Typhoon this Weekend?
Jul 12, 2007, 6:08 pm
#1
Original Poster
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: NYC (Formerly Tokyo)
Posts: 231
Typhoon this Weekend?
It seems like Tokyo is going to get hit by Typhoon #4 this weekend, and I'm supposed to fly back to the states Sunday evening 
http://weather.goo.ne.jp/typhoon/index.html
Since it's high winds and water, I can't imagine this not effecting flights, but anyone have any guesses as to how bad it will be? If you were me, would you try to change your ticket to Saturday's flight?
Thanks,
Alex
http://weather.goo.ne.jp/typhoon/index.html
Since it's high winds and water, I can't imagine this not effecting flights, but anyone have any guesses as to how bad it will be? If you were me, would you try to change your ticket to Saturday's flight?
Thanks,
Alex
Jul 12, 2007, 11:15 pm
#2
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Ani Ichibanya
Programs: WWMFD
Posts: 6,292
Predicting typhoon tracks is a crapshoot, but based on what I see now you may actually be better off with the Sunday flight.
---> N.B. I am not a meteorologist. Hell, I didn't even stay in a Holiday Inn Express last night.
Jul 13, 2007, 12:35 am
#3
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: NYC
Programs: UA/HH/Marriott Gold
Posts: 2,468
This makes it look like tomorrow evening's flights should be OK....
http://weather.goo.ne.jp/typhoon/p0019/index.html
Then again, I'd like to believe that as I'm flying home tomorrow night.
http://weather.goo.ne.jp/typhoon/p0019/index.html
Then again, I'd like to believe that as I'm flying home tomorrow night.
Last edited by Calcifer; Jul 13, 2007 at 12:44 am Reason: silly me, NRT is in Chiba, not Tokyo....
Jul 13, 2007, 12:48 am
#4
Original Poster
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: NYC (Formerly Tokyo)
Posts: 231
Calcifier, it looks like you'll be fine--are you on AA? We may end up being on the same flight 
I didn't stay in any kind of hotel last night, and am certainly not a meteorologist, but that graphic on Goo Net makes it look like the center will be right over Tokyo Sunday evening
My friends are all saying that typhoons usually slow down, and hang a hard right when they get near land here, but I would have thought the real meteorologists would have considered that when plotting the trajectory.
Alex
I didn't stay in any kind of hotel last night, and am certainly not a meteorologist, but that graphic on Goo Net makes it look like the center will be right over Tokyo Sunday evening
My friends are all saying that typhoons usually slow down, and hang a hard right when they get near land here, but I would have thought the real meteorologists would have considered that when plotting the trajectory.Alex
Jul 13, 2007, 1:30 am
#7
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: TYO
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Real meteorologists will also have considered that they may lose their jobs if they predict that the storm will be no big deal - and in fact it causes billions of yen in damages, shuts down the airport and sinks a bunch of fishing boats.
Jul 13, 2007, 1:35 am
#8
Original Poster
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: NYC (Formerly Tokyo)
Posts: 231
But, AA let me change without a change fee which I took as a sign that I should switch. Off to cancel my cell phone and finish packing
Jul 13, 2007, 3:51 am
#10
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Japan
Posts: 1,056
To track the path of a typhoon I use the highly accurate "Pitiful NHK reporter standing next to the road as pieces of rubbish the size of Belgium fly past, yelling a report about how bad the typhoon is" index. This index currently has the intrepid reporter in Amami Oshima somewhere. I'll keep the OP updated.
Jul 13, 2007, 4:40 am
#12
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Japan
Posts: 1,056
Jul 13, 2007, 11:35 am
#13
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: YYC - soon to be 東京
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Posts: 1,830
Reminds me of the time when I was in Japan during that Typhoon that was over Tokyo in 2004. 
Such memories of rain going horizontal at the top of Tokyo Tower and staff grinning at me as the water leaks came through the ceiling up there. 
Sanosuke!
Such memories of rain going horizontal at the top of Tokyo Tower and staff grinning at me as the water leaks came through the ceiling up there. Sanosuke!