Do FFPs really cause increased air fares?
#16

Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: SEA
Posts: 398
Originally Posted by danM
Well, it's more like a tax on the general economy which benefits a small segment of the flying population (i.e. FlyerTalkers)....
Also, was "expansive" a Freudian slip? I know that the FF programs have led to more expansive seats for me, at least
Dan
Also, was "expansive" a Freudian slip? I know that the FF programs have led to more expansive seats for me, at least

Dan
#17
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FFPs are one area where I can say America still reigns supreme. Maybe the manufacturing is moving to China and the trade deficit is a wreck, but nobody does the FFP like the U.S. carriers.
Most airlines worldwide would look at it and see mostly added costs to administer the program, plus the possibility of giving away "free" tickets that might have been sold.
More to the point, the airlines probably don't have enough competition, at least in their hub, to think they have to offer a loyalty program.
As has been mentioned, though, the reality can be much more complex. You can make money from selling miles for non-flight activity. You can make money from your mailing list or e-mail list and advertising on behalf of partners. You can get people to take flights they wouldn't otherwise take, usually in seats that would go unfilled anyway, to get awards in seats that you control and also might well go unfilled otherwise. The FFP not only has the ability to take business from others, but also the ability to get new business under some circumstances.
There are also major potential secondary effects of wise SPENDING of miles for tourism. Many places I've been on awards (Majuro, Kosrae, Pohnpei, Yap, Cook Islands, even South Dakota) might well be prohibitively priced as paid tickets. I have also done many places as stopovers on big awards (such as ROR on a recent Manila itin) that didn't have enough draw to be standalones. All those places got revenue that they wouldn't otherwise have gotten.
Most airlines worldwide would look at it and see mostly added costs to administer the program, plus the possibility of giving away "free" tickets that might have been sold.
More to the point, the airlines probably don't have enough competition, at least in their hub, to think they have to offer a loyalty program.
As has been mentioned, though, the reality can be much more complex. You can make money from selling miles for non-flight activity. You can make money from your mailing list or e-mail list and advertising on behalf of partners. You can get people to take flights they wouldn't otherwise take, usually in seats that would go unfilled anyway, to get awards in seats that you control and also might well go unfilled otherwise. The FFP not only has the ability to take business from others, but also the ability to get new business under some circumstances.
There are also major potential secondary effects of wise SPENDING of miles for tourism. Many places I've been on awards (Majuro, Kosrae, Pohnpei, Yap, Cook Islands, even South Dakota) might well be prohibitively priced as paid tickets. I have also done many places as stopovers on big awards (such as ROR on a recent Manila itin) that didn't have enough draw to be standalones. All those places got revenue that they wouldn't otherwise have gotten.
#18


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Originally Posted by zlc
On the grand economy, the administering of the FF program is wasted resource that does not generate value for the society, which makes everything more expansive than it should.
#19
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Just as a theme park makes money from people who pay for the experience of the rides and then spend most of their time standing in line, the airlines have people with mileage balances that leave most of them "standing in line" for their rides. And at the end of the day when the park closes, everyone standing in line has to simply leave.
#20

Join Date: Jan 2006
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Originally Posted by Standby4321
Just as a theme park makes money from people who pay for the experience of the rides and then spend most of their time standing in line, the airlines have people with mileage balances that leave most of them "standing in line" for their rides. And at the end of the day when the park closes, everyone standing in line has to simply leave. 

Infomation is POWER!
#21
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Originally Posted by zlc
The FFP program may be very profitable for the airlines, but where are those profit come from? Certainly not from the travellers. It's from those banks/shops who buy miles and give them out.
Look at the cost of a dozen roses without miles. Look at the cost with miles. You're paying double if not triple the total cost - just to get those miles. Now, that still might make sense for people like us who pay close attention to how we use miles. I recently bought about 5000 miles (using the UA 30 miles/$ code) along with various Valentine's Day flowers - grossly overpaying what I would have paid in cash to a streetcorner florist - because I already know I have a strong, near-term use of those miles.
Same with credit cards. There are 1.5% rebate cards out there. Every time I don't use one of these cards, I'm buying points. But again, I think I can get a lot more than 1.5 cents out of a Starpoint, because I know that, in general, I redeem them quickly for hotel stays at a decent rate.
Maybe for marketing, but I bet if any bank offers a $200 signing bonus with a 1.5% cash rebate, even with an annual fee, will be able to sign up new customers like crazy.

On the grand economy, the administering of the FF program is wasted resource that does not generate value for the society, which makes everything more expansive than it should.
#22
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Originally Posted by Standby4321
Just as a theme park makes money from people who pay for the experience of the rides and then spend most of their time standing in line, the airlines have people with mileage balances that leave most of them "standing in line" for their rides. And at the end of the day when the park closes, everyone standing in line has to simply leave. 

The Disney World equivalent of F class
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servl...ageRequested=1
#24

Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 1,326
Originally Posted by boazs
Do FFPs really cause increased air fares?
Originally Posted by pinniped
... the fact that I'm willing to prepay future travel that I might or might not use ...
All FFP's really do is aim to engender (profitable) loyalty. Is it done by bribery? Harsh word, but arguably describes the concept pretty well . . .
#25
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Originally Posted by hfly
gemac-
Ever hear of yield management?
Ever hear of yield management?
I have often seen the statement that selling miles is the most profitable business sector for airlines. While it is pretty easy to track revenues of these programs, I can tell you that 6 skilled and dedicated accountants would come up with 6 different answers on what the costs were. Probably true with 60 accountants.
#26
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Thee ae dozens of potential explanations as to why, no software is perfect, but take a look at load factors, I don't see AA with 98% loads, more like in the 80% area, take away the award tickets and you'll find it in the mid-70's, not far off from where it was when the programmes started. Try again.
#27
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: PHX
Posts: 3,794
The FFPs do cost money to operate. Like any promotion or advertisement, the only question is, do they generate more revenue than they cost? Obviously, virtually all of the airlines think they do.
You could argue that United fares would be lower if they didn't have to pay for those "Rhapsody in Blue" commercials.
You could argue that United fares would be lower if they didn't have to pay for those "Rhapsody in Blue" commercials.
#28
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Originally Posted by kiwibigdave
That's a theory I hadn't heard before, but not one I think I subscribe too. And the reason I don't? It assumes all buyers are equal and know that theory, and that you, as a FFer, pay a premium for your travel because you're aware of the future travel benefit. But the reality is much more likely to be the opposite - as a FFer you're probably a much smarter buyer of air travel, and you'll get better airfares than Joe Public precisely because you 'know the game'. Your decision making might be about the future travel benefit but for others it might be the present benefit - like lounge access. Or some combination. Or other factors.
I guess I could do it on my MCI-LHR and MCI-CDG tickets, but what little research I've done there (and it's been a while since I've looked) hasn't yielded very attractive wholesale deals.With hotels, yeah, every time I book a room at Marriott.com or SPG.com, I'm consciously making the decision to pay a premium for points, lounge access, and other perks that go with Gold status. There are plenty of easy-to-book, lower-cost hotel options that give me the base product (a room in whatever neighborhood/quality level I want) without all the extras, but most of the time I pass on them in favor of the more expensive direct-booking. So you're right...in the case of hotels, I do it for both the present and future benefits.
#29
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DOn't fprget the part the Airlines like the best: Most FF miles are not redeemed.
It the best deal going for the airlines. They are prepaid for a product the most customers don't use it.
It the best deal going for the airlines. They are prepaid for a product the most customers don't use it.
#30
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Originally Posted by pinniped
Well, I didn't really mean that I pay a premium for air miles: I don't really have a choice but to "buy" the miles. I rarely if ever fly routes where a seamless, reliable process for booking flights without miles. I don't think I can get my frequent MCI-ORD tickets at 20% off by going through a bucket shop.
I guess I could do it on my MCI-LHR and MCI-CDG tickets, but what little research I've done there (and it's been a while since I've looked) hasn't yielded very attractive wholesale deals.
I guess I could do it on my MCI-LHR and MCI-CDG tickets, but what little research I've done there (and it's been a while since I've looked) hasn't yielded very attractive wholesale deals.So, for example, for an upcoming trip to Japan, I will earn 30,000 miles on AA, vs. 15,000 on UA. In this case, I would value the miles on both carriers at one cent. I would pay up to $150 more for an AA ticket than a UA ticket, because I get more miles. Also, AA would win a tie, because if I fly them I will get lounge access, exit row seating, business/first checkin, and preboarding.
For a trip STL-MIA, I have a choice of AA or WN. This trip won't get me enough in WN's program to do anything with. An AA ticket will get me 6500 miles, and so I will pay up to $65 more for it. In addition, on AA I can book the DFW-MIA and MIA-DFW legs in the business-as-coach seats on the 777, so AA would win that tie. Since the ticket on AA will be about $140 all-in, it is pretty hard for WN to get my business for this flight.
So I am willing to pay more for tickets on AA than on other carriers, because of the benefits that AA's FFP gives me. Perhaps I'm being foolish, but it makes sense to me.

