Feb 9, 2019, 8:39 pm
Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Feb 28, 2019, 8:29 pm
#3706
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
I have seen J on other SFO-XXX int'l flights overbooked by a seat... SIN was doing that last year... and seen it on SYD too. SFO typically sees a lot of missed connections onto int'l, so the statisticians feel it's worth it to sell an extra seat, and worst case scenario, UA has to cough up a $1500 voucher to downgrade someone back to Y or Premium Plus.
Mar 1, 2019, 11:20 am
#3707
Join Date: Apr 2016
Posts: 7
Hi, I'm curious what my chances are for two GPU upgrades as a 1K on UA 837 SFO -> NRT on 3/10? Currently 43/60 booked, with the following fare classes:
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN2 PZ0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S9 T9 L9 K8 G3 N9 XN9 X1
It switched from PN0 to PN2 this morning. Thanks!
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN2 PZ0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S9 T9 L9 K8 G3 N9 XN9 X1
It switched from PN0 to PN2 this morning. Thanks!
Mar 3, 2019, 7:42 am
#3708
Join Date: Mar 2019
Programs: Aeroplan
Posts: 4
Hi! I'm curious the chances for GPU upgrade (as GS) on UA 838 from NRT to SFO.
Currently booking status:
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S5 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
Looks like there are plenty of J class seats available, would these be sold normally on this flight? Thanks!
Currently booking status:
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S5 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
Looks like there are plenty of J class seats available, would these be sold normally on this flight? Thanks!
Mar 3, 2019, 7:46 am
#3709
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: LAX
Programs: UA 1K MM; Bonvoy Titanium; most other FF programs...
Posts: 654
Hi! I'm curious the chances for GPU upgrade (as GS) on UA 838 from NRT to SFO.
Currently booking status:
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S5 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
Looks like there are plenty of J class seats available, would these be sold normally on this flight? Thanks!
Currently booking status:
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S5 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
Looks like there are plenty of J class seats available, would these be sold normally on this flight? Thanks!
Mar 3, 2019, 7:46 am
#3710
Join Date: Jun 2018
Posts: 489
Hi! I'm curious the chances for GPU upgrade (as GS) on UA 838 from NRT to SFO.
Currently booking status:
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S5 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
Looks like there are plenty of J class seats available, would these be sold normally on this flight? Thanks!
Currently booking status:
J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S5 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
Looks like there are plenty of J class seats available, would these be sold normally on this flight? Thanks!
If you waitlisted now, I'd say your chance of upgrade is extremely high. P9 will normally clear GS waitlisted after a few days (IME)
Mar 3, 2019, 8:05 am
#3711
Join Date: Mar 2019
Programs: Aeroplan
Posts: 4
Oops, I somehow removed the date, I am flying on Mar 17.
Mar 3, 2019, 8:58 am
#3712
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,419
Should be excellent odds as a GS.
Mar 4, 2019, 8:58 pm
#3714
Join Date: Oct 2013
Location: NYC
Programs: UA Platinum
Posts: 76
Upgrade chance?
UA 64 from EWR to LIS on 6/28 (Friday redeye). Gold status, waitlisted Miles Upgrade with a +1, showing 8/39 booked, J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P0 PN0 PZ0.
Guessing this means they think the seats will sell, especially given that it's a Friday flight. Not expecting anything and have 28 AB selected, but would be great to arrive in Portugal a bit more refreshed!
Guessing this means they think the seats will sell, especially given that it's a Friday flight. Not expecting anything and have 28 AB selected, but would be great to arrive in Portugal a bit more refreshed!
Mar 4, 2019, 11:13 pm
#3715
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,413
UA 64 from EWR to LIS on 6/28 (Friday redeye). Gold status, waitlisted Miles Upgrade with a +1, showing 8/39 booked, J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P0 PN0 PZ0.
Guessing this means they think the seats will sell, especially given that it's a Friday flight. Not expecting anything and have 28 AB selected, but would be great to arrive in Portugal a bit more refreshed!
Guessing this means they think the seats will sell, especially given that it's a Friday flight. Not expecting anything and have 28 AB selected, but would be great to arrive in Portugal a bit more refreshed!
It's good news that they're selling some discount inventory.
Mar 5, 2019, 1:18 am
#3716
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 295
I have hnl-ewr on Saturday 5/18 and iad-hnl on Sunday 6/9 both waitlisted using RPUs as a platinum. Any chance at all either way?
Mar 5, 2019, 1:25 am
#3717
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,461
Mar 5, 2019, 3:53 am
#3718
Join Date: Apr 2014
Location: HND, NRT
Programs: UA Gold (1K 2016–2023 by miracle extensions; RIP 1K status), 1MM
Posts: 220
My RPU just cleared on 873 (GUM NRT) on 3/11 with zero seats showing as open (I think 1A and B are blocked) and J1 JN1 C1 D1 Z1 P1 PN1 PZ0 IN0 I0. I checked earlier today and it was 2s across except PN1 and PZ0. Why would they clear an upgrade six days out when J is all but full? (My RPU NRT GUM flight on 3/7 cleared at ticketing a couple weeks ago and now again it's J1 JN1 C1 D1 Z1 P1 PN1 PZ0 IN0 I0 (I think they were mostly 4s at the time). I guess they expect next to zero last-minute business fare sales?
Mar 5, 2019, 4:46 am
#3719
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
My RPU just cleared on 873 (GUM NRT) on 3/11 with zero seats showing as open (I think 1A and B are blocked) and J1 JN1 C1 D1 Z1 P1 PN1 PZ0 IN0 I0. I checked earlier today and it was 2s across except PN1 and PZ0. Why would they clear an upgrade six days out when J is all but full? (My RPU NRT GUM flight on 3/7 cleared at ticketing a couple weeks ago and now again it's J1 JN1 C1 D1 Z1 P1 PN1 PZ0 IN0 I0 (I think they were mostly 4s at the time). I guess they expect next to zero last-minute business fare sales?
Don't forget 1A and 1B on the 777-200 are blocked and will open up approximately 48 hours prior to departure if you're looking for a better seat.
Mar 5, 2019, 1:35 pm
#3720
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,419
My RPU just cleared on 873 (GUM NRT) on 3/11 with zero seats showing as open (I think 1A and B are blocked) and J1 JN1 C1 D1 Z1 P1 PN1 PZ0 IN0 I0. I checked earlier today and it was 2s across except PN1 and PZ0. Why would they clear an upgrade six days out when J is all but full? (My RPU NRT GUM flight on 3/7 cleared at ticketing a couple weeks ago and now again it's J1 JN1 C1 D1 Z1 P1 PN1 PZ0 IN0 I0 (I think they were mostly 4s at the time). I guess they expect next to zero last-minute business fare sales?