CO may be losing its way. Is it Jeff or what's up?
#76
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 402
This isn't really up for debate. An airline seat is an airline seat, all other things being equal. Customer loyalty b/c of FFP programs and in flight entertainment are intangibles. Since the airlines have no way of differentiating their passengers at the time of booking request (all people have the same access to the same seat and fare at the same time), by definition they're just buying a seat. If the passenger factors in that they might get an upgrade, that might influence the decision process of the passenger, but the airline is still offering you the same fare as John Q Public. They can't/don't charge you more for the same seat because of your loyalty, and they can't take the risk of charging higher fares and losing that business to the competitor.
2. The Internet: The internet has made it far easier to instantly find the lowest fare. But let's be careful. Just as the internet has made it easier for people to find the lowest fare, it will also inform them of the unbundled, hidden costs. Consumer behavior may not have completely caught up with the unbundled services, but it will soon
3. The growth of LCC's. The funny thing about the most noteworthy of the so-called LCC's that have sprung up in the United States in the internet age is that they have not only provided but heavily marketed themselves as a premium product. So the irony today is if you want a quality airline product in Y (and even in one case FC) you have to fly an LCC such as B6 or VX. I fly B6 on a very frequent basis and often canvas my seat mates. In virtually every case they tell me they choose B6 because of the comfort and friendly service, even if it costs a little more.
Plus all you IROPs complainers, try getting rerouted when you're stuck in FLL on B6 and even WN. You are SOL.
4. So CO used to have a very cramped, uncomfortable Y cabin but with a reasonable likelihood of being upgraded as an elite. Now, that is becoming rarer and rarer and what is the flying public left, not just a commodity, but in many respects, something worse than the competition, less comfort, fewer free services than much of the competition.
The process of self-commoditization is not a pretty one at all.
The process of self-commoditization is not a pretty one at all.
But don't complain about 31' pitch and then buy another ticket on them. Go somewhere else. You've clearly moved on to B6. Good for you. So why are you still complaining about CO?
#77
Suspended
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: SEA
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I've seen no evidence that this model is not the correct one, at least for a carrier the size of CO.
#78
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Austin, TX
Programs: AA GLD .25MM, CO, UA, US, DL, HH, SPG (all cardboard)
Posts: 1,951
Plus all you IROPs complainers, try getting rerouted when you're stuck in FLL on B6 and even WN. You are SOL.
#79
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: retired from SFO Terminal 3
Posts: 7,437
On B6, VX and WN, you can not be re-routed onto other carriers as these airlines do not have interline agreements with any airlines to transport their customers.
#80
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Austin, TX
Programs: AA GLD .25MM, CO, UA, US, DL, HH, SPG (all cardboard)
Posts: 1,951
Right. But CO didn't offer that to us either. Or really much of anything.
#81
Join Date: May 2008
Location: New Jersey
Programs: UA GS 1.7MM, Hyatt Lifetime Glob, Marriott Titanium/Lifetime Platinum
Posts: 1,273
Knock on wood, but I've only had a flight cancelled once due to IROPS. MCO-EWR, on CO, flying as a Plat. I was due to fly Friday PM. CO automatically rebooked me on the first flight Saturday AM and EUA'd me to F. When I arrived Saturday morning, the airport was a zoo with people stranded and trying to rebook. I can assure you: if you and I were there together, CO was treating me much better than you if you didn't have status.
#82
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jan 2003
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That's because it is true. I never said the internet created this commodity mentality, it only exacerbated it. Airline deregulation created the commodity model.
This isn't really up for debate. An airline seat is an airline seat, all other things being equal. Customer loyalty b/c of FFP programs and in flight entertainment are intangibles. Since the airlines have no way of differentiating their passengers at the time of booking request (all people have the same access to the same seat and fare at the same time), by definition they're just buying a seat. If the passenger factors in that they might get an upgrade, that might influence the decision process of the passenger, but the airline is still offering you the same fare as John Q Public. They can't/don't charge you more for the same seat because of your loyalty, and they can't take the risk of charging higher fares and losing that business to the competitor.
Yeah, about 80% of their business.
This clearly demonstrates that is exactly what they're doing. It doesn't matter what amenities you provide if the competition is providing virtually the same service. If the plane only have 8 F class seats (like most of the ORD-EWR flights), do you think any of those FFP's have any expectation that they're going to get an upgrade or a exit row seat or a bulkhead when they're repeatedly stuck in the middle seat down the back? Something is bringing them back to CO, and we know it wasn't the pressed ham sandwich.
Current and historical anecdotes prove otherwise. Ryanair is the perfect example.
TV's in seats (which is really the only product differentiator), is a marginal cost that entices people to chose airline A over B. And jetBlue and Virgin's customer base at this stage is highly discretionary.
Plus all you IROPs complainers, try getting rerouted when you're stuck in FLL on B6 and even WN. You are SOL.
Doesn't matter. CO is still running 80% LFs. The airlines must maximize the revenue per available floor space to make money. Ever flown EK in the back. Now that's misery.
But don't complain about 31' pitch and then buy another ticket on them. Go somewhere else. You've clearly moved on to B6. Good for you. So why are you still complaining about CO?
This isn't really up for debate. An airline seat is an airline seat, all other things being equal. Customer loyalty b/c of FFP programs and in flight entertainment are intangibles. Since the airlines have no way of differentiating their passengers at the time of booking request (all people have the same access to the same seat and fare at the same time), by definition they're just buying a seat. If the passenger factors in that they might get an upgrade, that might influence the decision process of the passenger, but the airline is still offering you the same fare as John Q Public. They can't/don't charge you more for the same seat because of your loyalty, and they can't take the risk of charging higher fares and losing that business to the competitor.
Yeah, about 80% of their business.
This clearly demonstrates that is exactly what they're doing. It doesn't matter what amenities you provide if the competition is providing virtually the same service. If the plane only have 8 F class seats (like most of the ORD-EWR flights), do you think any of those FFP's have any expectation that they're going to get an upgrade or a exit row seat or a bulkhead when they're repeatedly stuck in the middle seat down the back? Something is bringing them back to CO, and we know it wasn't the pressed ham sandwich.
Current and historical anecdotes prove otherwise. Ryanair is the perfect example.
TV's in seats (which is really the only product differentiator), is a marginal cost that entices people to chose airline A over B. And jetBlue and Virgin's customer base at this stage is highly discretionary.
Plus all you IROPs complainers, try getting rerouted when you're stuck in FLL on B6 and even WN. You are SOL.
Doesn't matter. CO is still running 80% LFs. The airlines must maximize the revenue per available floor space to make money. Ever flown EK in the back. Now that's misery.
But don't complain about 31' pitch and then buy another ticket on them. Go somewhere else. You've clearly moved on to B6. Good for you. So why are you still complaining about CO?
However, if I look at what I am getting on CO vs. B6, VX or even WN, I can honestly say there is significantly less value in Y.
And it's not just seat pitch. It's a more comfortable seat, free IFE, at least one free checked bag.
CO always had a pretty poor hard product in Y. Now that they've devastated what remains of their excellent soft product they are proving their own point.
They are in the process of self-commoditizing themselves, of morphing into another version of US.
Yes, they are running 80% LF's, but they're still not making a profit, and their financial performance is lagging far behind that of B6 and WN (both carrier, by the way, have lower LF's).
I'm not sure if many people fly WN for the quality product, but I know that many seek out both B6 and VX for a far most pleasant journey in Y.
Removing all the remaining amenities and unbundling the product are designed to reduce cost and generate incremental revenue. But the fact is that most passengers will now be faced with one of the most spartan experiences in airline travel today.
For those who select airline travel purely on a commodity basis, by definition the lowest-yield customer, this model will fit perfectly. But for those who want just a little more legroom, or to watch TV for free, or check a free bag, they can just easily migrate to B6 or WN.
The point is that CO should at least provide a Y product that is somewhat competitive with the LCC's.
If not, it will be an inevitable race to the bottom of the barrel.
#83
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: USA
Posts: 1,813
I expect this to change in the long run. Both B6 and WN have benefits of being much younger airlines (less burdensome cost structure due to being for most of its life in the expansionary stage of the lifecycle) and especially in the case of WN, the extra-profitable fuel hedges that should be going away soon.
#84
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I expect this to change in the long run. Both B6 and WN have benefits of being much younger airlines (less burdensome cost structure due to being for most of its life in the expansionary stage of the lifecycle) and especially in the case of WN, the extra-profitable fuel hedges that should be going away soon.
As far as WN, this is at least as much of a legacy carrier as the modern iteation of CAL. Let's not forget that CAL wiped away most of its legacy obligations under Frank Lorenzo, that a part of the airline started out as the LCC PeoplExpress, and that it went though bankruptcy twice, which further wiped away a significant portion of its legacy obligations.
Today, WN has the highest-paid pilots in the industry, among the highest yields. As far as the fuel hedges, this is an approach to purchasing fuel that is available to anyone, not just WN.
Their hedges have not always paid off either, but the long-term profitability of WN is not dependent on the hedges.
#85
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: OMA
Programs: UA
Posts: 322
Yes and no. While any airline could in theory hedge any amount they wanted, most of the legacies have capital limitations in this area. Hedging requires a fairly significant cash outlay. No one else is really in the financial position that Southwest is in to be able to afford hedging such a large position of their fuel needs.
#86
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: SEA
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Yes and no. While any airline could in theory hedge any amount they wanted, most of the legacies have capital limitations in this area. Hedging requires a fairly significant cash outlay. No one else is really in the financial position that Southwest is in to be able to afford hedging such a large position of their fuel needs.
Last edited by transportbiz; Mar 20, 2010 at 12:20 pm
#87
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2001
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Posts: 69,232
Yes, they did in the past couple years. Prior to that, however, they were enormously hedged and made huge profits from that position.
#88
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