Average Fares US-China
#1
Original Poster
FlyerTalk Evangelist



Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: 45 North
Programs: AS Gold 75K, DL GM/MM
Posts: 10,205
Average Fares US-China
I am sure this has been asked often but I can't seem to come up with the right search terms.
I am looking at RDU-DTW-PVG-HKG-DTW-RDU on DL/CX in early June for 12 days. The fare is currently pricing at $1600 even. The last time I went to China (June 2007) we flew SEA-NRT-BKK-HKT-KUL-PEK-NRT-SEA on NW/MH and it was $1800ish so $1600 seemed reasonable.
Am I going to see much change in the price between now and June or should I just book now. I guess the worst case booking now is losing $250 on the change fee and getting a credit if it does drop.
Any thoughts?
I am looking at RDU-DTW-PVG-HKG-DTW-RDU on DL/CX in early June for 12 days. The fare is currently pricing at $1600 even. The last time I went to China (June 2007) we flew SEA-NRT-BKK-HKT-KUL-PEK-NRT-SEA on NW/MH and it was $1800ish so $1600 seemed reasonable.
Am I going to see much change in the price between now and June or should I just book now. I guess the worst case booking now is losing $250 on the change fee and getting a credit if it does drop.
Any thoughts?
#2


Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Seattle
Programs: UA 1K 2MM, HH Diamond
Posts: 258
I think it depends in part on the time of year, whether you're flying midweek or peak travel days and how far in advance you book.
We're traveling SEA-SFO-PEK//HKG-SFO-SEA on United in late March returning in early April (midweek travel, 10 day trip). Booked Aug '09 on an upgradeable fare for $950.
In early June, United is showing some midweek fares as low as $1,160 and Expedia is showing some fares on Delta around the $1,300 range - BUT all this can vary greatly if you leave on a Weds versus leaving on a Sat...
We're traveling SEA-SFO-PEK//HKG-SFO-SEA on United in late March returning in early April (midweek travel, 10 day trip). Booked Aug '09 on an upgradeable fare for $950.
In early June, United is showing some midweek fares as low as $1,160 and Expedia is showing some fares on Delta around the $1,300 range - BUT all this can vary greatly if you leave on a Weds versus leaving on a Sat...
#3
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend




Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Shanghai
Posts: 46,422
I am sure this has been asked often but I can't seem to come up with the right search terms.
I am looking at RDU-DTW-PVG-HKG-DTW-RDU on DL/CX in early June for 12 days. The fare is currently pricing at $1600 even. The last time I went to China (June 2007) we flew SEA-NRT-BKK-HKT-KUL-PEK-NRT-SEA on NW/MH and it was $1800ish so $1600 seemed reasonable.
Am I going to see much change in the price between now and June or should I just book now. I guess the worst case booking now is losing $250 on the change fee and getting a credit if it does drop.
Any thoughts?
I am looking at RDU-DTW-PVG-HKG-DTW-RDU on DL/CX in early June for 12 days. The fare is currently pricing at $1600 even. The last time I went to China (June 2007) we flew SEA-NRT-BKK-HKT-KUL-PEK-NRT-SEA on NW/MH and it was $1800ish so $1600 seemed reasonable.
Am I going to see much change in the price between now and June or should I just book now. I guess the worst case booking now is losing $250 on the change fee and getting a credit if it does drop.
Any thoughts?
#4
Original Poster
FlyerTalk Evangelist



Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: 45 North
Programs: AS Gold 75K, DL GM/MM
Posts: 10,205
I had thought about miles but Delta wants 120K (in Y) - so not even 2+ cpm. I may just bite the bullet and book now and hope for a re-fare sometime in the next couple of months. Unfortunately with our vacation schedules we really can only leave and return on a weekend so we may be forced to pay more for that.
#5
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend




Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Shanghai
Posts: 46,422
I had thought about miles but Delta wants 120K (in Y) - so not even 2+ cpm. I may just bite the bullet and book now and hope for a re-fare sometime in the next couple of months. Unfortunately with our vacation schedules we really can only leave and return on a weekend so we may be forced to pay more for that.

