Typhoon Tembin
Aug 22, 2012 | 12:28 am
#1
Original Poster
Suspended
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: SYD
Programs: QFF SG, VA SL, MR Plat, SPG Plat, HH Diamond
Posts: 445
Typhoon Tembin
Nervously eyeing the storm track on HKO which seems to have Tembin heading towards HK.
Had a planned trip to Taipei on Sunday but not sure how likely flights are to be going ahead HKG-TPE (or maybe they can track around it?).
http://www.hko.gov.hk/wxinfo/currwx/tc_gis_e.htm
Had a planned trip to Taipei on Sunday but not sure how likely flights are to be going ahead HKG-TPE (or maybe they can track around it?).
http://www.hko.gov.hk/wxinfo/currwx/tc_gis_e.htm
Aug 22, 2012 | 4:47 pm
#2
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: TPE / HSZ
Programs: CX GO (=SPH), IHG Diamond Amb, Hertz 5*, Accor, Hilton, National
Posts: 7,243
Nervously eyeing the storm track on HKO which seems to have Tembin heading towards HK.
Had a planned trip to Taipei on Sunday but not sure how likely flights are to be going ahead HKG-TPE (or maybe they can track around it?).
http://www.hko.gov.hk/wxinfo/currwx/tc_gis_e.htm
Had a planned trip to Taipei on Sunday but not sure how likely flights are to be going ahead HKG-TPE (or maybe they can track around it?).
http://www.hko.gov.hk/wxinfo/currwx/tc_gis_e.htm
Aug 22, 2012 | 6:48 pm
#3
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Hong Kong
Programs: BA (sigh) Blue (thanks strikers). Arsenal Gold
Posts: 198
This morning's computer runs are showing a possible u-turn, with the storm heading back to Taiwan.
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/imatcf/?name=TEMBIN
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/imatcf/?name=TEMBIN
Aug 22, 2012 | 7:17 pm
#4
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: SYD
Programs: QF WP
Posts: 1,799
This typhoon appears to be interacting with another system, and the Fujiwhara effect may be in play given the forecast for south-westerly movement. This makes the forecast of the track to be extremely difficult.
Another factor is we need to keep an eye on its path through Taiwan. Due to the terrain, a more northerly path is more likely to mean that the typhoon will be weaker after passing through Taiwan.
There are many factors affecting this typhoon, and even a very slight change can have a large effect on its track and strength. Usually, I would take most forecasts with a grain of salt, but this time, it looks like I'm having salt for the mains, and everything else for the side dish.
Another factor is we need to keep an eye on its path through Taiwan. Due to the terrain, a more northerly path is more likely to mean that the typhoon will be weaker after passing through Taiwan.
There are many factors affecting this typhoon, and even a very slight change can have a large effect on its track and strength. Usually, I would take most forecasts with a grain of salt, but this time, it looks like I'm having salt for the mains, and everything else for the side dish.
Aug 23, 2012 | 12:51 am
#5
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: TPE / HSZ
Programs: CX GO (=SPH), IHG Diamond Amb, Hertz 5*, Accor, Hilton, National
Posts: 7,243
This morning's computer runs are showing a possible u-turn, with the storm heading back to Taiwan.
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/imatcf/?name=TEMBIN
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/imatcf/?name=TEMBIN
Aug 23, 2012 | 5:52 am
#6
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: SYD
Programs: QF WP
Posts: 1,799
Aug 23, 2012 | 8:12 am
#9
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Hong Kong
Programs: CX Diamond (OW Emerald), former SQ Krisflyer Gold
Posts: 2,612
Latest Updated: 23 August 2012 21:30 HKT GMT+8
Cathay Pacific Airways advises that due to expected severe impact of Severe Typhoon Tembin affecting the southern Taiwan, the scheduled flights from Hong Kong to Kaohsiung (CX6758/KA452, CX6752/KA432, CX6754/KA436, CX6760/KA454) tomorrow (24 August) will be cancelled. Flights departing from Kaohsiung to Hong Kong (CX6757/ KA451, CX6759/KA453, CX6753/KA433, CX6755/KA437, CX6761/KA455) on 24 August will also be cancelled.
The other Kaohsiung flights on 24 August may be subject to further changes.
Cathay Pacific Airways advises that due to expected severe impact of Severe Typhoon Tembin affecting the southern Taiwan, the scheduled flights from Hong Kong to Kaohsiung (CX6758/KA452, CX6752/KA432, CX6754/KA436, CX6760/KA454) tomorrow (24 August) will be cancelled. Flights departing from Kaohsiung to Hong Kong (CX6757/ KA451, CX6759/KA453, CX6753/KA433, CX6755/KA437, CX6761/KA455) on 24 August will also be cancelled.
The other Kaohsiung flights on 24 August may be subject to further changes.
Aug 24, 2012 | 6:39 pm
#10
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: KHH, FUK, VNO
Posts: 1,183
Latest Updated: 23 August 2012 21:30 HKT GMT+8
Cathay Pacific Airways advises that due to expected severe impact of Severe Typhoon Tembin affecting the southern Taiwan, the scheduled flights from Hong Kong to Kaohsiung (CX6758/KA452, CX6752/KA432, CX6754/KA436, CX6760/KA454) tomorrow (24 August) will be cancelled. Flights departing from Kaohsiung to Hong Kong (CX6757/ KA451, CX6759/KA453, CX6753/KA433, CX6755/KA437, CX6761/KA455) on 24 August will also be cancelled.
The other Kaohsiung flights on 24 August may be subject to further changes.
Cathay Pacific Airways advises that due to expected severe impact of Severe Typhoon Tembin affecting the southern Taiwan, the scheduled flights from Hong Kong to Kaohsiung (CX6758/KA452, CX6752/KA432, CX6754/KA436, CX6760/KA454) tomorrow (24 August) will be cancelled. Flights departing from Kaohsiung to Hong Kong (CX6757/ KA451, CX6759/KA453, CX6753/KA433, CX6755/KA437, CX6761/KA455) on 24 August will also be cancelled.
The other Kaohsiung flights on 24 August may be subject to further changes.
Aug 25, 2012 | 3:09 am
#12
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: TPE / HSZ
Programs: CX GO (=SPH), IHG Diamond Amb, Hertz 5*, Accor, Hilton, National
Posts: 7,243
Else all the HKG-Taiwan FLTs will have significant delays / cancellations today, having Tembin in between. I don't know much about Aeronautics, but AFAIK, FLTs (except some extremely short-hauls) mostly fly in the stratosphere, except for take offs and landings. A typhoon, like any tropical cyclone, is a tropospheric system. Therefore, flying above it should not be too big a deal.
Aug 25, 2012 | 10:25 am
#14
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: TPE / HSZ
Programs: CX GO (=SPH), IHG Diamond Amb, Hertz 5*, Accor, Hilton, National
Posts: 7,243
Aug 25, 2012 | 6:56 pm
#15
Original Poster
Suspended
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: SYD
Programs: QFF SG, VA SL, MR Plat, SPG Plat, HH Diamond
Posts: 445
Well made the trip to TPE yesterday instead, we flew directly over the eye of Tembin according to the pilot.
Turbulence was fairly light and I did nap a little, no food service on either sector as the crew were made to sit down for basically the entire flight. They did pass out hot sandwiches on descent.
Turbulence was fairly light and I did nap a little, no food service on either sector as the crew were made to sit down for basically the entire flight. They did pass out hot sandwiches on descent.