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Obligatory: Delta to go rev based for earning miles, when will UA follow?

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Obligatory: Delta to go rev based for earning miles, when will UA follow?

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Old Feb 26, 2014, 2:32 pm
  #166  
 
Join Date: Dec 2011
Programs: United 1.9MM
Posts: 168
Originally Posted by bocastephen
3) the Elite customer who holds a discount ticket but checks a bag for free, gets E+ for free, never buys inflight food, never buys DirecTV, changes awar tickets for less money or free, etc etc - discard
I'm one of these, and I know the writing is on the wall. One of our merits is that we don't tend to sleep around. We stick with the same gal even when prettier ones offer better deals. Maybe it will be for the best if UA cuts us loose, and overall travel spend drops.
dgdevil is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 2:43 pm
  #167  
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Programs: UA PremExec
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The thing I wonder about UA following (which will happen eventually) is that it just rolled out a new system for earning elite status, which I think is a reasonable mix of miles and revenue. If you keep changing this every few months, does it just become too difficult to keep track of? My guess UA waits a bit to see how it pans for Delta before it follows. A year or two.
UAkls is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 2:46 pm
  #168  
 
Join Date: May 2000
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Posts: 3,317
Originally Posted by UAkls
The thing I wonder about UA following (which will happen eventually) is that it just rolled out a new system for earning elite status, which I think is a reasonable mix of miles and revenue. If you keep changing this every few months, does it just become too difficult to keep track of? My guess UA waits a bit to see how it pans for Delta before it follows. A year or two.
That would sure be nice, but I don't know if the decision makers are wise enough to do that.
JNelson113 is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 2:50 pm
  #169  
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Los Angeles
Programs: AA EXP, Hyatt Diamond, SPG Gold, Marriott Silver
Posts: 123
Well, let's just all write emails to the MileagePlus desk, and who knows, perhaps we'll get a response in 2016.
thenecropolist is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 2:52 pm
  #170  
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Originally Posted by Lurker1999
I think this is a good year to start moving to Kayak. Since everything is for sale in one form or another, why not fly on schedule and acknowledge the new reality that frequent flyer programs are going to evolve just as every other part of the air travel experience has?

Expedited security: Global Entry/Pre-check
Expedited boarding: "Elite" status, credit card or pay per flight
Baggage allowance: "Elite" status, credit card or pay per flight
E+/premium economy: "Elite" status or pay per flight
Domestic first class: "Elite" upgrades or pay per flight
Meal: To-go bag from the airport, buy on board/pre-order/sit in FC (but only during the right times of the day!)
International premium cabins: Pay by miles, instruments or per flight

The only real benefit you can't buy your way into is a better stand-by position for involuntary reroutings.
One reason is employer reimbursement policies. If I fly on UA and pay $350 for my ticket that's when they pay for. I get an E+ seat (or upgrade) and free bags. If I fly some cheapo airline for $250 and pay $25 for priority boarding and $25 for a checked bag, they only reimburse $250.
milepig is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 2:58 pm
  #171  
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 5
If it is more challenging to earn miles flying, does this change the value of buying miles for around 2 cents / mile? If you knew in advance that United was following Delta, and you had the opportunity to purchase at around 2 cents / mile, would you max out that opportunity?
gunther is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 3:01 pm
  #172  
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Originally Posted by JNelson113
That would sure be nice, but I don't know if the decision makers are wise enough to do that.
A smart leader would certainly wait to gauge the impact on the early adopter before joining, as well as gauge the willingness of other competitors to follow before jumping in - but unfortunately UA leadership does nothing but copy everything Delta does, lock step as if on queue - which is really quite sad as it displays such an incredible lack of innovation, thought or leadership in general.

Of course due to Delta's own sloppy and incompetent job postings to recruit people to program these changes, the cat was out of the bag a long time ago and everyone had a free look at what was coming in rather gnawing detail.
bocastephen is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 3:01 pm
  #173  
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Programs: UA 1K, Hilton ♦ , Hyatt Carbonado, Wyndham ♦, Marriott PE, "Stinking Bum" elsewhere.
Posts: 5,006
Originally Posted by villox
So what, you think the IRS is going to come up with some formula, that varies for every single airline program in the world btw, that also takes account for who paid for each ticket (cause surely if I paid for the ticket I won't be taxed on this "rebate") and then start asking us to fill out income tax forms for them?

I think not.
Look, Amazon and other national online retailers are already required to collect and/or report sales taxes for 20 states. That's a lot of different tax rates/jurisdictions to keep track of. Yet, they do it easily. Eventually, they will be collecting tax/reporting sales for Use Tax collection to every state with a tax.

The airlines would be responsible for reporting the miles. Values could be determined like the hundreds of different per diem rates are right now. Not really that difficult so long as miles earned are tied directly to the cost of travel.
zombietooth is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 3:06 pm
  #174  
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: NJ
Programs: United Silver, Hyatt, Marriott Gold, HHonors Gold, Amex Plat, Global Entry
Posts: 751
Just for understanding,

If UA did this....based on DL calculator......what would a EWR-HKG..... in Business (Z) class.....which costs me on average $7,500... get me miles wise?

Currently as a Gold I would earn approx 32,000 miles. What would it jump to?
elg26 is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 3:12 pm
  #175  
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
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Posts: 5,006
Originally Posted by elg26
Just for understanding,

If UA did this....based on DL calculator......what would a EWR-HKG..... in Business (Z) class.....which costs me on average $7,500... get me miles wise?

Currently as a Gold I would earn approx 32,000 miles. What would it jump to?
Max per flight is 75k miles, so that is what you would earn.
zombietooth is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 3:27 pm
  #176  
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Philadelphia, PA USA
Programs: CO Silver, HHonors Gold, Marriott Silver
Posts: 982
Originally Posted by PVDtoDEL


This is the beginning of the end of the miles game as we know it.
Closer to the end of the end, not the beginning of the end. The end began long before this move.
cmdinnyc is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 3:34 pm
  #177  
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
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Originally Posted by bocastephen
Within this community, please raise your hand if you're a frequent traveler as part of your job and you would gladly continue work travel if your RDM earnings were slashed by 50-70% and your options for redeeming free tickets for vacations and other benefits like upgrades were significantly reduced - in essence you spent all this time traveling, including weekends and evenings, your personal time, and receive no benefit for doing so. Would you continue traveling as-is, attempt to reduce travel at your current position, or begin looking for a new position with little to no mandatory travel?
If all those things happened, then I would probably attempt to reduce travel in my current position.

I'm not yet convinced that the loss of RDMs and the loss of elite benefits are necessarily correlated, though. I would gladly give up significant RDMs (which I don't use nearly to their potential) for better elite benefits.
dtremit is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 3:58 pm
  #178  
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Originally Posted by dtremit
If all those things happened, then I would probably attempt to reduce travel in my current position.

I'm not yet convinced that the loss of RDMs and the loss of elite benefits are necessarily correlated, though. I would gladly give up significant RDMs (which I don't use nearly to their potential) for better elite benefits.
Not correlated, but a possible next move. US offered Elite status only on Y/B fares in 2001 and their customers blasted them over the move and no one followed. If Delta's customers blast them over this move, especially when the new award chart is released later in the year, and no one follows them, my bet is Delta will retract this change if enough HVF vent their anger and move. I know it *could* happen, because a HVF revolt sunk previous DL management when they got too cute.

Remember, there is little to no chance your surrender of RDMs, which are useful, will result in better Elite benefits or an improved inflight product. United under Smisek will offer reduced RDM's, a 'catch-up' product, and pretty much the same Elite benefits as today, continued to be sold out from under Elites to Kettles who are willing to buy them per trip.

I'm trying not to get too worked up over this change due to the following:

1) I don't fly Delta
2) UA has not announced it will match - nor has AA
3) without seeing the award chart, we don't know the full impact
4) with manufactured spend and gaming the credit card system, I can make up the missing RDM's along with some strategic per trip RDM purchases if UA makes this change, and still offers RDMs for purchase - as long as I can earn elite miles and GPUs, I will continue to fly and earn status so I can use the benefits that make flying something between passable and pleasant

If this change occurs over here, and there are people who are in a bind due to the loss of RDMs they need, I'm sure we can arrange for a private tutoring event away from the prying eyes of Chase and United for manufacturing spend to make up the difference for a fraction of the cost of spending the extra dollars on airfare.
bocastephen is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 4:01 pm
  #179  
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Programs: United 1MM
Posts: 318
Here's why I'm pretty against DL's new system and if it came into UA. This would be a crude and simple model, but there are costs associated with flying that are both mileage independent and mileage dependent. In other words, the cost of flying could be something like C = S + a * D, where S is some mileage-independent cost, 'a' is some cost/mile, and D is the distance flown. I'm writing these as airline costs, not revenue. S is based on landing/take-off costs, airport and gate costs, etc that have nothing/little to do with mileage.

In terms of profitability, an airline can't just look at the ticket cost of a particular flight. It has to account for the mileage as well. In that sense, a fair FF program to both the consumer and the airline would be one that weights BOTH ticket cost AND mileage flown. The past model has always been the latter, and now DL is shifting to almost completely the former (except using mileage as part of its status earning).

I see DL's move as being quite unfair to long haul flyers and the cost-profit that they represent. This could potentially be a move by DL to reduce their international flights and rely more on partners for these travel needs. The demand for their long haul flights is definitely going to drop.

If UA adopts the same policy, then my days with MP are numbered. I might stay another 3.5 or 4 years or so to get to 1MM status, or move to SQ's program straight away. Worst case for me, I *gulp* join QF's ridiculous FF program, or tolerate the low earnings AA gives QF tickets on discount economy tickets. It would still be better than DL's ridiculous move.

UA announced PQD in mid-June or so last year. I figure, if they don't announce a change of this magnitude in the next month or two, then it won't be happening for 2015. UA would be smart to hold off a year and try to get as many DL jumpers as possible. I could see 2016 as the year it all ends.
briank1973 is offline  
Old Feb 26, 2014, 4:04 pm
  #180  
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Originally Posted by bocastephen
You're thinking of the old AA - the new AA run by Baldanza disciple and buffoon Doug Parker is going to make life very difficult for AA members who are not buying full fare tickets unless the AAdvantage program leadership/rank+file is retained from the AA side and the VP in charge has the cojones to stand up to Parker.

Remember, we're talking about a "leader" who couldn't even finish integrating his last merger - and I've seen an America West logo still on the rudder of a half-painted US jet within the last year.
Actually, I believe the AA VP is in charge of the FFP.

If AA offers the status match from DL, it would be foolish to pull the same crap and piss off the HVFs it just poached.

Dougie may have done some stupid things and may be on the cheap side, but he'll go with an idea if it turns out to be a money maker. He's also not afraid to reverse course if he's wrong too.
Superguy is offline  


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