WN to Hawaii - Impact on UA after increased capacity announcements
#16
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Japan
Posts: 5,577
#17
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 1,639
ONT would seem a likely choice at some point as HA adds A321s. WN may beat them to the punch though.
#18
Join Date: Feb 2008
Programs: 6 year GS, now 2MM Jeff-ugee, *wood LTPlt, SkyPeso PLT
Posts: 6,526
I know I am not WN's target market, but California to Hawaii is too long a flight for me to buy without a confirmed seat assignment. Also, having E+ is very important to me on a flight that long.
Though, I recall reading that the 737-MAX will have more generous seat widths.
But bocastephen is right: it depends on the exact routes. I feel like LAX/SFO are fairly saturated to Hawaii already. And although it is a leisure destination, it is generally (though not necessarily) a more expensive one than, say, Florida, so I don't know how much more demand there will be just because the flights are cheaper.
Though, I recall reading that the 737-MAX will have more generous seat widths.
But bocastephen is right: it depends on the exact routes. I feel like LAX/SFO are fairly saturated to Hawaii already. And although it is a leisure destination, it is generally (though not necessarily) a more expensive one than, say, Florida, so I don't know how much more demand there will be just because the flights are cheaper.
But what you are missing is that WN is NOT going to be counting on these flights as O/D, rather they will be connecting a lot of passengers. WN has a very large domestic market share. WN has a 19.1 market share, DL is 18.3%, AA is 19.9%, and UA is stuck back at 14.5%. WN passengers also come from markets that other carriers don't serve as well. These flights are designed to connect a lot of people. Think someone ex-BNA, they probably fly WN anyway, and now can stay on line to Hawaii.
What I find interesting about this is the decission to do this with existing equipment, I had understood they were going to wait for the MAX.
#19
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: LAX/TPE
Programs: United 1K, JAL Sapphire, SPG Lifetime Platinum, National Executive Elite, Hertz PC, Avis PC
Posts: 42,203
Not only that, but a small premium could be charged given the savings in time, gas, parking and other hassles anyone east of the 57 freeway would need to deal with going to LAX vs ONT. Flights from ONT pull from a massive catchment stretching from around mid-way between the 605 and 57, up through the High Desert, and down the 15 into Temecula - on the east, the catchment can stretch all the way to Palm Springs assuming you can do a nonstop from ONT to key destinations that would otherwise require 2+ stops from PSP. Last year one of the Chinese airlines was planning nonstop service from ONT, but so far I don't see any updates on that service starting, either.
I could never understand why ONT is so underutilized given the population and businesses that rival that of many large cities with a fully functional and busy airport, so let's hope this is airport #1 on WN's Hawaii list.
#20
Moderator, Amtrak & Spirit Airlines
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: EWR :rolleyes:
Programs: AC 50K, AS MVP, AA Plat Pro, DL Plat, UA Silver, IHG Spire, Marriott Titanium, Hertz PC
Posts: 9,624
I can't understand this either - not just for Hawaiian, but for any airline that can run an aircraft into ONT first thing in the morning, send it to HNL, bring it back in the afternoon, then send it on a redeye back to where it came from.
Not only that, but a small premium could be charged given the savings in time, gas, parking and other hassles anyone east of the 57 freeway would need to deal with going to LAX vs ONT. Flights from ONT pull from a massive catchment stretching from around mid-way between the 605 and 57, up through the High Desert, and down the 15 into Temecula - on the east, the catchment can stretch all the way to Palm Springs assuming you can do a nonstop from ONT to key destinations that would otherwise require 2+ stops from PSP. Last year one of the Chinese airlines was planning nonstop service from ONT, but so far I don't see any updates on that service starting, either.
I could never understand why ONT is so underutilized given the population and businesses that rival that of many large cities with a fully functional and busy airport, so let's hope this is airport #1 on WN's Hawaii list.
Not only that, but a small premium could be charged given the savings in time, gas, parking and other hassles anyone east of the 57 freeway would need to deal with going to LAX vs ONT. Flights from ONT pull from a massive catchment stretching from around mid-way between the 605 and 57, up through the High Desert, and down the 15 into Temecula - on the east, the catchment can stretch all the way to Palm Springs assuming you can do a nonstop from ONT to key destinations that would otherwise require 2+ stops from PSP. Last year one of the Chinese airlines was planning nonstop service from ONT, but so far I don't see any updates on that service starting, either.
I could never understand why ONT is so underutilized given the population and businesses that rival that of many large cities with a fully functional and busy airport, so let's hope this is airport #1 on WN's Hawaii list.
http://www.dailybulletin.com/2017/09...n-spring-2018/
#21
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jun 2001
Programs: DL 1 million, AA 1 mil, HH lapsed Diamond, Marriott Plat
Posts: 28,190
WN announced it will be seeking ETOPS to start flying to Hawaii, more than likely from the west coast with the new 737-MAX but starting with the 737-800.
No schedule is announced yet, other than flights will be available to book sometime in 2018.
With United already adding capacity starting December 20th of this year (http://newsroom.united.com/2017-06-1...-Daily-Flights), what do you think the impact of WN adding more seats will do to demand and pricing?
Or will this over saturate the Hawaii-bound market?
https://www.southwestaircommunity.co...aby/ba-p/61199
No schedule is announced yet, other than flights will be available to book sometime in 2018.
With United already adding capacity starting December 20th of this year (http://newsroom.united.com/2017-06-1...-Daily-Flights), what do you think the impact of WN adding more seats will do to demand and pricing?
Or will this over saturate the Hawaii-bound market?
https://www.southwestaircommunity.co...aby/ba-p/61199
#22
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: LAX/TPE
Programs: United 1K, JAL Sapphire, SPG Lifetime Platinum, National Executive Elite, Hertz PC, Avis PC
Posts: 42,203
ONT-TPE was announced on China Airlines a couple weeks ago.
http://www.dailybulletin.com/2017/09...n-spring-2018/
http://www.dailybulletin.com/2017/09...n-spring-2018/
#23
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: ZOA, SFO, HKG
Programs: UA 1K 0.9MM, Marriott Gold, HHonors Gold, Hertz PC, SBux Gold, TSA Pre✓
Posts: 13,811
WN pricing has been similar with others, except for certain routes. Beside - unless other routes, WN's route to Hawaii will cost (labor, hotel, fuel, etc.) So IMHO - there is not much WN can do to start a revolution in the Hawaiian market.
#24
Join Date: Sep 2008
Programs: UA 1K, Marriott Gold, Hilton Gold, Starwood Gold
Posts: 951
Would love for UA to compete on that LAS-HNL leg. Much better connection than LAX or SFO, and would make a fun pit stop before the island hopper :-).
#26
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: DC Suburbs
Programs: DL Gold, Hilton Gold, Carnival VIFP Gold, Hyatt Discoverist
Posts: 459
+1 My reason is however different.
WN pricing has been similar with others, except for certain routes. Beside - unless other routes, WN's route to Hawaii will cost (labor, hotel, fuel, etc.) So IMHO - there is not much WN can do to start a revolution in the Hawaiian market.
WN pricing has been similar with others, except for certain routes. Beside - unless other routes, WN's route to Hawaii will cost (labor, hotel, fuel, etc.) So IMHO - there is not much WN can do to start a revolution in the Hawaiian market.
The rumors that WN is considering inter-island flights (possibly as a "triangle" flight OAK-HNL-OGG-OAK or something like that) are also very interesting; HA's party would be over in terms of charging customers $25 to check a bag for such short hops.
#27
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 553
https://www.hawaiianairlines.com/bagfees
#28
Join Date: Mar 2012
Programs: Mileage Plus 1K; Marriott Platinum; Hilton Gold
Posts: 6,355
Clarifying note: any member of HA's FF program can get $15 checked bags on neighbor-island flights:
https://www.hawaiianairlines.com/bagfees
https://www.hawaiianairlines.com/bagfees
#29
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL
Posts: 3,360
I could never understand why ONT is so underutilized given the population and businesses that rival that of many large cities with a fully functional and busy airport, so let's hope this is airport #1 on WN's Hawaii list.
More information on that topic (as well as vehement disagreement) can be found on this FT thread:
Los Angeles to give up control of Ontario International Airport
If you are unfamiliar, ONT is now under local control. Improvements will be slow, but can examples can be seen. One is the China Airlines announcement that Long Train Runnin mentioned. The ONT-specific FT thread for that topic can be found here:
ONT Expands Domestic and International Service
#30
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 57,595
As badly as UA has slipped, there is simply no way I'm flying an airline that doesn't offer F seats or advance seat selection in Y. We're planning a trip to HI next year, and as long as UA has the nonstop from IAD, that's going to be our first choice.