Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
#2881
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: USA
Programs: UA Gold, Marriott Gold
Posts: 1,195
It's now 33/39. I would say you have to watch out for passengers taking TODs. But if you don't get upgraded before check-in, you will be able to answer a question that was posed many times: do you get TOD offers when you have a waitlisted miles + copay? I know that you get TOD offers when you have a GPU waitlisted but never had to test the proposition with miles + copay since I was always upgraded before check-in when using that upgrade instrument. Please, come back and let us know the outcome.
#2882
Join Date: May 2016
Location: EWR
Posts: 59
Should I check in 24 hours before or stay not checked in? Does that change the arithmetic?
#2883
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
I can answer that question right now. I never got TOD offers for my DEN-LHR flight which I had waitlisted for a month with miles+copay. The flight started with over 12 seats available in J (but PN0) and stayed that way until about a week and a half to 2 weeks before the flight. A week before the flight it still had 6 or 7 seats open in J but it was sold out a day or two before the flight. 2 seats opened up on the day of the flight and 2 people got upgrades but that was it. Never once saw a TOD offer.
Last edited by WineCountryUA; Jun 26, 2018 at 11:25 pm Reason: merging consecutive posts by same member
#2884
Join Date: May 2016
Location: EWR
Posts: 59
Still holding at 6 with about T-26...so we shall see
#2885
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: San Francisco, CA (SFO)
Programs: UA 1K, UA .53 MM, Marriott Gold, Nexus, GE, TSA Pre, Hertz PC
Posts: 581
The lady and I are flying SFO-IAH-MSY on Tuesday, July 3rd; 19 days away
UA540, SFO-IAH, departing at 7:34 AM: .....ZN8, P7, PN7, R4, RN4, IN3, I3
Flight Status shows 5 of 16 booked
UA1131, IAH-MSY, departing at 3:20 PM: ....ZN9, P9, PN8, R6, RN6, IN4, I4
Flight Status shows 8 of 20 booked
Inventory has been looking better and better as we get closer to departure...but will it hold long enough for the CPU?
UA540, SFO-IAH, departing at 7:34 AM: .....ZN8, P7, PN7, R4, RN4, IN3, I3
Flight Status shows 5 of 16 booked
UA1131, IAH-MSY, departing at 3:20 PM: ....ZN9, P9, PN8, R6, RN6, IN4, I4
Flight Status shows 8 of 20 booked
Inventory has been looking better and better as we get closer to departure...but will it hold long enough for the CPU?
Day before 4th and upgrade/award inventories show low business travel day (not many people are going to stuffing a travel trip into a work week with a mid-week holiday. I'd be optimistically hoping for a CPU instead of using certs.
I inventory will decrease before R - I'd just keep and eye on 'em.
I inventory will decrease before R - I'd just keep and eye on 'em.
UA540, SFO-IAH, departing at 7:34 AM: .....F7, A6, JN7, C6, D6, Z6, ZN6, P6, PN6, R3, RN3, IN2, I0
Flight Status shows 9 of 16 booked. 26 of 45 E+ seats are available per the seat map. My guerrilla estimate says that of the 19 people currently sitting in E+, six (6) are 1K or higher. I'm thinking that this will be one of those times where my companion and I wait to check-in.
UA1131, IAH-MSY, departing at 3:20 PM: ....ZN9, P9, PN9, R9, RN9, IN6, I0
Flight Status shows 8 of 20 booked...I feel confident that this will clear.
#2886
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,414
UA540, SFO-IAH, departing at 7:34 AM: .....F7, A6, JN7, C6, D6, Z6, ZN6, P6, PN6, R3, RN3, IN2, I0
Flight Status shows 9 of 16 booked. 26 of 45 E+ seats are available per the seat map. My guerrilla estimate says that of the 19 people currently sitting in E+, six (6) are 1K or higher. I'm thinking that this will be one of those times where my companion and I wait to check-in.
Flight Status shows 9 of 16 booked. 26 of 45 E+ seats are available per the seat map. My guerrilla estimate says that of the 19 people currently sitting in E+, six (6) are 1K or higher. I'm thinking that this will be one of those times where my companion and I wait to check-in.
#2887
Join Date: Oct 2016
Location: SBA
Programs: UA Gold 1MM, Marriott Gold, IHG Plat, Hertz PC
Posts: 941
Hi - what are the rules again for me upgrading as a Gold, traveling on the same confirmation as a non-elite? Do I still need to manually split the reservation for me to be possibly upgraded at T-48, and then put the companion on the upgrade list at the airport?
Thanks in advance!
Thanks in advance!
#2888
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,414
Hi - what are the rules again for me upgrading as a Gold, traveling on the same confirmation as a non-elite? Do I still need to manually split the reservation for me to be possibly upgraded at T-48, and then put the companion on the upgrade list at the airport?
Thanks in advance!
Thanks in advance!
If you choose not to split, you will not be eligible for battlefield upgrades and will not show up on the upgrade standby list.
#2890
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
You will upgraded both-or-none, as long as the PNR is not split. When you check in, you may choose to split the PNR. Once it is split, you will be eligible separately for CPU.
If you choose not to split, you will not be eligible for battlefield upgrades and will not show up on the upgrade standby list.
If you choose not to split, you will not be eligible for battlefield upgrades and will not show up on the upgrade standby list.
#2891
Join Date: Oct 2016
Location: SBA
Programs: UA Gold 1MM, Marriott Gold, IHG Plat, Hertz PC
Posts: 941
It is safe to opt to split the records (as long as you are willing to take a risk of not sitting together if one upgrade clears and the other doesn't). After the records are split, they are still referenced in case of irrops, and the companion will still keep the same upgrade priority on future segments in the itinerary.... safe play all around, and my Mrs and I usually opt to split the res and get the upgrades.... most of the time we either both get it or both miss horribly.
#2892
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 25
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Chances of an upgrade on UA 875, 08/04/18? Using a GPU as platinum status.
Also UA2 on 08/12/18? This time using miles + cash as a platinum.
Thanks!
Also UA2 on 08/12/18? This time using miles + cash as a platinum.
Thanks!
#2893
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Tough to say for both. Your chances are better for the HND flight I would dare to say. My experience with UA1 and UA2 are that there are many many last minute J purchases and that the seat map will dwindle quickly within the 2 week mark. As a GS for the last couple years, I was upgraded at T<48hr in all cases on UA1 and UA2, and it usually came down to the last couple seats. Sunday is typically a business-heavy travel day for SIN-SFO, so good luck.... I wouldn't hold out too much hope for that one, especially since they are not releasing anything below D class in the available inventory. This means all GS are still waitlisted for upgrades... as well as any 1K. The HND has P inventory opened up... lots of open seats... so hopefully they will begin to leak out some PN and R to clear some people....
#2894
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,406
If you were flying through LAX, you might have a shot.
#2895
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: San Francisco
Programs: UA MM Plat, UA 1MM, Hilton Lifetime Gold, Marriott Gold, Hertz Gold, CLEAR, AS MVP Gold
Posts: 3,620
The chance of clearing UA2 as a Platinum, on a Sunday, prior to the introduction of the second daily SFO flight, is essentially zero. Every single GS and 1K on the flight will have an instrument applied, as will anyone who knows a GS with some to spare — and all of those people would be ahead of a Platinum.
If you were flying through LAX, you might have a shot.