets on mainline aircraft this quarter – up from 367 in the third quarter of 2019.
  • Made significant growth in the Denver market, reaching the most mainline departures in over 20 years at 300 daily departures, a 10% year-over-year seat capacity growth for the quarter, and daily departure increases on over 20 routes year-over-year.
  • Announced a major international expansion to Asia, including the first nonstop service from the continental U.S. to Manila by a U.S. airline and the introduction of daily flights from the continental U.S. to Hong Kong and Tokyo-Narita, and a second daily flight to Taipei.
  • Announced United's return to Beijing with daily nonstop service from San Francisco.
  • Introduced 127 new, nonstop flights to select cities this fall to help college football fans travel to games.
Communities
  • Announced an investment in Electric Power Systems, a company producing battery technology that can potentially be used for a broad suite of aerospace applications.
  • Transported more than 110,000 lbs. of relief supplies in support of Maui Disaster Relief efforts. Through Miles on a Mission, United and MileagePlus members donated 55 million miles to relief efforts in Maui.
  • Hosted over 100 volunteer events for United's 3rd Annual September of Service with more than 2,200 United employees volunteering more than 7,300 hours – the equivalent of over $232,000 in impact served. Throughout the month, United employees packed 304,000 meals, upcycled 12,000 amenity kits, collected nearly 350 lbs. of trash, and installed 6.24 kW of solar energy in communities across the globe.
  • In partnership with DonorsChoose.org – pledged $1.25 million in support of aviation and STEM projects in classrooms across our seven hub markets and more.
  • Partnered with Sesame Workshop during National Preparedness Month to reach children in need around the world, matching up to one million miles raised for the global impact nonprofit behind Sesame Street.
Earnings Call

UAL will hold a conference call to discuss third-quarter 2023 financial results, as well as its financial and operational outlook for fourth-quarter 2023 and beyond, on Wednesday, Oct. 18, at 9:30 a.m. CT/10:30 a.m. ET. A live, listen-only webcast of the conference call will be available at ir.united.com. The webcast will be available for replay within 24 hours of the conference call and then archived on the website for three months.

Outlook

This press release should be read in conjunction with the company's Investor Update issued in connection with this quarterly earnings announcement, which provides additional information on the company's business outlook (including certain financial and operational guidance) and is furnished with this press release with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on a Current Report on Form 8-K. The Investor Update is also available at ir.united.com. Management will also discuss certain business outlook items, including providing an update of full year 2023 financial targets, during the quarterly earnings conference call.

The company's business outlook is subject to risks and uncertainties applicable to all forward-looking statements as described elsewhere in this press release. Please see the section entitled "Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements."
PDF/8-K
10-Q
3Q23 United Airlines Holdings Investor Update
3Q23 Earnings Call, View Webcast
Transcripts (may require free subscription)
. SeekingAlpha
. AlphaStreet
. MarketScreener

AplhaStreet summary of UA 3Q23 earning report

Past Reports
UA Announces Q2 2023 Financial Results 19 July / Conference Call 20 July
UA Announces Q3 2022 Financial Results 18 Oct / Conference Call 19 Oct






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UA Announces Q3 2023 Financial Results 17 Oct / Conference Call 18 Oct

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Old Sep 26, 2023, 11:31 pm
  #1  
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UA Announces Q3 2023 Financial Results 17 Oct / Conference Call 18 Oct

Earnings call will be on 10/18/2023 at 9:30 a.m. CST.
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Old Oct 16, 2023, 9:40 pm
  #2  
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Will be interesting to learn about any impact the M.E. situation might have on UAs operational performance and results..
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Old Oct 17, 2023, 6:34 am
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Unlikely any operational performance impact, but I expect the loss of TLV flying will have a significant impact on 4Q capacity.
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Old Oct 17, 2023, 10:48 pm
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United Airlines Announces Third-Quarter Financial Results: Revenue Beats Consensus on Solid Domestic - and Record-Breaking International Performance

October 17, 2023Financial and Corporate, Earnings

Company had record setting profits in both Atlantic and Pacific regions

Pre-tax income increased 29% y-o-y; on an adjusted basis1 increased 37%

Delivered strong operational performance, with September being best on-time performance of the year

Increasingly powerful segmentation strategy proving to be a competitive advantage

https://www.united.com/en/us/newsroo.../cision-125299
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Old Oct 17, 2023, 11:14 pm
  #5  
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Scott Kirby had an interesting post on his LinkedIn page. Here it is:


The third quarter was another confirmation that United Next is working exactly as we expected, both for United Airlines and for the industry at large. It’s pretty remarkable that this quarter, ~98% of the total expected industry revenue growth will come from @UNITED and one other airline, and ~90% of the total expected industry pre-tax profit will come from just those two airlines.

For my entire 30-year career, the airline industry has gone through cycles, and we are in one now…but all of those cycles have ended with the lowest margin airlines forced to make adjustments – which will lead to better results for United. The adjustments are an inevitable economic reality, and I expect it to happen again by 2H24. What’s different this time, however, is that the lowest margin airlines are the so-called low-cost carriers, and that’s where I think the changes are going to occur. As a result, United is going to emerge in a structurally stronger and sustainable position. The changes ahead are significant and are going to lead to a much better outlook for United’s customers, employees and shareholders. 🙌


It’s an interesting comment about a possible downturn, though I think the the LLCs might have the sort of pricing power in a pullback that the legacies would find challenging.
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Old Oct 18, 2023, 3:57 am
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https://onemileatatime.com/insights/...and-softening/

https://onemileatatime.com/insights/...riers-trouble/

Interestingly, the ULCCs seem to be having the problems, with F9 and NK both forecasting losses in the traditionally profitable Q3. All while the legacies, with international networks, premium segmentation, and profits from credit cards, are going strong.
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Old Oct 18, 2023, 4:34 am
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Originally Posted by PA815
https://onemileatatime.com/insights/...and-softening/

https://onemileatatime.com/insights/...riers-trouble/

Interestingly, the ULCCs seem to be having the problems, with F9 and NK both forecasting losses in the traditionally profitable Q3. All while the legacies, with international networks, premium segmentation, and profits from credit cards, are going strong.
It makes sense to me. Lower income people (more the customers of the ULCCs) are being hugely impacted by inflation and have less money to spend on non-essentials.
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Old Oct 18, 2023, 7:00 am
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Originally Posted by JNelson113
It makes sense to me. Lower income people (more the customers of the ULCCs) are being hugely impacted by inflation and have less money to spend on non-essentials.
Plus a ton of cost convergence in a tight labor market and tight aircraft market.
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Old Oct 18, 2023, 8:02 am
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Wall Street not impressed. UAL stock down 8% as of 10:00am EST...
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Old Oct 18, 2023, 8:07 am
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Originally Posted by Dyce
Wall Street not impressed. UAL stock down 8% as of 10:00am EST...
Not so much unimpressed with the preceding quarter, but starting to get spooked by the long term outlook. The situation in the Middle East is a major concern and United is most exposed there, not just with TLV. The entire airline sector is down today. Between that, and Kirby basically guiding a recession next year, it looks like the post-COVID ride is over. We'll see what comes out of the call.
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Old Oct 18, 2023, 9:15 am
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Some notes from the call

- "Little to no" domestic growth in the first half of 2024
- Europe in 2024 will be mostly the same as 2023, to allow the 2022-2023 expansions to "mature"
- No "material" changes to the 2025 Premier program. Definitely a swipe at Delta but good news nevertheless
- Guiding no TLV service for the remainder of October, possibility to resume service incrementally as situation develops, but TLV accounts for 2% of UAL business, and those costs are essentially fixed
- 12 737 and A321 deliveries pushed into 2024 due to delivery delays
- 757/767 fleet to retire "later this decade" "for sure"
- Frequent references and guiding caution as to economic conditions deteriorating
- Nocella had a lengthy prepared answer to Jamie Baker's question about comparing United's results to LCCs, basically that United's model can support higher gauge as it is incremental growth in existing markets, correcting for years of being under-gauged, and capturing revenue that was spilled to competitors, not chasing growth in new markets with large capacity which depresses yields
- Focus on Asia growth will resume as it represents an opportunity to score strong returns quickly
- Widebodies just ordered for 2028 and beyond deliveries, to "pivot to global growth" and not domestic. Also because of "persistent" supply chain delays

United is also forecasting a 2% hit in 4Q capacity due to a lack of Captain upgrades. Prior to ratifying the new pilot contract, United was seeing captain vacancies go unfilled, as pilots hesitated to upgrade over dissatisfaction with work rules under the old contract, and uncertainty of a new deal. Now that the contract passed, this issue will start to sunset, but will take a few quarters to catch up.

Last edited by EWR764; Oct 18, 2023 at 9:21 am
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Old Oct 18, 2023, 9:15 am
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Any info about changes to Mileage Plus?
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Old Oct 18, 2023, 9:21 am
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Originally Posted by manstein58
Any info about changes to Mileage Plus?
Yes. During prepared remarks it was mentioned that no big changes to MP qualification are anticipated for 2025, as they have scaled the program to be able to provide the right benefits at the right tiers. A not so subtle reference to the Delta fiasco. When the conference call replay is available later today maybe someone can transcribe the exact wording.
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Old Oct 18, 2023, 10:05 am
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Originally Posted by dkc715
Yes. During prepared remarks it was mentioned that no big changes to MP qualification are anticipated for 2025, as they have scaled the program to be able to provide the right benefits at the right tiers. A not so subtle reference to the Delta fiasco. When the conference call replay is available later today maybe someone can transcribe the exact wording.
I took it to mean status quo for 2025, with published qualification criteria and tiers remaining in place. If there were plans to completely revamp MP in the vein of AA's Loyalty Points scheme, or something else, it's not happening for the 2025 program year. No changes is good news, at least for me.
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Old Oct 18, 2023, 2:37 pm
  #15  
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Transcript Link:

https://seekingalpha.com/article/464...all-transcript
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