dehubbing speculation starting in 2010
#152
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Roanoke, VA
Programs: DL Gold Hilton Gold
Posts: 2,436
I took it - that if DL were to de-emphasize MSP and/or DTW - they would lose customers to AA or UA because of the ORD hub (rather than those folks choosing another DL hub). :-:
#153
Suspended
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: SEA
Programs: UA Silver, BA Gold, DL Gold
Posts: 9,779
I don't follow. I get that ORD is twice the size of both DTW and MSP, and offers a significantly higher number of international flights (as one would expect from the third-largest O&D market in the nation)... but I don't conceed the "losing ground" argument. ORD's international growth as of late has been almost exclusively UA/AA and their alliance partners, which is to be expected. You don't see any SkyTeam airlines launching international service at ORD and pulling it from DTW or MSP.
Bear in mind, I don't think that either airport is in any near-term danger of being de-hubbed - I was just responding to a claim that there is a huge risk of losing Midwest customers to ORD, when I would think we would have already seen that. I have no idea what the long-term might bring, but I see no evidence that either MSP or DTW will be de-hubbed anytime soon. My point was simply that people want to make it seem as if JFK or ATL were replacing DTW or MSP as international hubs, when the reality is that neither DTW nor MSP were ever large-scale international hubs in the first place. Perhaps that is why these rumors get started? When you have so few destinations and so few departures, each tweak to the schedule is magnified beyond being a simple capacity adjustment? So switching to a 763 becomes de-hubbing. Dropping a flight to AMS becomes the end of the world.
Just to clarify as a point-of-information, DTW has LHR, CDG, FCO, AMS (x3 daily), FRA (x2 daily), AMM, NRT, NGO, PVG... and will add ICN, HKG and HNL in the next six months. That's 12 long-haul destinations from DTW alone. Not sure about MSP lately, but I believe they still have LHR, NRT, AMS, HNL (and the seasonal CDG?).
#154
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 2,866
If US air cleaned up it act, I would likely switch back to it to avoid ATL.
#155
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: GRB
Programs: DL Diamond Charter Member, 3 Million Miler, Hertz Pres Club, Hilton Gold
Posts: 525
DTW and MSP sure seem secure as hubs since ORD is maxed out and DL will not maintain their customer loyalty / base if they ask passengers to fly from northern cities to ATL on a CRJ-200 - the aircraft of their choice right now for most flights from GRB and a lot of other smaller cities.
#156
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: RDU
Programs: AA GM, DL DM, DSC
Posts: 1,540
DTW and MSP sure seem secure as hubs since ORD is maxed out and DL will not maintain their customer loyalty / base if they ask passengers to fly from northern cities to ATL on a CRJ-200 - the aircraft of their choice right now for most flights from GRB and a lot of other smaller cities.
I recently paid a small premium to avoid an RJ flight connection through DTW for a future routing where I chose going through ATL on mainline. I would expect no less from someone up North. BAN THE RJ!!!!!
Last edited by bwhite; Jan 5, 2010 at 6:43 am
#157
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,559
Anyone who claims that MSP is easier to get around than ATL is drinking some industrial-strength redtail Kool-Aid in my opinion. And that's setting aside the fact that ATL has 200+ gates while MSP (Lindbergh Terminal) only has 115 or so, that would make it justifiable for ATL to be harder to get around in than MSP.
DTW is the best connecting hub in the DL network, both because it is new and because it is underused. ATL suffers mainly because of its sheer size. ATL's layout is ideal for connections, but unfortunately moving walkways were not included in the design, which can be a killer if connecting between the far ends of concourses.
I foresee a gradual de-emphasis on MSP and MEM as it seems unlear what their role is in the new network. MSP just seems to be the odd man out.
MEM could be useful for TX service, but it lacks the connections to the rest of the network to perform this role efficiently, without having a ton of overlap with ATL. For example, from the 3 major airports here in South Florida, there are a grand total of 2 flights to MEM per day. Tough to beat the 30+ DL flights to ATL per day as far as connections/frequencies go.
#158
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 8,884
At MSP, you always have two options if you have to make one of the rare "long connections" (C/F Concourse -> F/C Concourse). You can either take the Concourse Connector (with moving walkways) which connects the C & G Concourses, or take the tram on C to get you to the "Northstar Crossing" area with the shops, Chili's Too restaurant, etc. and cut over through that area.
Again, for most people this connection will take a maximum of 15 minutes, usually less. Most connections at MSP, however, remain on the same concourse or are to an adjacent concourse (ex: A/B <-> C, C <-> D, F <-> G, etc.). And the Concourses themselves at MSP are either wider (in the case of C/G) or simply have fewer people to wade through than ATL.
And if you've never connected through MSP (or only done it once or twice), I think you need to experience it a little more to make a final conclusion. When I first looked at a map for ATL, it sure looked easy and quick to connect there. Then I started doing it, and realized that a number of factors make ATL connections take longer than the map indicates they should. Similarly, while MSP may look "poorly laid out" on a map, if you utilize the tools they give you to transit the terminal -- namely multiple routing options and people movers -- then you can make connections quite quickly.
#159
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Long Island, NY
Programs: DL Plat, CO Gold, Avis First, HH Silver
Posts: 624
And if you've never connected through MSP (or only done it once or twice), I think you need to experience it a little more to make a final conclusion. When I first looked at a map for ATL, it sure looked easy and quick to connect there. Then I started doing it, and realized that a number of factors make ATL connections take longer than the map indicates they should. Similarly, while MSP may look "poorly laid out" on a map, if you utilize the tools they give you to transit the terminal -- namely multiple routing options and people movers -- then you can make connections quite quickly.
As pointed out, ATL has a fantastic layout for a massive connecting airport, but it's missing the one piece of infrastructure that would make it actually work: People movers. The shortsightedness of this is stunning.
DTW is fantastic. Best connecting hub in the US, by leaps and bounds. Shame I never go through there.
#161
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Roanoke, VA
Programs: DL Gold Hilton Gold
Posts: 2,436
#162
Join Date: Oct 2007
Programs: Now just a lowly DL PM/1MM. This industry needs some competition. It's just not enjoyable anymore.
Posts: 3,543
I used to think MSP was poorly laid out, however after having been there a few times I like it now. It's like a large square, and when you are used to it it's pretty easy to get around. It has a few nice bars as well.....
#163
Original Poster
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: somewhere
Programs: their are many of them
Posts: 1,614
in terms of getting screwed on connecting flights the airline in general set there flight schedules to create potential misconnects which allows them to overbook flights and get aways with it.
DTW : didn't northwest put a ton of money into that airport recently???? But has anyone noticed the changes already occuring in the Flight schedules just since the first of the year some flights to dca that used to be on an NW 757 are now on an RJ or a Bus
it terms of the hub situation offically delta is say very little. However, the airlines strategic analysts have to know that keeping all of the NW hubs is not a viable option. in the end i hate to say it but Delta will abandon large portions of NWA route network domestic and stick to the delta route network, but i hope not.
CVG: i always thought it was a decent airport have connected through there several times but it just does not fit anymore. correct me if i am wrong but it only has one international flight so it was never a big international hub . CONSENUS which i whole heartedly agree with (((CLOSED )))) bye bye CVG
NYC the most entertaining subject So what is delta going to do for PAx that buy a ticket at really low cost and have them fly into LGA and connect onto INTL flight out of JFK. I see a lot of future headaches coming from the Hubbing up new york but it could work.
SLC the Center for delta in the west this hub will continue to grow and is here for the duration
MEM older airport in hte NWA system was similar to the CVG hub for delta but its uses are limited I don't think it has any major INTL longhual routes it was mainly a DC9 domestic hub.
ATL no need to even mention but it is funny how little some people know about airport hub operations but it is all good.
My crystal ball tells me that in the near future their will be a lot of retrenching done by delta. the Real question is where beside CVG and possbily MEM
DTW : didn't northwest put a ton of money into that airport recently???? But has anyone noticed the changes already occuring in the Flight schedules just since the first of the year some flights to dca that used to be on an NW 757 are now on an RJ or a Bus
it terms of the hub situation offically delta is say very little. However, the airlines strategic analysts have to know that keeping all of the NW hubs is not a viable option. in the end i hate to say it but Delta will abandon large portions of NWA route network domestic and stick to the delta route network, but i hope not.
CVG: i always thought it was a decent airport have connected through there several times but it just does not fit anymore. correct me if i am wrong but it only has one international flight so it was never a big international hub . CONSENUS which i whole heartedly agree with (((CLOSED )))) bye bye CVG
NYC the most entertaining subject So what is delta going to do for PAx that buy a ticket at really low cost and have them fly into LGA and connect onto INTL flight out of JFK. I see a lot of future headaches coming from the Hubbing up new york but it could work.
SLC the Center for delta in the west this hub will continue to grow and is here for the duration
MEM older airport in hte NWA system was similar to the CVG hub for delta but its uses are limited I don't think it has any major INTL longhual routes it was mainly a DC9 domestic hub.
ATL no need to even mention but it is funny how little some people know about airport hub operations but it is all good.
My crystal ball tells me that in the near future their will be a lot of retrenching done by delta. the Real question is where beside CVG and possbily MEM
#164
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Gorham, Maine, USA
Programs: Delta Gold, UA Platinum
Posts: 193
At first, I was going to let the whole comparing ATL to DTW thing go. Everyone knows that ATL serves far, far more pax than DTW, so I sort of assumed that the OP was talking about aircraft movements or something like that. Well, you know what happens when you assume... The aircraft movements picture follows the passenger picture and ATL sees more aircraft movements than DTW and MSP combined.
I know that the DL North folks loved to double-connect, but the reality is that ATL is annoying because it is so big. And that it is so big enables it to offer far more destinations and far more frequencies than DTW or MSP could ever hope to offer. It is a trade-off, and one I am willing to make. If I want to fly BOS-SAN, then I would, of course, want to fly via DTW or MSP. But I also recognize that the only way DTW could ever conceivably serve JNB, ATH, CPH, SVO, MUC, DUS, BCN, etc, etc, etc would be if it served the number of pax that ATL serves. And if it served the number of pax that ATL serves, it would suffer from the exact same problems that ATL suffers from.
All this talk about 1970's era design is beyond silly. DTW is pleasant because it runs at or below capacity. ATL is unpleasant because it runs above capacity. That is the beginning and the end of the story. Even if DL were to abandon ATL for DTW, we would all be (rightfully) complaining about DTW.
I know that the DL North folks loved to double-connect, but the reality is that ATL is annoying because it is so big. And that it is so big enables it to offer far more destinations and far more frequencies than DTW or MSP could ever hope to offer. It is a trade-off, and one I am willing to make. If I want to fly BOS-SAN, then I would, of course, want to fly via DTW or MSP. But I also recognize that the only way DTW could ever conceivably serve JNB, ATH, CPH, SVO, MUC, DUS, BCN, etc, etc, etc would be if it served the number of pax that ATL serves. And if it served the number of pax that ATL serves, it would suffer from the exact same problems that ATL suffers from.
All this talk about 1970's era design is beyond silly. DTW is pleasant because it runs at or below capacity. ATL is unpleasant because it runs above capacity. That is the beginning and the end of the story. Even if DL were to abandon ATL for DTW, we would all be (rightfully) complaining about DTW.
As someone from Maine with zero bias between DAL hubs, I can't believe anyone would pick ATL over MSP or especially DTW. I believe I flew through just about every major hub in the US last year, and by a wide margin DTW is the best place to be with time to kill. The restaurants are fantastic (Sushi!), the concourses are wide and bright, and I love the fountain and light-show tunnel.
ATL is a hell-hole. Narrow dirty concourses, crappy food options (deep fried southern gruel anyone?) and the entire place reeks of mildew and smoke! Only ATL could make me wish to connect through ORD! Why can’t they get rid of that musty mildew smell in ATL? It is especially bad in the US Air concourse.
#165
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: New York
Programs: Delta, AA, jetBlue, Honors Diamond
Posts: 78
I wouldn't underestimate the role airport costs will play in this. As someone mentioned earlier, MEM charges no PFC; Delta's other hubs charge $4.50/passenger except CVG, which charges $3. From a connecting passenger standpoint, that makes MEM a bit more attractive. Not to mention the capacity and relatively good weather.
Of course MEM definitely does not have the level of O&D traffic that the other hubs have.