Trip Speculation
Sep 29, 2017 | 9:24 am
#1
Original Poster
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 9
Trip Speculation
I need this as a confidence booster... I booked a V ticket from DTW-PVG on Oct 18th and coming back on Oct 22nd. I used 2 GUC for this trip and I was waitlisted on both. This is my first trip to Asia and 14.5 hour seems like a long flight. I am booked into C+ on the way out and back.
Other then wait and see, lets speculate odds on if I clear or not.
DTW-PVG has 16 spots and PVG-DTW has 20 spots.
This is my first post so please be gentle on the comments. I respect a lot of opinions on the board. ^
Other then wait and see, lets speculate odds on if I clear or not.
DTW-PVG has 16 spots and PVG-DTW has 20 spots.
This is my first post so please be gentle on the comments. I respect a lot of opinions on the board. ^
Sep 29, 2017 | 9:32 am
#2
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: San Antonio
Programs: DL DM, Former AA EXP now AY Plat, AC 75K, NW Plat, Former CO Gold, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 28,002
Seat map is no indication of how many seats left to be sold. While Americans tend to assign seats ahead of time, most in the world don't. Thus 20 seats on seatmap could have 10 people that haven't picked a seat yet.
No way to give a clear cut odd. DTW/PVG isn't just O/D traffic, but connecting to/from MU/FM for connections.
No way to give a clear cut odd. DTW/PVG isn't just O/D traffic, but connecting to/from MU/FM for connections.
Sep 29, 2017 | 9:39 am
#3
Original Poster
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 9
Seat map is no indication of how many seats left to be sold. While Americans tend to assign seats ahead of time, most in the world don't. Thus 20 seats on seatmap could have 10 people that haven't picked a seat yet.
No way to give a clear cut odd. DTW/PVG isn't just O/D traffic, but connecting to/from MU/FM for connections.
No way to give a clear cut odd. DTW/PVG isn't just O/D traffic, but connecting to/from MU/FM for connections.
Sep 29, 2017 | 9:46 am
#4
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: MSN
Programs: Delta DM, Bonvoy LT Titanium, Hertz PC
Posts: 1,990
I'm only PM right now so don't have a lot of GUC experience but only 1 of my RUC's has never cleared (ATL>LAX and I booked 2 days before window UG's happen) but it seems likely to clear based on what I've read elsewhere. I like to message Twitter every week or so and make sure I'm on WL, takes me 30 seconds and one time they cleared me.
Sep 29, 2017 | 9:49 am
#5
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: BOS
Programs: DL DM 2MM, Marriott LT Titanium, Hertz PC, Avis PC
Posts: 17,196
Well good news is the flights are both still J9C9D9 for inventory, and some I fares are available on the flights also. Bad news is its still 3 weeks out.
Sep 29, 2017 | 1:31 pm
#6
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: SE USA
Programs: DL DM/MM , IHG Plat, MR Titanium, HH Gold, EK Frequent Kettle, UA Silver, AA and Avis Hater
Posts: 2,157
I would say your chances are great "IF" your upgrades were properly wait-listed.
That is a big IF....this program is broken
That is a big IF....this program is broken
Sep 29, 2017 | 1:41 pm
#7
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: YOW
Programs: Flying Blue Plat, Accor Gold
Posts: 439
I was on this flight last Friday.
2 seats available at gate, while 6 GUCs on the waitlist (word from lounge agent when I asked if there is any possibility of paid upgrade like what AF usually does)
2 seats available at gate, while 6 GUCs on the waitlist (word from lounge agent when I asked if there is any possibility of paid upgrade like what AF usually does)
Sep 29, 2017 | 4:10 pm
#8
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 585
Seat map is no indication of how many seats left to be sold. While Americans tend to assign seats ahead of time, most in the world don't. Thus 20 seats on seatmap could have 10 people that haven't picked a seat yet.
No way to give a clear cut odd. DTW/PVG isn't just O/D traffic, but connecting to/from MU/FM for connections.
No way to give a clear cut odd. DTW/PVG isn't just O/D traffic, but connecting to/from MU/FM for connections.