Go Back  FlyerTalk Forums > Miles&Points > Mileage Run Deals > Mileage Run Discussion
Reload this Page >

The first two weeks of December?? Typical yearly behavior?

Community
Wiki Posts
Search

The first two weeks of December?? Typical yearly behavior?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Nov 27, 2013 | 4:47 pm
  #1  
Original Poster
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: Pacific NW
Posts: 48
The first two weeks of December?? Typical yearly behavior?

I'm fairly new to following all things MR related (and the frequent flyer world in general) but in the past 2-3 weeks or so of being completely dialed in on fares and watching the market I've noticed that the 2 weeks post Thanksgiving week seem to have extremely aggressive fare pricing (and not just regional).

My question is this a typical yearly seasonal low behavior, end of year financials push, or is it more typical of the 4-6 week supply/demand timeline?? Meaning that in 2-3 weeks can we expect to see a similar push for end of Jan/early Feb. fares (subject to demand of course)?? International fares that I've seen for $700 or so are running $1100 further out and I'm curious if this is just a one-off low demand season or is the typical cycle of airline pricing?

Thanks!
talmania is offline  
Old Nov 27, 2013 | 10:03 pm
  #2  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
All eyes on you!
15 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: BOS/ORH
Programs: Free Agent
Posts: 18,346
Originally Posted by talmania
I'm fairly new to following all things MR related (and the frequent flyer world in general) but in the past 2-3 weeks or so of being completely dialed in on fares and watching the market I've noticed that the 2 weeks post Thanksgiving week seem to have extremely aggressive fare pricing (and not just regional).

My question is this a typical yearly seasonal low behavior, end of year financials push, or is it more typical of the 4-6 week supply/demand timeline?? Meaning that in 2-3 weeks can we expect to see a similar push for end of Jan/early Feb. fares (subject to demand of course)?? International fares that I've seen for $700 or so are running $1100 further out and I'm curious if this is just a one-off low demand season or is the typical cycle of airline pricing?

Thanks!
The first 2 weeks in December are slower as business people are not flying and leisure travelers are either back home from Thanksgiving or waiting to leave for Christmas vacation. This period is low prices every year.
CDKing is offline  
Old Nov 28, 2013 | 10:01 am
  #3  
20 Nights
20 Countries Visited
1M
10 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Not NJ--where I grew up.
Programs: AA EXP1 MM, HH Diamond, National Executive
Posts: 604
It is interesting for me being a new guy (started this past April as FF) to watch the MR requests come out of the woodwork (esp. last couple of weeks). Airline pricing is always cyclical and better analytics means they are more dynamic than ever before --- lots more small, incremental changes than few larger scale ones.
CaptRobPhD is offline  
Old Nov 28, 2013 | 5:14 pm
  #4  
20 Countries Visited
2M
All eyes on you!
15 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: San Diego, Ca
Programs: AA 2MM LT PLT; AS Atmos Gold; Honors Diamond; IHG PLT
Posts: 4,261
Expect the same for mid-late January.
diver858 is offline  
Old Nov 29, 2013 | 2:21 am
  #5  
10 Countries Visited20 Countries Visited30 Countries Visited10 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: PHL
Programs: UA 1K
Posts: 188
These post-thanksgiving pre-christmas low fares happen every year, more or less. these prices typically match up with low season (i.e. late jan - pre-spring break, post-spring break - late may, late sept- thanksgiving)...but one thing ive noticed lately is that booking further out is typically ~$10-20 more expensive than boking closer in during the low season..
zhangbear is offline  


Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.