Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
#3661
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Location: Bay Area
Programs: DL SM, UA MP.
Posts: 12,729
Do they have Polaris seats on those 787-10 transcons?
#3662
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Location: Honolulu Harbor
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#3663
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Bay Area
Programs: DL SM, UA MP.
Posts: 12,729
How many domestic routes are those flying?
I suppose not only are they hard to upgrade but probably little or no J saver inventory?
I suppose not only are they hard to upgrade but probably little or no J saver inventory?
#3664
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Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,413
In most cases, upgrade space would open before saver J inventory, so your supposition is correct. There is almost no saver J availability on these flights.
#3665
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,461
The point I was trying to make was the usual 752 has 16 seats available. You say regularly 20+ long list of upgrades (which I believe) - the 787-10 seats I think 44. So that would cover a 20+ long list easily. A Thursday morning (815am-417pm). flight seems like a slightly better option then most other west coast to east coast flights timing wise.
My 781 flight EWR-SFO on Sunday night had over 25 revenue pax on the waitlist (not counting NRSA) when the door closed.
#3666
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A daytime flight in PE for the price of Y is already a pretty awesome deal though
#3667
Join Date: Sep 2017
Programs: WN A-list., Marriott Plat, National EX, UA Silver
Posts: 289
What are my odds of getting a CPU on flight #1572 on 2/27 ERW-PDX as a Gold on a W fare? I see a lot of E+ seats taken so I am guess there are a good number of status flyers on this flight (likely higher than me). Debating if I want to use try for a CPU or use a voucher to buy up. Would be worth it on a 6 hour flight.
Current fares showing: J9 JN9 C9 D7 Z7 ZN7 PN7 PZ5 IN2 I2
Current fares showing: J9 JN9 C9 D7 Z7 ZN7 PN7 PZ5 IN2 I2
Last edited by flyguy6; Feb 21, 2019 at 11:06 pm
#3668
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Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,413
What are my odds of getting a CPU on flight #1572 on 2/27 ERW-PDX as a Gold on a W fare?
It's only booked 9/20, but I agree that there appear to be a significant number of premier travelers already on the flight. Also, they'll sell a few more tickets between now and then, and they'll sell some TODs at check-in -- some other people will have the same opinion as you do, that it's worth it for a six-hour flight.
With PZ5, you also have the option to use 17.5K miles to confirm the upgrade immediately.
#3669
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I think 30% sounds about right. 11 empty in F and 12 assigned in E+. Unfortunately I have seen a lot of takers of TODs these days as the economy improves, but you do at least have a fighting chance.
#3670
Join Date: Oct 2016
Location: SBA
Programs: UA Gold 1MM, Marriott Gold, IHG Plat, Hertz PC
Posts: 941
30% at best, and that's if everything goes right. If there's a cancellation on an earlier PDX flight, that'll go to zero.
It's only booked 9/20, but I agree that there appear to be a significant number of premier travelers already on the flight. Also, they'll sell a few more tickets between now and then, and they'll sell some TODs at check-in -- some other people will have the same opinion as you do, that it's worth it for a six-hour flight.
With PZ5, you also have the option to use 17.5K miles to confirm the upgrade immediately.
It's only booked 9/20, but I agree that there appear to be a significant number of premier travelers already on the flight. Also, they'll sell a few more tickets between now and then, and they'll sell some TODs at check-in -- some other people will have the same opinion as you do, that it's worth it for a six-hour flight.
With PZ5, you also have the option to use 17.5K miles to confirm the upgrade immediately.
#3671
Join Date: Jun 2018
Posts: 489
I would use an rpu
confirmed instant
eta, I just saw that you're gold and don't have rpus.
Maybe you can find someone that has and is willing to gift it to you
confirmed instant
eta, I just saw that you're gold and don't have rpus.
Maybe you can find someone that has and is willing to gift it to you
#3672
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That would leave such a raw taste for me since a new saver ticket would only be 25k. Unless original fare was really small, like $100.
#3673
Join Date: Sep 2017
Programs: WN A-list., Marriott Plat, National EX, UA Silver
Posts: 289
Thanks for all input everyone. I saw PZ drop to 3 today. I decided I didn't want to take my chance for a CPU and used my voucher to buy up to first (D fare). Plus getting 200% PQM's is nice too.
#3674
formerly Goflyer100
Join Date: Jul 2015
Programs: DL Platinum Medallion - Hilton Diamond
Posts: 161
During Easter weekend, I'm flying HAM-FRA-EWR-FRA-HAM with 2 other persons so we're 3 persons on the same reservation. I want to use my 6 GPUs for this trip and I see this is possible. My question is what will happen if there is just space for 1 or 2 persons. Will only 1 or 2 persons be upgraded to business class and the third one will be seated in economy plus? I understand that it is harder to upgrade 3 people to business class. I also see an option for upgrading to Premium Plus bus I don't want to use my GPUs for this. And GPUs for 1K members are cleared 96 hours before departure or even earlier?
#3675
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
During Easter weekend, I'm flying HAM-FRA-EWR-FRA-HAM with 2 other persons so we're 3 persons on the same reservation. I want to use my 6 GPUs for this trip and I see this is possible. My question is what will happen if there is just space for 1 or 2 persons. Will only 1 or 2 persons be upgraded to business class and the third one will be seated in economy plus? I understand that it is harder to upgrade 3 people to business class. I also see an option for upgrading to Premium Plus bus I don't want to use my GPUs for this. And GPUs for 1K members are cleared 96 hours before departure or even earlier?
If you are 3 passengers in your reservation, if they release 1 or 2 PZ at any time until check-in your group of 3 will be bypassed in favor of the next passenger on the upgrade waiting list traveling alone (PZ1) or traveling with only one companion (PZ2). After check-in, I think that they separate the PNR and then yes 1 or 2 of your group might get the upgrade and the rest will be in Economy + or if you are lucky all 3 get upgraded.
Have you checked how many business class seats are already sold on your flight? And what are the fare codes available? If you see a high number for PN (like PN5 to PN9), then there are higher chances that they open some PZ.