Upgrade chances

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Oct 11, 2007 | 1:12 pm

aaflyer757

Original Poster

Join Date: Apr 2007

Location: Charlotte NC

Programs: AAdvantage Platinum,Marriott Gold, Starwood Gold, United Gold IHG Spire Ambassador, HHonors Diamond

Posts: 193

Upgrade chances

I recently was matched to Silver with CO from US. I plan on taking several trips to LAS next year to support my gambling habit (well not really, my wife's family lives there). What are the upgrade chances as a Silver flying out of CLE on a Sunday or Monday. I flew CO F 1 time and it blew US F out of the water.

Oct 11, 2007 | 2:21 pm

Bonehead

FlyerTalk Evangelist

Join Date: Jun 2003

Location: DEN

Programs: UA MM Plat; AA MM Gold; HHonors Diamond

Posts: 15,892

Based on a quick survey of this coming Sunday and Monday, it appears that your chances would be much better on Monday:

[[KVS Availability Tool 2.9.1/Gold - Sabre: ITN/UK-ASB]

Code:

CLE  Cleveland Hopkins Int'l OH US [KCLE]
LAS  Las Vegas Mccarran Int'l NV US [KLAS]
MON  15 Oct 2007

Carrier   Flight From Depart    To   Arrive    A/C  St   Availability
--------- ------ ---- --------- ---- --------- ---- ---- ----------------------------------------- 
CO        481    CLE  09:00     LAS  10:27          0    A2 D2 Z2 R2 Y1 H1 K0 M0 N0 B0 O0 V0 U0 Q0
CO        581    CLE  12:45     LAS  14:11     739  0    A6 D6 Z6 R6 Y2 H1 K0 M0 N0 B0 O0 V0 U0 Q0
CO        681    CLE  17:05     LAS  18:42     738  0    A7 D7 Z7 R7 Y5 H5 K5 M5 N3 B0 O0 V0 U0 Q0
CO        757    CLE  21:05     LAS  22:36     738  0    A9 D9 Z9 R9 Y9 H9 K9 M9 N9 B0 O9 V0 U3 Q0

Than on Sunday:

[KVS Availability Tool 2.9.1/Gold - Sabre: ITN/UK-ASB]

Code:

CLE  Cleveland Hopkins Int'l OH US [KCLE]
LAS  Las Vegas Mccarran Int'l NV US [KLAS]
SUN  14 Oct 2007

Carrier   Flight From Depart    To   Arrive    A/C  St   Availability
--------- ------ ---- --------- ---- --------- ---- ---- ----------------------------------------- 
CO        481    CLE  09:00     LAS  10:27          0    A4 D4 Z4 R4 Y6 H1 K0 M0 N0 B0 O0 V0 U0 Q0
CO        581    CLE  12:45     LAS  14:11     739  0    A0 D0 Z0 R0 Y1 H1 K0 M0 N0 B0 O0 V0 U0 Q0
CO        757    CLE  21:05     LAS  22:36     738  0    A4 D4 Z4 R3 Y3 H1 K0 M0 N0 B0 O0 V0 U0 Q0
CO        245    CLE  12:35     IAH  14:35     738  0    A2 D2 Z2 R0 Y0 H0 K0 M0 N0 B0 O0 V0 U0 Q0

As you would expect. Of course, only a veteran of these runs could tell you for sure, but I like your chances a heck of a lot better out of CLE than out of EWR. LAS routes do tend to have higher percentages of leisure (read non-elite) pax than many other routes, so you ahve that going for you as well.

Oct 11, 2007 | 3:32 pm

divrdrew

Join Date: Jun 2003

Location: Tampa, FL

Programs: Hilton Diamond, Delta Platinum

Posts: 1,730

I've flown to LAS over a dozen times in the past few years. The best chances for the uprade are the early am flights (e.g. 6-8 am departures). Even so, as a Platinum, I've only had around a 40% hit rate on the upgrades with NW/CO in / out of LAS. Even with lots of leisure travelers, there are seemingly a lot of FC seats sold.