Planning Jan. 2022 Travel Destination
#16
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Dulles, VA
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For what it's worth, Dubai is way out of the way from the West Coast to either Thailand or South Africa.
#17
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: LAX
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"Japan reportedly won’t allow overseas visitors to attend Tokyo Olympics"
https://thepointsguy.com/news/japan-...tors-olympics/
Regards
https://thepointsguy.com/news/japan-...tors-olympics/
Regards
#18
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: LAX
Posts: 3,267
I doubt it'll happens, i talked to some thais and they show irrational level of fears over covid so i bet elites will push back on this idea long as they can. I give up on idea of going to Asia since most countries seems pursing unrealistic zero-covid strategy. I wouldn't plan any trip that far ahead, and I accept the fact that it's better to GO quickly once country opens up... because they can revert the decision quickly.
#19
Join Date: Sep 2008
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#20
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Virginia City Highlands
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#21
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: LAX
Posts: 3,267
I have tickets and hotels booked for Phuket, Bangkok, Singapore, and Tokyo in Jan 2022.
Thailand was originally closed because nobody knew what covid was, or what it was capable of in March 2020. It could have been the world-ender for all people knew. And there were no proven effective treatments for covid. There were no vaccines. There was only question marks.
And in that climate of fear, it made sense to close Thailand. It was also inevitable that Thailand would be closed, because even if Thailand chose to stay open, the Chinese and Western tourists that are the nation's lifeblood couldn't come anyway. Their governments wouldn't allow it. Thailand made a decision to close, but they weren't making their decisions in a vacuum. It takes two governments for international tourism to happen.
Why didn't they reopen 6 months ago? Well, again...6 months ago there weren't vaccines. There weren't vaccinated travelers. Nobody in his right mind would have believed 6 months ago that we'd have vaccines with 95% efficacy. Nobody in his right mind would have believed 6 months ago that the virus would mutate (the UK strain), and one of the vaccines we had developed to target the Wuhan strain--Novavax--would also be 89% effective against the mutant strain, and 70% effective against the South African strain (new data from Novavax proves the latter).
And finally, the difference between March 2020 and September 2021 is that a country can only stay closed for so long. It's like civilians hiding from artillery during a war. They want to stay in the basement, where it's safe, forever. But you can only stay down there for so long. Eventually, you gotta come out to get food, to get water, etc.... All nations are in the same boat. No matter what happens, they can only stay closed for so long.
And in that climate of fear, it made sense to close Thailand. It was also inevitable that Thailand would be closed, because even if Thailand chose to stay open, the Chinese and Western tourists that are the nation's lifeblood couldn't come anyway. Their governments wouldn't allow it. Thailand made a decision to close, but they weren't making their decisions in a vacuum. It takes two governments for international tourism to happen.
Why didn't they reopen 6 months ago? Well, again...6 months ago there weren't vaccines. There weren't vaccinated travelers. Nobody in his right mind would have believed 6 months ago that we'd have vaccines with 95% efficacy. Nobody in his right mind would have believed 6 months ago that the virus would mutate (the UK strain), and one of the vaccines we had developed to target the Wuhan strain--Novavax--would also be 89% effective against the mutant strain, and 70% effective against the South African strain (new data from Novavax proves the latter).
And finally, the difference between March 2020 and September 2021 is that a country can only stay closed for so long. It's like civilians hiding from artillery during a war. They want to stay in the basement, where it's safe, forever. But you can only stay down there for so long. Eventually, you gotta come out to get food, to get water, etc.... All nations are in the same boat. No matter what happens, they can only stay closed for so long.
Last edited by NewbieRunner; Nov 15, 2021 at 8:10 am Reason: Merge consecutive posts by same member
#22
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Virginia City Highlands
Programs: Nothing anymore after 20 years
Posts: 6,900
I understand your logical reasoning why countries are closed and should be opened now/soon, but I also observed that like ordinary human behavior, behaviors of governments were neither rational nor logical.
Why don’t you check in Thailand forum what people who currently and during whole pandemic lived there what they think in terms of opening/closing. Might give you some additional piece of information.
As far as Singapore goes, in the local telegram group of people who are miles/points collectors and has >10k people in it, vast majority of them do not think that unrestricted travel to/from Singapore will happen until end of 2022.
Last edited by invisible; Mar 4, 2021 at 6:26 pm
#23
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: LAX
Posts: 3,267
Non-refundable?
I understand your logical reasoning why countries are closed and should be opened now/soon, but I also observed that like ordinary human behavior, behaviors of governments were neither rational nor logical.
Why don’t you check in Thailand forum what people who currently and during whole pandemic lived there what they think in terms of opening/closing. Might give you some additional piece of information.
As far as Singapore goes, in the local telegram group of people who are miles/points collectors and has >10k people in it, vast majority of them do not think that unrestricted travel to/from Singapore will happen until end of 2022.
I understand your logical reasoning why countries are closed and should be opened now/soon, but I also observed that like ordinary human behavior, behaviors of governments were neither rational nor logical.
Why don’t you check in Thailand forum what people who currently and during whole pandemic lived there what they think in terms of opening/closing. Might give you some additional piece of information.
As far as Singapore goes, in the local telegram group of people who are miles/points collectors and has >10k people in it, vast majority of them do not think that unrestricted travel to/from Singapore will happen until end of 2022.
I have plenty of Thai friends I've known for 20 years (Thai nationals living in Phuket and Bangkok) so have the benefit of their perspective. I understand that the government of Thailand is focusing vaccination efforts on Phuket so that the locals are all sufficiently vaccinated to allow in foreign tourists.
As for Singapore...there's absolutely no chance they'll be closed thru Jan 2023. Sinapore Airlines is nearly bankrupt as it is, for one thing. And your wording is very specific: unrestricted travel. Unrestricted as in just anyone can enter the country. I expect Singapore will 100% require vaccination to enter, which is restricted travel. Anyway, Singapore is leading the drive for vaccination passports, and they already allow vaccinated passengers from Malaysia to enter.
#24
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Virginia City Highlands
Programs: Nothing anymore after 20 years
Posts: 6,900
As long as Temasek is not bankrupt, I would not be concerned for any company which has their or Singapore government backing which pretty much has unlimited funds from the local perspective.
P.S. Just watching outside of my window at Pasir Panjang port and I see that all the big scale infrastructure projects are going in full speed, excluding projects related to tourism arrivals, like Changi T5. Wonder why....
P.S. Just watching outside of my window at Pasir Panjang port and I see that all the big scale infrastructure projects are going in full speed, excluding projects related to tourism arrivals, like Changi T5. Wonder why....
#25
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Virginia City Highlands
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Posts: 6,900
#26
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: LAX
Posts: 3,267
https://www.singaporeair.com/en_UK/u.../ne2420-201223
https://www.mobihealthnews.com/news/...pted-singapore
https://www.hindustantimes.com/lifes...851418789.html
Last edited by NewbieRunner; Nov 15, 2021 at 8:09 am Reason: Merge consecutive posts by same member
#27
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Virginia City Highlands
Programs: Nothing anymore after 20 years
Posts: 6,900
Aha, I got what I was expecting - links that Singapore is trialing digital vaccination and test certificates.
But you wrote that vaccinated people from Malaysia are admitted into Singapore. Which is factually incorrect.
For admittance and quarantine requirements, next time I’d suggest consult following two documents on ICA site:
https://safetravel.ica.gov.sg/files/...ab-summary.pdf
https://safetravel.ica.gov.sg/health/faq
P.S. I understand one can misread what is written ‘somewhere over Internet’, but for anything related to Covid and Singapore policies one should first read what is published on a sites which have domain ending with .gov.sg.
For people here in Singapore publishing something related to Singapore government which is factually incorrect, may end up for them with real jail time for spreading fake news. This is not a joke.
But you wrote that vaccinated people from Malaysia are admitted into Singapore. Which is factually incorrect.
For admittance and quarantine requirements, next time I’d suggest consult following two documents on ICA site:
https://safetravel.ica.gov.sg/files/...ab-summary.pdf
https://safetravel.ica.gov.sg/health/faq
P.S. I understand one can misread what is written ‘somewhere over Internet’, but for anything related to Covid and Singapore policies one should first read what is published on a sites which have domain ending with .gov.sg.
For people here in Singapore publishing something related to Singapore government which is factually incorrect, may end up for them with real jail time for spreading fake news. This is not a joke.
#29
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Virginia City Highlands
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#30
Join Date: May 2011
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I plan a similar trip in January. Maybe we will cross paths. I'm fully vaxxed. Are there any restrictions going from Bangkok-Phuket-Bangkok-USA (probably transiting in NRT on the way back)?