Does QR's recent issues with Australian slots open a door for BA?
#16
Join Date: Jul 2018
Posts: 1,295
Once Sunrise launches, the (vast) majority of passengers will still be flying one-stop, but the (vast) majority of last-minute, time-sensitive, very profitable, full-fare J customers would want the nonstop.
#18
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Spitalfields, London
Programs: BA Gold, KFC 'The Colonel's Club' Palladium tier, Mucci des Visions Clestes du Nord-Pas-de-Calais
Posts: 2,349
Im not sure if Project Sunrise can even happen without overflying Russia, and that wont be for a while.
#19
Join Date: Oct 2015
Programs: BA Gold for Life
Posts: 1,410
Non stop from SYD to LHR is only going to cater for a small percentage of travellers. BA is not going to buy a plane because it can fly non stop to SYD. The kangaroo route is not one keeping BA managers awake at night.
#20
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: London
Programs: BA Gold
Posts: 1,475
It's more like 28 months at this point, at the earliest.
#21
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: SIN and Medway, UK (so... LCY/LGW/BRU)
Programs: A3 *G, BA OWS, VS Gold, IHG Diamond Amb, Bonvoy Plat
Posts: 750
You're not the client Project Sunrise is chasing. Pretty much every Middle Eastern and Asian (and in theory, US) airline is after your business, there's choice and lower yields.
Once Sunrise launches, the (vast) majority of passengers will still be flying one-stop, but the (vast) majority of last-minute, time-sensitive, very profitable, full-fare J customers would want the nonstop.
Once Sunrise launches, the (vast) majority of passengers will still be flying one-stop, but the (vast) majority of last-minute, time-sensitive, very profitable, full-fare J customers would want the nonstop.
ScoMo used to tag in state visits in Singapore on his way to/fro his official visits in the UK.
#22
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 7,280
At the end of the day, the difference between the Kangaroo route and a Project Sunrise direct flight would be approx. 4 hours. Sure, some might be swayed to go on the direct, but I don't know if the price differential will offset, for Qantas, skipping the opportunity for extra cargo and passengers that a stopover in SIN allows.
#23
FlyerTalk Evangelist, Ambassador, British Airways Executive Club
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Somewhere between 0 and 13,000 metres high
Programs: AF/KL Life Plat, BA GGL+GfL, ALL Plat, Hilton Diam, Marriott Gold, blablablah, etc
Posts: 30,684
I still remember the times when people thought that EK and QR routes to Oz and New Zealand would utterly and completely flop because noone could possibly want spending 17 or 18 hours on a flight and everyone would prefer to continue flying via Southeast Asia. Well, some people do and will continue to prefer flying via Southeast Asia but plenty more choose to go via the DOH and DXB and AUH hubs everyday. And plenty of people pay a premium to fly direct on every other route and there is no obvious reason why they shouldn't on this one.
#24
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: UK
Programs: BA Gold / Hilton Diamond / IHG Diamond Ambassador / Marriot Bonvoy Gold
Posts: 2,558
You're not the client Project Sunrise is chasing. Pretty much every Middle Eastern and Asian (and in theory, US) airline is after your business, there's choice and lower yields.
Once Sunrise launches, the (vast) majority of passengers will still be flying one-stop, but the (vast) majority of last-minute, time-sensitive, very profitable, full-fare J customers would want the nonstop.
Once Sunrise launches, the (vast) majority of passengers will still be flying one-stop, but the (vast) majority of last-minute, time-sensitive, very profitable, full-fare J customers would want the nonstop.
#26
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 216
The other thing to remember is that Qantas a a lock on big corporate contracts in Australia. Even if not exclusive or prioritised every corporate will have some kind of deal with Qantas. With 2/3rds of the domestic market There are places you just cant get to without them. Corporates will often have multiple deals, with virgin and other airlines but then Qantas uses QFF to steer bookings to its own metal or EK codeshares flying east.
So BA has to rely on filling planes from the other end. Im a pretty frequent flyer down here and I dont recall seeing much BA marketing, where I do see plenty from the likes of CX, QR, SG, JL, EK etc.; Finnair even still pushes their cheapo business tickets to Europe a fair bit.
Im in Melbourne and we are the biggest and best city in Australia (better coffee, better food, better music, better sports and this really attractive chip on our shoulders about how no one recognises were better than that place with the harbour and the bridge). The reality is that Sydney has the outward facing corporates and Melbourne are more domestic - weve got the big utility companies, the bits of banks that do mortgages and business banking. Theres just more demand for big spenders to go to and from Sydney.
if BA come to Melbourne its going to be more leisure oriented, lower yielding. Ive got plenty of business and personal reasons to go to Europe several times a year, but im looking for J fares around that AUD6-7k mark.
So BA has to rely on filling planes from the other end. Im a pretty frequent flyer down here and I dont recall seeing much BA marketing, where I do see plenty from the likes of CX, QR, SG, JL, EK etc.; Finnair even still pushes their cheapo business tickets to Europe a fair bit.
Im in Melbourne and we are the biggest and best city in Australia (better coffee, better food, better music, better sports and this really attractive chip on our shoulders about how no one recognises were better than that place with the harbour and the bridge). The reality is that Sydney has the outward facing corporates and Melbourne are more domestic - weve got the big utility companies, the bits of banks that do mortgages and business banking. Theres just more demand for big spenders to go to and from Sydney.
if BA come to Melbourne its going to be more leisure oriented, lower yielding. Ive got plenty of business and personal reasons to go to Europe several times a year, but im looking for J fares around that AUD6-7k mark.
#27
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: London, U.K.
Programs: bmi British Midland International Diamond Club
Posts: 3,377
Market share
These charts outline the market share of the major carriers on the LON/SYD route in 2010 and 2018. In 2010 BA held 11% of the market share on this route with Emirates holding the same figure. Qatar did not start its DOH/SYD route until 2016. Data supplied by Sabre.
LON/SYD
https://infogram.com/lon-syd-1h984wwlxljd4p3?live
SIN tops the charts every year with the highest number of transfer passengers on the Kangaroo route, with Qantas, Singapore Airlines and BA carrying through pax in 2010. Qantas served DXB from 2013-2018. Virgin Atlantic dwindled after its peak of nearly 13% in 2012 before withdrawing from the Kangaroo route in 2014. The 1% share in 2018 is from its codeshare flights with Singapore Airlines and Virgin Australia (via HKG and LAX).
DXB was the second most connected airport thanks to Emirates and Qantas but is no match for the sheer volume of pax connecting through SIN year on year.
LON/PER
https://infogram.com/copy-lon-per-1h7g6kq3l5k06oy?live
Source: https://aviationweek.com/air-transpo...-dream-reality
LON/SYD
https://infogram.com/lon-syd-1h984wwlxljd4p3?live
SIN tops the charts every year with the highest number of transfer passengers on the Kangaroo route, with Qantas, Singapore Airlines and BA carrying through pax in 2010. Qantas served DXB from 2013-2018. Virgin Atlantic dwindled after its peak of nearly 13% in 2012 before withdrawing from the Kangaroo route in 2014. The 1% share in 2018 is from its codeshare flights with Singapore Airlines and Virgin Australia (via HKG and LAX).
DXB was the second most connected airport thanks to Emirates and Qantas but is no match for the sheer volume of pax connecting through SIN year on year.
LON/PER
https://infogram.com/copy-lon-per-1h7g6kq3l5k06oy?live
Source: https://aviationweek.com/air-transpo...-dream-reality
Last edited by Strawb; Mar 3, 2024 at 5:02 pm
#28
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: SE1, London
Posts: 23,525
SQ have been flying SIN-NYC for almost 20 years which is an 18-ish hour sector. Fly it, and they will come...
Yes it's boring, but plenty of people want to get from A to B with the minimum of hassle and a non-stop does just that.
Yes it's boring, but plenty of people want to get from A to B with the minimum of hassle and a non-stop does just that.
#29
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 1,778
😂 Dream on!!!