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-   -   The first two weeks of December?? Typical yearly behavior? (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/mileage-run-discussion/1525657-first-two-weeks-december-typical-yearly-behavior.html)

talmania Nov 27, 2013 4:47 pm

The first two weeks of December?? Typical yearly behavior?
 
I'm fairly new to following all things MR related (and the frequent flyer world in general) but in the past 2-3 weeks or so of being completely dialed in on fares and watching the market I've noticed that the 2 weeks post Thanksgiving week seem to have extremely aggressive fare pricing (and not just regional).

My question is this a typical yearly seasonal low behavior, end of year financials push, or is it more typical of the 4-6 week supply/demand timeline?? Meaning that in 2-3 weeks can we expect to see a similar push for end of Jan/early Feb. fares (subject to demand of course)?? International fares that I've seen for $700 or so are running $1100 further out and I'm curious if this is just a one-off low demand season or is the typical cycle of airline pricing?

Thanks!

CDKing Nov 27, 2013 10:03 pm


Originally Posted by talmania (Post 21866011)
I'm fairly new to following all things MR related (and the frequent flyer world in general) but in the past 2-3 weeks or so of being completely dialed in on fares and watching the market I've noticed that the 2 weeks post Thanksgiving week seem to have extremely aggressive fare pricing (and not just regional).

My question is this a typical yearly seasonal low behavior, end of year financials push, or is it more typical of the 4-6 week supply/demand timeline?? Meaning that in 2-3 weeks can we expect to see a similar push for end of Jan/early Feb. fares (subject to demand of course)?? International fares that I've seen for $700 or so are running $1100 further out and I'm curious if this is just a one-off low demand season or is the typical cycle of airline pricing?

Thanks!

The first 2 weeks in December are slower as business people are not flying and leisure travelers are either back home from Thanksgiving or waiting to leave for Christmas vacation. This period is low prices every year.

CaptRobPhD Nov 28, 2013 10:01 am

It is interesting for me being a new guy (started this past April as FF) to watch the MR requests come out of the woodwork (esp. last couple of weeks). Airline pricing is always cyclical and better analytics means they are more dynamic than ever before --- lots more small, incremental changes than few larger scale ones.

diver858 Nov 28, 2013 5:14 pm

Expect the same for mid-late January.

zhangbear Nov 29, 2013 2:21 am

These post-thanksgiving pre-christmas low fares happen every year, more or less. these prices typically match up with low season (i.e. late jan - pre-spring break, post-spring break - late may, late sept- thanksgiving)...but one thing ive noticed lately is that booking further out is typically ~$10-20 more expensive than boking closer in during the low season..


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