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Coronavirus impact in Japan [consolidated]

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Old Mar 5, 2020, 5:17 pm
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This thread is for discussion of the coronavirus / COVID-19 pandemic as it relates to Japan. Non-Japan-related discussion should be taken either to the most relevant forum, the Coronavirus and Travel forum, or the OMNI forums.

UPDATE FOR TOURISTS LOOKING TO VISIT JAPAN AFTER COVID-19 BORDER RESTRICTIONS EASE
Japan does currently not allow entry for general tourism purposes. Most visa waivers are suspended, and travel to Japan for non resident foreigners generally require a visa. And quarantine as described for the countries and territories below.

UPDATE FOR PEOPLE WITH VISAS THAT ALLOW ENTRY INTO JAPAN
The quarantine requirements mentioned below will generally apply to entrants in Japan. As the conditions of who can obtain a visa for entry on exceptional circumstances are not clearly listed anywhere, it is necessary to confirm entry requirements with your local Japanese diplomatic representatives

Spouses and children of foreign permanent residents or Japanese nationals, can obtain visas for short term stays (up to 90 days) by applying in person or by mail at an overseas Japanese consulate. Required documentation includes application form, letter with reason for purpose of visit, bank statement and Koseki Tohon. Processing times have been reported as on the spot to up to one week.

From March 1st, business travelers, students and technical trainees can again enter Japan. There is a need to have a receiving organisation to apply for the visa. For business travelers, there will be one point of contact with the Ministry of Health Labour and Welfare. Though the full details are not published yet (as of typing on the 27th of February, please add them if you have seen them)

Business travelers must have a Japanese company or organization apply for a Certificate for Completion of Registration to the MHLW ERFS system. This is a two step process. The company must first register and then apply for the Certificate for the traveler. These can both be done online and completed in less than an hour.The website for doing this is https://entry.hco.mhlw.go.jp/.

After getting the certificate the traveler must apply for visa at the Japanese Consulate or Embassy with jurisdiction for where they reside. (They are quite strict about this. E.g. you can't apply while traveling in a foreign country.) The information on the Consulate pages state that you need Letter of Guarantee, Invitation Letter, etc when applying for the visa. In fact, however, if you have the EFRS certificate, all you need is the visa application, your passport and a photo. The Consulate will issue the visa within 5 days.

​​​​​​

UPDATE JAPANESE CITIZENS AND RETURNING FOREIGN JAPAN RESIDENTS

All people travelling to Japan has to present a negative PCR test taking no earlier than. 72 hours before departure to be able to board the flight. The certificate has to meet the information requirements and test types from the Japanese government.

https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/000799426.pdf

From the 7th of June, passport number, nationality, signature and stamp from the doctor/medical institution are no longer required.
​​​​​
The requirement for pre-departure test will be removed for passengers on flights landing after the 7th of September 00:00 provided that they have received a full bases vaccination and a booster vaccination. Accepted vaccines are Moderna, Pfizer, Astra, Zeneca, J&J, Novavax, Covaxin.

Uploading documents in advance via the mysos app or via the mysos website is required. For details please see https://www.hco.mhlw.go.jp/en/


The arrival process is as follows. Countries will be grouped in red, yellow, and blue.
  • Group “Red”:On-arrival test is required. 3-day quarantine at a government-designated facility is required, however, those who obtain a valid vaccination certificate may have 5-day home quarantine (or 3-day home quarantine + negative result of a voluntary test) instead.
  • Group “Yellow”:On-arrival test and 5-day home quarantine (or 3-day home quarantine + negative result of a voluntary test) are required, however, those who obtain a valid vaccination certificate are not required to have on-arrival test, home quarantine and other measures.
  • Group “Blue”:Regardless of the vaccination status of the entrants/returnees, on-arrival test, home quarantine and other measures are not required.
Vaccine certificate does require three doses of vaccines.
​​​
Red countries:
Albania, Sierra Leone

Yellow countries:
Andorra, Angola, Antigua and Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belarus, Belize, Bhutan, Botswana, Brunei, Burkina Faso, Cabo Verde, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Cook Island, Cuba, Cyprus, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Dominica, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Eswatini, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, Gabon, Gambia, Georgia, Grenada, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, India, Kazakhstan, Kiribati, Kosovo, Kuwait, Lebanon, Lesotho, Liberia, Libya, Liechtenstein, Macau, Maldives, Mali, Malta, Mauritania, Mauritius, Namibia, Nauru, Nicaragua, Niger, Niue, North Korea, North Macedonia, Oman, Pakistan, Palestine, Portugal, Republic of Burundi, Republic of Congo, Republic of the Marshall Islands, Republic of Vanuatu, Saint Christopher and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Samoa, San Marino, Sao Tome and Principe, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Seychelles, Solomon, Somalia, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Suriname, Syria, Tajikistan, Togo, Tonga, Trinidad and Tobago, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Tuvalu, Ukraine, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Vatican, Venezuela, Viet Nam, Yemen, Zimbabwe

Blue countries:
Afghanistan, Algeria, Argentine, Armenia, Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Belgium, Benin, Bolivia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Brazil, Bulgaria, Cambodia, Cameroon, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cote d’lvoire, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Djibouti, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Estonia, Ethiopia, Finland, France, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Guatemala, Hong Kong, Hungary, Iceland, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Jamaica, Jordan, Kenya, Kyrgyz, Laos, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Madagascar, Malawi, Malaysia, Mexico, Moldova, Monaco, Mongolia, Montenegro, Morocco, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Netherlands, New Zealand, Nigeria, Norway, Palau, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Qatar, Republic of Korea, Romania, Russia, Rwanda, Serbia, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, South Sudan, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Uganda, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States of America, Western Sahara, Zambia



For updates to the lists of countries and territories and changes to the rules check the website of the ministry of foreign affairs https://www.mofa.go.jp/ca/fna/page4e_001053.html and ask in the thread for clarifications and experiences of entering Japan.
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Coronavirus impact in Japan [consolidated]

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Old Sep 16, 2021, 7:47 am
  #5911  
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Tokyo
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Originally Posted by Topcare
with due respect, the economy of japan has had a little bit of a challenge for a very long time so perhaps those other areas they are depending on are not doing as well as they think hence the major shift to increase tourism numbers in the 5 years before the pandemic. And it was a MAJOR SHIFT.
With due respect to you, I was responding to the bold assertion that "I would say tourism was an important piece of the economy pre-Covid," which was in disagreement with MJM's statement that "Tourism is a very minor part of the economy". With a global ranking of 137 out of 152, I'm going to agree with "very minor part of the economy" in spite of the government's hopes to change that situation.
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Old Sep 16, 2021, 9:41 am
  #5912  
 
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I'm willing to fly over as soon as they let me to help them change that situation.
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Old Sep 16, 2021, 1:11 pm
  #5913  
 
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Originally Posted by lobsterdog
With due respect to you, I was responding to the bold assertion that "I would say tourism was an important piece of the economy pre-Covid," which was in disagreement with MJM's statement that "Tourism is a very minor part of the economy". With a global ranking of 137 out of 152, I'm going to agree with "very minor part of the economy" in spite of the government's hopes to change that situation.
well allrightly then. You should put me in my place.
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Old Sep 16, 2021, 1:18 pm
  #5914  
 
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Originally Posted by bpe
If the economy is declining due to a shrinking population, favorable immigration policies are needed; trying to use international tourism to fix that isn't going to get you very far. Recent efforts to promote tourism are a very visible part of policy that is seen from outside the country, but it hardly is the main economic focus or a big shift from anything else.

Besides, millions more visitors piling into Tokyo and Kyoto isn't a bad thing from an overall numbers perspective, but that really is only helping the richest parts of the country, not the more rural areas which are the ones that are hurting due to depopulation. Domestic tourism is way more useful for that and has always been much bigger than international tourism anyway.
Yah. But hard to get people interested in moving to work in your country if you don't promote why you'd want to go live and work in your country. Tourism serves many purposes. You might be surprised to find out how many people I meet who are not from Canada that moved here because they loved to travel here. Unless Japan truly does not want people to immigrate to Japan. Which I'm kind of thinking the xenophobic country that pretends it is not xenophobic probably really wants anyways. Seems like many japanese also dont want to stay. But here in Canada, we know we are screwed without lots of immigration. So ya, sure, much bigger problems for japan.
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Old Sep 16, 2021, 3:04 pm
  #5915  
 
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Originally Posted by joejones
The important thing to keep in mind re: the economic discussion is that the Japanese domestic market is in constant slow decline due to the thinning and aging population. The only way to get real growth is to bring in foreigners, and that was a very visible part of the government's economic policy over the past decade (visa waivers for Asian countries, the massive "IR" boondoggles, etc.)
No. Other way around.

Japan has an aging population because its economy is in decline.
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Old Sep 16, 2021, 4:11 pm
  #5916  
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Originally Posted by lobsterdog
I'm not so sure about that - do you have any evidence at all?

I know it's old news by now, but the number of international inbound tourists increased 2.2% from 2018-2019, while the total number of Japanese domestic overnight trips was up 7.7% from 2018-2019. And there were a lot more Japanese domestic hotel stays than foreign tourists to begin with.

Fascinating statistics at https://www.mlit.go.jp/kankocho/en/s.../001375676.pdf
Statistics are wonderful. 2019 for domestic travellers takes a big jump up because 2018 represented an even more massive drop. So the total number in 2019 was still lower than 2017. But domestic guest nights 2018 to 2019 are down, where international guest nights are up. Fascinating indeed.
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Old Sep 16, 2021, 8:29 pm
  #5917  
 
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The first stats I saw were 7.5%. This fit my image based on what I had been seeing in Kyoto and Osaka, plus the big push pre-Covid.

The OECD number of nearly 10% of employment it is still pretty significant.

7.5% in 2019
https://knoema.com/atlas/Japan/topic...percent-of-GDP

Other more reliable sources show a different story and are more in line with the .91% quoted previously.

In 2017, tourism GDP accounted for 2.0% of total GDP and 9.6% of total employment,
https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/sites/...nt/85e3c6a2-en

2% (Before COVID-19, travel and tourism accounted for about two percent of Japan’s total GDP)
https://www.statista.com/statistics/...-to-gdp-japan/
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Old Sep 16, 2021, 11:04 pm
  #5918  
 
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Other more reliable sources show a different story and are more in line with the .91% quoted previously.
In 2017, tourism GDP accounted for 2.0% of total GDP and 9.6% of total employment,
https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/sites/...nt/85e3c6a2-en
Don't forget that that 0.91% quoted prevoiusly represents international tourism, whereas the OECD's 2.0% seems to be talking about all tourism. According to that OECD link

Domestic tourism by Japanese citizens is also of major economic importance ... representing some 80% of total revenues from tourism.
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Old Sep 17, 2021, 4:52 pm
  #5919  
 
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Interesting. I guess the old people will eventually die and cause problems internally in more ways than one, including, the domestic tourism.

Serious question, do japanese people care that their aging population is a huge problem?
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Old Sep 18, 2021, 6:03 am
  #5920  
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Originally Posted by bpe
If the economy is declining due to a shrinking population, favorable immigration policies are needed; trying to use international tourism to fix that isn't going to get you very far. Recent efforts to promote tourism are a very visible part of policy that is seen from outside the country, but it hardly is the main economic focus or a big shift from anything else.

Besides, millions more visitors piling into Tokyo and Kyoto isn't a bad thing from an overall numbers perspective, but that really is only helping the richest parts of the country, not the more rural areas which are the ones that are hurting due to depopulation. Domestic tourism is way more useful for that and has always been much bigger than international tourism anyway.
Everything you say makes logical sense to me as an American, where we ostensibly (not necessarily in practice) welcome anyone, but I honestly think that for most Japanese, relaxing immigration rules as a way to counter their shrinking population is simply an unacceptable solution. I think they’d rather keep Japan Japanese and if the population shrinks so be it. Naturally that’s just my opinion, but their immigration policies over the last few decades during the time in which their population has been declining clearly match that opinion. It’s easy to suggest ways to counter issues in Japan based on western perspectives, but often times, the context of the Japanese vs western mind are just so different that logic just seems to fly out the window.
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Old Sep 18, 2021, 9:18 am
  #5921  
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Originally Posted by ainternational
Everything you say makes logical sense to me as an American, where we ostensibly (not necessarily in practice) welcome anyone, but I honestly think that for most Japanese, relaxing immigration rules as a way to counter their shrinking population is simply an unacceptable solution. I think they’d rather keep Japan Japanese and if the population shrinks so be it. Naturally that’s just my opinion, but their immigration policies over the last few decades during the time in which their population has been declining clearly match that opinion. It’s easy to suggest ways to counter issues in Japan based on western perspectives, but often times, the context of the Japanese vs western mind are just so different that logic just seems to fly out the window.
This is a very interesting discussion, although only tangentially related to the coronavirus. We all "know" that Japan would rather shrink its population than open itself to immigration. But if that were the case, when was the last time you saw a natural-born Japanese working the counter at a combini? Or even at a mass-market chain restaurant?
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Old Sep 18, 2021, 10:04 pm
  #5922  
 
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Originally Posted by rustykettel
I was talking to a friend who lives in Tokyo and asked about the sold out mask situation. He said it seemed like normal numbers, but later after noticing that it did seem like a lot more people were wearing masks than usual.
Agree. I do regular counts when out walking. Maskless (or masked pulled down) numbers are definitely increasing. And qualitatively, it used to be only young men. Now there are maskless women and older people.
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Old Sep 19, 2021, 8:01 am
  #5923  
 
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Originally Posted by WasKnown
For people planning Japan trips, what time frames are you targeting? I realize we're just speculating but I'm curious to see what everyone else's thinking is here.
My trip was originally booked for September 2020 and then rebooked for the last two weeks of November 2021. I'm 99% sure that won't happen but waiting to rebook because the Fall 2022 dates I'm now aiming for aren't available yet. I have an upgrade with miles, so I keep rebooking rather than just cancelling to try to preserve that.
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Old Sep 19, 2021, 8:53 pm
  #5924  
 
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Originally Posted by 5khours
Bottom line though, (absent tectonic shifts in taxation policy) I don't think Japan has much choice. It's not the declining population per se that is so much of a problem, but rather the fall in the percentage of working age people. Unless Japan brings in workers, the system will break because there won't be enough people to take care of and support the elderly. (Or the whole thing might just slowly transform into a Chinese amusement park/shopping mall.)
Bringing it back to the Coronavirus Impact topic, I wonder how policies will shift given the shortage of incoming younger workers. I suppose many non-Japanese stayed on thanks to Covid visa extensions, but my feeling is that without the steady stream companies start to get desperate. Raising wages is one step.
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Old Sep 19, 2021, 9:00 pm
  #5925  
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Originally Posted by JapanFlyerT
Bringing it back to the Coronavirus Impact topic, I wonder how policies will shift given the shortage of incoming younger workers. I suppose many non-Japanese stayed on thanks to Covid visa extensions, but my feeling is that without the steady stream companies start to get desperate. Raising wages is one step.
From what I understand, there’s been a significant expat exodus - international school have seen a drop in students, and some condo buildings I’ve seen be a typical gaijin mansion have seen a decent amount of apartments open up. Anecdotal evidence, of course.
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