Feb 9, 2019, 8:39 pm
Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Mar 8, 2019, 10:36 am
#3736
Join Date: Sep 2017
Location: EWR
Posts: 81
Asking for a friend, I already said there's a 0 chance but would love to be wrong
3/8 3/9 ORD-PEK UA 851
J1 PZ0
Economy ticket booking through Amex corporate travel, IDK the fare code
Flight status shows for the past few days only 2 people even get upgraded on, but that plane had real Polaris, while this one is schedule the 2-4-2 version. But it only shows 33 of 48 booked in J though. Why only sell 1 J in that case?
J1 PZ0
Economy ticket booking through Amex corporate travel, IDK the fare code
Flight status shows for the past few days only 2 people even get upgraded on, but that plane had real Polaris, while this one is schedule the 2-4-2 version. But it only shows 33 of 48 booked in J though. Why only sell 1 J in that case?
Last edited by jerseykeebs; Mar 9, 2019 at 7:57 am Reason: corrected date
Mar 8, 2019, 10:40 am
#3737
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,455
Asking for a friend, I already said there's a 0 chance but would love to be wrong
3/8 ORD-PEK UA 851
J1 PZ0
Economy ticket booking through Amex corporate travel, IDK the fare code
Flight status shows for the past few days only 2 people even get upgraded on, but that plane had real Polaris, while this one is schedule the 2-4-2 version. But it only shows 33 of 48 booked in J though. Why only sell 1 J in that case?
3/8 ORD-PEK UA 851
J1 PZ0
Economy ticket booking through Amex corporate travel, IDK the fare code
Flight status shows for the past few days only 2 people even get upgraded on, but that plane had real Polaris, while this one is schedule the 2-4-2 version. But it only shows 33 of 48 booked in J though. Why only sell 1 J in that case?
Mar 8, 2019, 10:43 am
#3738
Join Date: Oct 2016
Location: SBA
Programs: UA Gold 1MM, Marriott Gold, IHG Plat, Hertz PC
Posts: 941
Can anyone tell me what the chances of a GPU upgrade are for the following flights:
LAX-SYD UA839 Mar 12
SYD-LAX UA842 Mar 20
2 travelers (I am a 1K)
I am thinking about buying up to a W-fare but need a data point to assess my chances (if that's even possible). TIA!
LAX-SYD UA839 Mar 12
SYD-LAX UA842 Mar 20
2 travelers (I am a 1K)
I am thinking about buying up to a W-fare but need a data point to assess my chances (if that's even possible). TIA!
Mar 8, 2019, 3:16 pm
#3739
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
Asking for a friend, I already said there's a 0 chance but would love to be wrong
3/8 ORD-PEK UA 851
J1 PZ0
Economy ticket booking through Amex corporate travel, IDK the fare code
Flight status shows for the past few days only 2 people even get upgraded on, but that plane had real Polaris, while this one is schedule the 2-4-2 version. But it only shows 33 of 48 booked in J though. Why only sell 1 J in that case?
3/8 ORD-PEK UA 851
J1 PZ0
Economy ticket booking through Amex corporate travel, IDK the fare code
Flight status shows for the past few days only 2 people even get upgraded on, but that plane had real Polaris, while this one is schedule the 2-4-2 version. But it only shows 33 of 48 booked in J though. Why only sell 1 J in that case?
Mar 8, 2019, 9:30 pm
#3741
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,455
Ugh, no I typo'ed that so hard. His flight is 3/9, I was scoping out previous flights to get an idea of the waitlist situation. Sorry to you and @Kacee for giving you a wrong date.
Mar 9, 2019, 5:40 am
#3742
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
Now that I think about it maybe the friend needs the visa for entry to China verified by check-in agents at the airport.
Last edited by StuckinITH; Mar 9, 2019 at 6:32 am Reason: Add comment about visa
Mar 9, 2019, 11:53 am
#3743
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,414
Mar 11, 2019, 10:20 am
#3744
Join Date: Jan 2016
Location: IAD, DEL, IXC, BWI, DCA, YYZ
Programs: UA 1K, Amex Plat, UA Club Card, National EE, Global Entry, TSA Pre✓
Posts: 275
- Available fare classes:
- J9
- JN9
- C9
- D9
- Z9
- ZN9
- P0
- PN0
- PZ0
- IN0
- I0
Delhi, IN (DEL) to New York/Newark, NJ, US (EWR - Liberty)
Tue, Mar 19
GPU, W fare, UA Silver (mom)
J cabin is 25/50 booked and 5 passengers ahead of mom on waitlist. I feel her chances are pretty good, but P0 worries me. I'm 1K therefore my GPU clears in PZ. When can I expect her to clear - on rolling basis or day of the flight? Please let me know if there's anything else I can do to boost her chances. I'm willing to fork upto $1K for guaranteed/TOD upgrade, but united wants $8K!!!!!
Mar 11, 2019, 10:27 am
#3745
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,406
J cabin is 25/50 booked and 5 passengers ahead of mom on waitlist. I feel her chances are pretty good, but P0 worries me. I'm 1K therefore my GPU clears in PZ. When can I expect her to clear - on rolling basis or day of the flight? Please let me know if there's anything else I can do to boost her chances. I'm willing to fork upto $1K for guaranteed/TOD upgrade, but united wants $8K!!!!!
If she does clear, it could be anytime between now and then, but day-of-flight is more likely than ahead of time, in my opinion, given the current P0. Then again, if it's still at 25/50 after another couple of days, they'll likely have expanded the inventory.
Good luck!
Mar 11, 2019, 11:04 am
#3746
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,455
Sometimes UA zeros P not because it thinks all the seats will sell, but to avoid sales of a heavily discounted P fare with no advance purchase requirement (or to prevent pax on P fares from SDCing out of a less favorable routing). I've seen this quite a bit on SFO-SIN, where UA simply would not open P within two weeks of departure, regardless how many open seats there were.
In this case, UA offers an exceptionally cheap zero day AP P fare DEL-EWR which is almost assuredly why you're seeing P0.
In this case, UA offers an exceptionally cheap zero day AP P fare DEL-EWR which is almost assuredly why you're seeing P0.
Mar 12, 2019, 10:05 am
#3747
Join Date: Mar 2019
Programs: MileagePlus
Posts: 3
Outbound available fare class:
SFO-TPE
J9
JN9
C9
D9
Z9
ZN9
P9
PN0
PZ0
IN0
I0
Travel date is 4/20. Traveler is UA Gold. (Me) Metal is 77W. J is currently 10/60 booked. I have a GPU applied by a friend, and in my mind I feel like this GPU has a very good chance of clearing, but I'm interested to hear what you guys all think
SFO-TPE
J9
JN9
C9
D9
Z9
ZN9
P9
PN0
PZ0
IN0
I0
Travel date is 4/20. Traveler is UA Gold. (Me) Metal is 77W. J is currently 10/60 booked. I have a GPU applied by a friend, and in my mind I feel like this GPU has a very good chance of clearing, but I'm interested to hear what you guys all think
Mar 12, 2019, 10:34 am
#3748
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,455
Ordinarily I would agree booked 10/60 less than four weeks out, but with a Saturday departure it is by no means a sure thing. Saturday and Sunday are toughest days for TPAC upgrades. Heavy demand by business travelers, who tend to buy late.
Mar 12, 2019, 11:10 am
#3749
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
If the friend who gave you the GPU is GS the chances are higher. With P9 they might open some PN.
Mar 12, 2019, 3:39 pm
#3750
Join Date: May 2018
Location: Latin America and USA
Programs: UA 1K, Marriott Gold
Posts: 456
Agreed. 871 and 872 tend to have a lot of late buyers, especially on the weekends. Still I would say there is at least a chance, but no guarantee.