Who benefits from MS? Who loses?
#76
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 90
No one loses
$1 billion in gift cards went unredeemed last year. When you as a consumer either choose not to, or forget to, redeem a gift card everyone on the other side of the equation wins. Obviously, that problem isn't persistent in the FT community. And it's probably less of an issue with the bank issued cards, but I bet there's still some money being left on the table by less knowledgable people losing cards, throwing away cards with a balance, or forgetting to unload them.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/1-b...med-2013-11-27
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/1-b...med-2013-11-27
#77
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Los Angles
Posts: 2,101
When you use MS to get points to get a free (or almost) free seat on an airplane, there's now 1 less seat on that plane. Now let's assume you wouldn't have made this trip if you didn't have the points you gained from MS. So Demand for seats is still the same but the Supply has shrunk.. -> ticket prices will go up.
Thing with airlines is that unlike other widgets, there's no way to increase the supply of airplane seats in a short period of time (the supply is relatively inelastic.) So prices will rise as airlines, like most businesses, are fundamentally greedy and will charge as high of a price as possible as long as it maximizes profits.
Say there are X seats available on a particular route among all participating airlines, and demand is X at the current prices. Now suppose due to MS, the supply of seats is now only 0.9X but demand is still X. The airline will raise prices until demand is now also 0.9X.
Conclusion: the losers in MS are the people who regularly pay for their seats and rarely/never use points.
Thing with airlines is that unlike other widgets, there's no way to increase the supply of airplane seats in a short period of time (the supply is relatively inelastic.) So prices will rise as airlines, like most businesses, are fundamentally greedy and will charge as high of a price as possible as long as it maximizes profits.
Say there are X seats available on a particular route among all participating airlines, and demand is X at the current prices. Now suppose due to MS, the supply of seats is now only 0.9X but demand is still X. The airline will raise prices until demand is now also 0.9X.
Conclusion: the losers in MS are the people who regularly pay for their seats and rarely/never use points.
Last edited by prasha11; Dec 10, 2013 at 1:17 pm
#78
Original Member
Join Date: May 1998
Posts: 1,139
http://www.forbes.com/sites/grantmar...r-the-economy/
I am not quite sure I understand why the author feels MS is bad for the economy, he offers little evidence of such, nor do I believe he reaches a conclusion that is consistent with the sensationalist title. But a little concerning that the article is in such a mainstream publication.
I am not quite sure I understand why the author feels MS is bad for the economy, he offers little evidence of such, nor do I believe he reaches a conclusion that is consistent with the sensationalist title. But a little concerning that the article is in such a mainstream publication.
#79
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Los Angles
Posts: 2,101
http://www.forbes.com/sites/grantmar...r-the-economy/
I am not quite sure I understand why the author feels MS is bad for the economy, he offers little evidence of such, nor do I believe he reaches a conclusion that is consistent with the sensationalist title. But a little concerning that the article is in such a mainstream publication.
I am not quite sure I understand why the author feels MS is bad for the economy, he offers little evidence of such, nor do I believe he reaches a conclusion that is consistent with the sensationalist title. But a little concerning that the article is in such a mainstream publication.
Reporters and Politicians are paid to hide the facts and spin the stories. The big money is in how well they can do it.
#80
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Around The World
Programs: ALL :)
Posts: 384
http://www.forbes.com/sites/grantmar...r-the-economy/
I am not quite sure I understand why the author feels MS is bad for the economy, he offers little evidence of such, nor do I believe he reaches a conclusion that is consistent with the sensationalist title. But a little concerning that the article is in such a mainstream publication.
I am not quite sure I understand why the author feels MS is bad for the economy, he offers little evidence of such, nor do I believe he reaches a conclusion that is consistent with the sensationalist title. But a little concerning that the article is in such a mainstream publication.
#82
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 14
I frequent a local Walgreens a lot, but do my ms at cvs because they accept cc payment for gcs.
Today I noticed a sign in Walgreens by the gcs stating "no checks, cash,credit or debit only". I asked the manager if this was correct(we are on a first name basis-again, I go there A LOT). He confirmed that it was correct, that they have been accepting cc as payment for a while.
I then asked if they lose money, due to the cc processing fees. He stated that they pay no cc processing fees on the sale of giftcards, and said that the $4.95, $5.95,etc purchase fees was all profit to the store.
Today I noticed a sign in Walgreens by the gcs stating "no checks, cash,credit or debit only". I asked the manager if this was correct(we are on a first name basis-again, I go there A LOT). He confirmed that it was correct, that they have been accepting cc as payment for a while.
I then asked if they lose money, due to the cc processing fees. He stated that they pay no cc processing fees on the sale of giftcards, and said that the $4.95, $5.95,etc purchase fees was all profit to the store.
#83
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: DFW
Programs: AA Plat, HHonors Gold, Marriott Silver, Hyatt Diamond
Posts: 21
Unsurprised
http://www.forbes.com/sites/grantmar...r-the-economy/
I am not quite sure I understand why the author feels MS is bad for the economy, he offers little evidence of such, nor do I believe he reaches a conclusion that is consistent with the sensationalist title. But a little concerning that the article is in such a mainstream publication.
I am not quite sure I understand why the author feels MS is bad for the economy, he offers little evidence of such, nor do I believe he reaches a conclusion that is consistent with the sensationalist title. But a little concerning that the article is in such a mainstream publication.
It gets a lot of clicks.
#84
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 5
I thought the article was quite reasonable. The conclusion was that there was a relatively small negative effect on the economy from manufactured spend because the number of consumers who engage in it was relatively small. I agree that if 20% of all Americans engaged in it, we would have some serious problems and the system would be unsustainable. At the very least, manufactured spenders are marginally inflating the GDP, but it doesn't constitute "useful" economic activity.
I'm in the retail industry, and my guess is that CVS pays about 1.5%-2% in fees per credit card transaction. This is the "interchange rate" charged by Visa/MC and it is typically not negotiable unless you have Wal-Mart type scale. And even then, it might be a tough slog to negotiate the interchange rate. This is why warehouse clubs like Sam's Club and Cosco don't take Visa/MC and have negotiated lower interchange fees and exclusive deals with the smaller players like Amex and Discover.
The big question is whether the CVS POS submits additional transaction level metadata to the credit card processors about your gift card purchases. Some processing software can submit this so-called "level 3" data, which shows line-level detail like SKU, quantity, item description, unit of measure, and discounts. If that's the case, then Visa/MC should certainly know you are purchasing gift cards, and would already have the data needed to charge you cash advances or exclude rewards on certain portions of your purchase. However, I'm not aware of consumer/retail POS software that does level 3 transaction processing. In my research level 3 processing data was specifically designed specifically for processing Purchasing, GSA, Commercial, Corporate, and other Business cards, and I've not seen any reference to using it in consumer retail POS applications.
I'm in the retail industry, and my guess is that CVS pays about 1.5%-2% in fees per credit card transaction. This is the "interchange rate" charged by Visa/MC and it is typically not negotiable unless you have Wal-Mart type scale. And even then, it might be a tough slog to negotiate the interchange rate. This is why warehouse clubs like Sam's Club and Cosco don't take Visa/MC and have negotiated lower interchange fees and exclusive deals with the smaller players like Amex and Discover.
The big question is whether the CVS POS submits additional transaction level metadata to the credit card processors about your gift card purchases. Some processing software can submit this so-called "level 3" data, which shows line-level detail like SKU, quantity, item description, unit of measure, and discounts. If that's the case, then Visa/MC should certainly know you are purchasing gift cards, and would already have the data needed to charge you cash advances or exclude rewards on certain portions of your purchase. However, I'm not aware of consumer/retail POS software that does level 3 transaction processing. In my research level 3 processing data was specifically designed specifically for processing Purchasing, GSA, Commercial, Corporate, and other Business cards, and I've not seen any reference to using it in consumer retail POS applications.
#85
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 47
If you just look at Manufactured Spend in a vacuum, then the credit card companies are probably losing since, theoretically, a person would only MS in profitable situations.
However, in the big picture, the money lost by cc companies to MS is vastly outweighed by those who carry a balance and pay interest on their "awards" cc. To these banks, losing money to MS falls under the price of doing business and it is a very small price (relatively).
However, in the big picture, the money lost by cc companies to MS is vastly outweighed by those who carry a balance and pay interest on their "awards" cc. To these banks, losing money to MS falls under the price of doing business and it is a very small price (relatively).
#86
Moderator: Manufactured Spending
Original Poster
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 6,580
The big question is whether the CVS POS submits additional transaction level metadata to the credit card processors about your gift card purchases. Some processing software can submit this so-called "level 3" data, which shows line-level detail like SKU, quantity, item description, unit of measure, and discounts. If that's the case, then Visa/MC should certainly know you are purchasing gift cards, and would already have the data needed to charge you cash advances or exclude rewards on certain portions of your purchase. However, I'm not aware of consumer/retail POS software that does level 3 transaction processing. In my research level 3 processing data was specifically designed specifically for processing Purchasing, GSA, Commercial, Corporate, and other Business cards, and I've not seen any reference to using it in consumer retail POS applications.
#88
Moderator: Manufactured Spending
Original Poster
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 6,580
WM had 466B revenue in 2013 and is #1 on Fortune 500. CVS had 123B and is #13. But if you look at #2-12 CVS is actually the #2 largest "retailer" behind WM. That's WM type scale. WM and CVS even seem to use the same POS system. If VS/MC negotiates on the interchange rate, I would bet that CVS has a deal - maybe not as good as WM but better than all other retailers. I would even bet they are paying under 1.5% fees per transaction.
That is my understanding, but I am not privy to any insider information, and if Visa/MC were cutting special deals to certain stores, I'd imagine they wouldn't want to publicize it.
Last edited by cbn42; Jan 4, 2014 at 9:02 pm
#89
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: NYC
Posts: 398
no one smart reads Forbes nor WSJ. It is usually Bloomberg Businessweek or NYT DealBook,
#90
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: NYC
Posts: 398