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United Records Special Impairment Charges on HK Routes

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Old Jan 7, 2020, 3:00 pm
  #1  
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United Records Special Impairment Charges on HK Routes

Low demand and decreased revenue cited for another $90 million write-off (in addition to the amount wrote off last year)

https://seekingalpha.com/news/353026...pha#email_link
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Old Jan 7, 2020, 3:22 pm
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Originally Posted by UA_Flyer
Low demand and decreased revenue cited for another $90 million write-off (in addition to the amount wrote off last year)

https://seekingalpha.com/news/353026...pha#email_link
I don't understand the need for this. My understanding is that no limiting authorization was needed to fly to Hong Kong and there was no route authority that was at issue (as with e.g. flights to LHR or HND (which are slot restricted) or say PEK which are limited by bilateral agreement) so there is no legal right/benefit that is being impaired.

Is this just an effort to have an explanation for underperformance?
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Old Jan 7, 2020, 3:55 pm
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Originally Posted by spin88
I don't understand the need for this. My understanding is that no limiting authorization was needed to fly to Hong Kong and there was no route authority that was at issue (as with e.g. flights to LHR or HND (which are slot restricted) or say PEK which are limited by bilateral agreement) so there is no legal right/benefit that is being impaired.

Is this just an effort to have an explanation for underperformance?

I'm no SEC guru, but I believe they have an obligation to shareholder/potential investors to disclose when an asset is worth less, beyond normal depreciation. 737-max, a route impacted by low demand due to extended political unrest...
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Old Jan 7, 2020, 4:13 pm
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Form 8-K's are standard for any corporation to file to notify investors of a current event.

United usually files at least 1 8-K every month. Change of CEO, fleet changes, etc all get 8-K's filed.

Better to file - than not to file.
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Old Jan 7, 2020, 4:16 pm
  #5  
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Originally Posted by fastair
I'm no SEC guru, but I believe they have an obligation to shareholder/potential investors to disclose when an asset is worth less, beyond normal depreciation. 737-max, a route impacted by low demand due to extended political unrest...
Yeah, UA is treating the routes as intangible assets. From the 8-K:
For fourth quarter 2019, the company expects to record a special non-cash impairment charge of $90 million associated with its Hong Kong routes. The company conducted its annual impairment review of intangible assets in the fourth quarter of 2019, which consisted of a comparison of the book value of specific assets to the fair value of those assets calculated using the discounted cash flow method. Due to a decrease in demand for the Hong Kong market and the resulting decrease in unit revenue, the company determined that the value of its Hong Kong routes had been fully impaired. Notwithstanding such impairments, the collateral pledged under the company's term loan continues to be sufficient to satisfy the loan covenants.
UAL Form 8-K
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Old Jan 7, 2020, 4:24 pm
  #6  
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This is necessary for accounting and regulatory reasons. I would not read too much into this.
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Old Jan 7, 2020, 4:37 pm
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They probably attach a value to their market share/position in the HKG market which they consider to be an asset, but currently deprecated in value due to the ongoing protests (which don't seem like they're going to stop anytime soon).
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Old Jan 7, 2020, 7:00 pm
  #8  
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A number of Asian airlines have cut flights to HK and/or downsized their planes serving the HK routes.

A number of trade and industry conferences, that have been staged in HK in the last years, have been moved to Mainland China and/or Macau.

IMHO, it will be a long recovery for HK.

The question that has been raised by my clients and my competitors: Have we seen the peak of HK in its history (150 years) of political/economic cycle, or will HK ever get back to its glory day of pre-China opened up period in the early 90s.

Most have come to the conclusion that there is no growth potential in HK for the long run. Almost 70% of its vibrant capital market are companies with mainland China connections, and it is no longer an international capital market as been perceived in eyes of public.

According to one economist friend of mine: “Sadly we are witnessing the rise and decay of an economy in front of our eyes as it evolves in the geo-political history cycle.”

I hope that is not the case and still cautiously optimistic.

Hope UA routes will flourish eventually.
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